1 00:00:06,138 --> 00:00:06,938 >>> WELCOME BACK. 2 00:00:07,006 --> 00:00:08,507 OFF THE RECORD STARTS RIGHT NOW. 3 00:00:08,574 --> 00:00:10,809 >> ON THE PANEL THIS WEEK WE 4 00:00:10,910 --> 00:00:11,977 HAVE SUE DEMAS AND BILL 5 00:00:12,044 --> 00:00:13,277 BALLENGER ALONG WERE CHAD 6 00:00:13,345 --> 00:00:14,145 LIVENGOOD. 7 00:00:14,213 --> 00:00:14,913 HERE IS THE RUNDOWN. 8 00:00:14,981 --> 00:00:16,280 A NEW PRESIDENTIAL POLL IN 9 00:00:16,348 --> 00:00:18,583 MICHIGAN, AN UPDATE ON THE U.S. 10 00:00:18,651 --> 00:00:23,588 SENATE RACE AND LATER ON, 11 00:00:23,656 --> 00:00:26,190 BUSINESS LOBBYIST IS PITCHING A 12 00:00:26,258 --> 00:00:28,159 TAX HIKE PLAN. 13 00:00:28,260 --> 00:00:30,695 ALL THIS AND MORE COMING UP 14 00:00:30,763 --> 00:00:35,834 RIGHT NOW, "OFF THE RECORD." 15 00:00:35,902 --> 00:00:39,370 ¶ 16 00:00:39,471 --> 00:00:49,014 ¶ 17 00:01:36,360 --> 00:01:39,329 >> Tim: THANK YOU JOE. 18 00:01:39,397 --> 00:01:41,865 WELCOME TO OUR PROGRAM. 19 00:01:41,933 --> 00:01:43,467 POLLING DATA ON THE PRESIDENTIAL 20 00:01:43,534 --> 00:01:45,869 RACE IN MICHIGAN. 21 00:01:45,937 --> 00:01:46,837 LET'S TAKE A PEEK. 22 00:01:46,905 --> 00:01:48,438 >> IN THE HEAD TO HEAD MATCH-UP. 23 00:01:48,506 --> 00:01:53,243 IT'S 47% FOR OBAMA AND 42% FOR 24 00:01:53,311 --> 00:01:55,245 MR. ROMNEY WITH A 4% MARGIN OF 25 00:01:55,313 --> 00:01:55,746 ERROR. 26 00:01:55,814 --> 00:01:57,681 HOWEVER, WITH THE IMPORTANT 27 00:01:57,749 --> 00:02:00,383 FEMALE VOTERS IT'S MR. OBAMA 28 00:02:00,451 --> 00:02:03,252 WITH A 7% LEAD AND LEAD WITH 29 00:02:03,320 --> 00:02:04,687 INDEPENDENT VOTERS. 30 00:02:04,755 --> 00:02:06,222 ACROSS THE STATE THE PRESIDENT 31 00:02:06,289 --> 00:02:08,024 LEADS IN DETROIT, HAS NARROW 32 00:02:08,092 --> 00:02:10,059 LEAD IN WEST MICHIGAN AND 33 00:02:10,127 --> 00:02:19,568 LANSING HE ENJOYS A 47% TO 40% 34 00:02:19,637 --> 00:02:20,569 SPREAD. 35 00:02:20,638 --> 00:02:23,472 BUT POLTSD ALSO REVEAL THAT IN 36 00:02:23,540 --> 00:02:25,574 OAKLAND COUNTY. 37 00:02:25,643 --> 00:02:28,878 REPUBLICAN TERRITORY, MR. ROMNEY 38 00:02:28,946 --> 00:02:30,212 IS LOSING BY 16 POINTS. 39 00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:32,649 >> THE POLLS ARE TRYING TO DRIVE 40 00:02:32,716 --> 00:02:33,950 THE DEBATE AND ELECTION. 41 00:02:34,018 --> 00:02:36,052 >> SO YOU DON'T BELIEVE YOUR GUY 42 00:02:36,120 --> 00:02:37,687 IS BEHIND IN OAKLAND COUNTY? 43 00:02:37,755 --> 00:02:40,056 >> I HAVE NO IDEA UNTIL I LOOK 44 00:02:40,124 --> 00:02:41,024 AT THE POLLS. 45 00:02:41,091 --> 00:02:43,960 >> ROMNEY IS LOWER WHERE HE 46 00:02:44,028 --> 00:02:46,462 SHOULD BE WITH WEST MICHIGAN BUT 47 00:02:46,530 --> 00:02:48,064 INDEPENDENTS ARE UNDECIDED. 48 00:02:48,132 --> 00:02:49,866 THERE IS A POSSIBILITY. 49 00:02:49,967 --> 00:02:53,235 >> MR. ROMNEY HAS A BIG DEAL 50 00:02:53,336 --> 00:02:54,837 WHETHER YOU ARE BETTER OFF FOUR 51 00:02:54,905 --> 00:02:56,105 YEARS AGO. 52 00:02:56,206 --> 00:02:58,041 37% SAY THEY ARE BETTER OFF AND 53 00:02:58,108 --> 00:03:00,143 40% SAY THEY ARE NOT. 54 00:03:00,210 --> 00:03:03,011 IRONICALLY FOR REPUBLICANS 55 00:03:03,079 --> 00:03:05,714 TAKING CREDIT MR. SNYDER TURNING 56 00:03:05,782 --> 00:03:07,515 THE STATE'S ECONOMY AROUND BUT 57 00:03:07,650 --> 00:03:09,017 THE PRESIDENT IS BENEFITING FROM 58 00:03:09,085 --> 00:03:09,551 THAT. 59 00:03:09,618 --> 00:03:10,786 >> OBAMA IS BENEFITING FROM THE 60 00:03:10,853 --> 00:03:12,821 FACT THAT MICHIGAN ARE DOING A 61 00:03:12,889 --> 00:03:15,456 LOT BETTER THAN THEY WERE TWO TO 62 00:03:15,524 --> 00:03:17,993 FOUR YEARS AGO, THEY ARE GIVING 63 00:03:18,061 --> 00:03:19,695 OBAMA ALMOST AS MUCH CREDIT AS 64 00:03:19,762 --> 00:03:20,729 SNYDER FOR DOING THAT. 65 00:03:20,830 --> 00:03:23,665 >> 49 DAYS AGO UNTIL THE POLL 66 00:03:23,766 --> 00:03:24,766 THAT REALLY COUNTS. 67 00:03:24,834 --> 00:03:26,735 >> Tim: IT SEEMS TO ME, THE 68 00:03:26,803 --> 00:03:29,104 PROBLEM IN OAKLAND COUNTY FOR 69 00:03:29,205 --> 00:03:30,839 MR. ROMNEY S IT HUGE? 70 00:03:30,907 --> 00:03:32,273 >> I THINK IT IS. 71 00:03:32,341 --> 00:03:34,810 WE HAVE A LOT OF SUBURBAN VOTERS 72 00:03:34,877 --> 00:03:36,945 THAT COULD GO EITHER WAY. 73 00:03:37,013 --> 00:03:38,413 2010 THEY WENT REPUBLICAN. 74 00:03:38,547 --> 00:03:42,550 THIS YEAR WAS ALL OF THE WOMEN 75 00:03:42,651 --> 00:03:45,053 AND REPUBLICANS TRYING TO GET 76 00:03:45,121 --> 00:03:45,954 THEM BACK. 77 00:03:46,022 --> 00:03:47,923 >> YOU HAVE SOME POLLING COMING 78 00:03:47,990 --> 00:03:48,523 OUT. 79 00:03:48,591 --> 00:03:50,458 ARE YOU COP SET I CAN WITH THE 80 00:03:50,526 --> 00:03:51,193 NUMBERS HERE? 81 00:03:51,260 --> 00:03:54,596 >> AND BIGGER MARGIN FOR OBAMA, 82 00:03:54,663 --> 00:03:55,496 52-38 ROUGHLY. 83 00:03:55,564 --> 00:03:56,598 >> Tim: IN THE HEAD TO HEAD? 84 00:03:56,665 --> 00:04:00,968 >> IN THE HEAD TO HEAD CITY TO. 85 00:04:01,036 --> 00:04:02,737 PRESIDENT IS GETTING A BIG SURGE 86 00:04:02,804 --> 00:04:04,605 IN WOMEN VOTERS ON HIS SIDE AND 87 00:04:04,672 --> 00:04:06,907 OAKLAND COUNTY IS GOING MORE IN 88 00:04:06,975 --> 00:04:08,642 HIS COLUMN. 89 00:04:08,710 --> 00:04:10,377 THE HOUSE DEMOCRATIC COMMITTEE 90 00:04:10,478 --> 00:04:12,079 IS REALLY EXCITED ABOUT THIS. 91 00:04:12,180 --> 00:04:15,282 THEY THINK THAT SOUTHERN SUBURBS 92 00:04:15,350 --> 00:04:16,683 AROUND DETROIT ARE WHERE THEY 93 00:04:16,752 --> 00:04:18,552 CAN PICK UP SOME SEATS. 94 00:04:18,620 --> 00:04:20,187 >> THERE IS A LOT OF POLLING OUT 95 00:04:20,255 --> 00:04:20,888 THERE. 96 00:04:20,956 --> 00:04:23,023 DEFINITELY HIS LEAD HAS GONE UP 97 00:04:23,091 --> 00:04:26,260 SINCE THE DNC. 98 00:04:26,361 --> 00:04:32,800 EPIC MRA HAS HIM UP BY TEN. 99 00:04:32,868 --> 00:04:34,301 >> THIS RACE IS NOT OVER? 100 00:04:34,369 --> 00:04:35,502 >> I DON'T THINK IT IS. 101 00:04:35,570 --> 00:04:37,972 THERE IS SOME QUESTION ABOUT THE 102 00:04:38,039 --> 00:04:38,605 POLL. 103 00:04:38,774 --> 00:04:41,608 DIDN'T THEY DO THE POLL -- THEY 104 00:04:41,676 --> 00:04:43,744 MAY HAVE OVERSAMPLED DEMOCRATS 105 00:04:43,812 --> 00:04:44,544 BY 14%. 106 00:04:44,612 --> 00:04:47,281 THERE IS WHAT I'VE HEARD. 107 00:04:47,348 --> 00:04:50,384 WELL, THAT IS WHAT I HAVE HEARD. 108 00:04:50,485 --> 00:04:53,520 BUT IN ANY EVENT I THINK 109 00:04:53,588 --> 00:04:54,755 PROBABLY THE POLL THAT YOU 110 00:04:54,823 --> 00:04:56,056 REPORTED THERE IN THE VIDEO IS 111 00:04:56,124 --> 00:04:57,658 MORE ACCURATE OF WHERE THE LAUGH 112 00:04:57,725 --> 00:04:58,659 IS PROBABLY IS. 113 00:04:58,726 --> 00:04:59,660 SUSAN IS RIGHT. 114 00:04:59,727 --> 00:05:02,695 MITT ROMNEY CAN'T DO WELL IN HIS 115 00:05:02,797 --> 00:05:05,631 OWN HOME STOMPING GROUNDS OF 116 00:05:05,699 --> 00:05:07,000 OAKLAND COUNTY HE HAS REAL 117 00:05:07,067 --> 00:05:07,967 PROBLEMS IN MICHIGAN. 118 00:05:08,035 --> 00:05:10,036 AGAIN, WE'RE INUNDATED WITH 119 00:05:10,104 --> 00:05:12,272 POLLS, THEY ARE GOING TO COULD 120 00:05:12,339 --> 00:05:13,807 KEEP OPENING IN. 121 00:05:13,874 --> 00:05:16,943 REMEMBER, JIMMY CARTER WAS AHEAD 122 00:05:17,011 --> 00:05:20,680 OF RONALD REAGAN UNTIL THE 123 00:05:20,781 --> 00:05:22,315 DEBATE AND THAT WAS IN OCTOBER. 124 00:05:22,382 --> 00:05:24,417 THERE IS LONG WAY TO GO AND 125 00:05:24,484 --> 00:05:26,652 THINGS CAN TURN AROUND BUT IT'S 126 00:05:26,720 --> 00:05:28,054 BEEN A BAD WEEK. 127 00:05:28,122 --> 00:05:31,958 >> WHAT ABOUT ROMNEY AND GALLUP 128 00:05:32,026 --> 00:05:34,294 WHERE CARTER WAS AHEAD POLLING 129 00:05:34,361 --> 00:05:35,461 REAGAN. 130 00:05:35,562 --> 00:05:36,930 YOU WOULD NEED SOMETHING VERY 131 00:05:36,997 --> 00:05:37,663 SIGNIFICANT. 132 00:05:37,731 --> 00:05:38,998 ESPECIALLY IN MICHIGAN TO TURN 133 00:05:39,066 --> 00:05:40,366 AROUND FOR ROMNEY. 134 00:05:40,434 --> 00:05:41,868 IT'S TOTALLY NOT OUT OF THE 135 00:05:41,936 --> 00:05:42,501 QUESTION. 136 00:05:42,569 --> 00:05:44,103 WE DON'T KNOW WHAT THE EUROPEAN 137 00:05:44,205 --> 00:05:45,171 ECONOMY IS GOING TO DO. 138 00:05:45,239 --> 00:05:47,340 THERE COULD BE AN INCIDENT IN 139 00:05:47,407 --> 00:05:48,074 LIBYA. 140 00:05:48,175 --> 00:05:49,142 WE HAVE NO IDEA. 141 00:05:49,243 --> 00:05:51,911 IT DOES SEEM TO BE TROUBLING 142 00:05:52,012 --> 00:05:54,647 SINCE THIS SUMMER AND TRAILING 143 00:05:54,715 --> 00:05:56,883 IN OBAMA'S WAY. 144 00:05:56,951 --> 00:06:03,956 >> IT'S 47%% DEMOCRATS, 40% 145 00:06:04,057 --> 00:06:06,558 REPUBLICANS AND 16% 146 00:06:06,625 --> 00:06:07,226 INDEPENDENTS. 147 00:06:07,293 --> 00:06:09,761 >> IS EIGHT A PROBLEM OR NOT? 148 00:06:09,829 --> 00:06:11,296 >> THERE ARE SO MANY POLLS OUT 149 00:06:11,364 --> 00:06:11,964 THERE. 150 00:06:12,031 --> 00:06:14,799 THERE COULD BE SOMEWHERE IT'S 151 00:06:14,868 --> 00:06:16,935 ROUGHLY A DEBT HEAT. 152 00:06:17,003 --> 00:06:18,536 THERE ARE NOT MANY OF THOSE BUT 153 00:06:18,637 --> 00:06:21,639 THERE ARE SOME OBAMA IS AHEAD. 154 00:06:21,741 --> 00:06:23,375 EVERYBODY AGREES OBAMA IS AHEAD. 155 00:06:23,442 --> 00:06:26,178 THE ONLY QUESTION IS HOW MUCH. 156 00:06:26,279 --> 00:06:27,712 >> Tim: IF YOU ARE SITTING IN 157 00:06:27,780 --> 00:06:29,414 THE ROMNEY CAMP, GUYS WE HAVE A 158 00:06:29,482 --> 00:06:30,382 PROBLEM IN MICHIGAN. 159 00:06:30,449 --> 00:06:32,117 WE PROBABLY NEED TO MAKE A GOOD 160 00:06:32,185 --> 00:06:32,951 SHOWING THERE. 161 00:06:33,052 --> 00:06:34,052 WHAT DO WE DO? 162 00:06:34,120 --> 00:06:35,487 >> THEY NEED TO GET OUT AND 163 00:06:35,554 --> 00:06:39,291 CONNECT WITH VOTERS HERE. 164 00:06:39,392 --> 00:06:48,666 >> Tim: WHAT ABOUT THE, QUOTE, 165 00:06:48,734 --> 00:06:49,667 VICTORY CENTERS. 166 00:06:49,735 --> 00:06:51,770 >> HE NEEDS A LOT MORE. 167 00:06:51,871 --> 00:06:54,472 >> HE CAN WIN TECHNICALLY IF YOU 168 00:06:54,573 --> 00:06:56,808 LOOK AT THE NUMBERS WITHOUT 169 00:06:56,876 --> 00:06:57,575 WINNING MICHIGAN. 170 00:06:57,643 --> 00:07:00,779 IT'S HARD TO SEE OBAMA BEING 171 00:07:00,846 --> 00:07:02,813 ELECTED AS PRESIDENT IF HE 172 00:07:02,881 --> 00:07:03,915 DOESN'T WIN MICHIGAN. 173 00:07:03,982 --> 00:07:05,983 ROMNEY IS NOT GOING TO KIGS OFF 174 00:07:06,084 --> 00:07:06,750 MICHIGAN. 175 00:07:06,818 --> 00:07:10,087 I THINK HE IS GOING RUN IT LIKE 176 00:07:10,155 --> 00:07:12,290 GEORGE BUSH IN 2004, HE IS GOING 177 00:07:12,357 --> 00:07:13,891 TO REFUSE TO CONCEDE HE IS GOING 178 00:07:13,959 --> 00:07:16,593 TO LOSE MICHIGAN AND MAKE OBAMA 179 00:07:16,661 --> 00:07:17,395 WORK HERE. 180 00:07:17,462 --> 00:07:18,896 THE OTHER NIGHT, WILL BE ON THE 181 00:07:18,964 --> 00:07:21,432 GIBBS, FORMER PRESS SECRETARY 182 00:07:21,499 --> 00:07:23,367 WAS HERE, I THINK WE HAVE TO 183 00:07:23,501 --> 00:07:25,669 SPEND $10,000 IN MICHIGAN AND WE 184 00:07:25,770 --> 00:07:26,570 CAN STILL WIN. 185 00:07:26,638 --> 00:07:29,407 >> HE WAS WHISTLING FOR THE 186 00:07:29,474 --> 00:07:30,574 GRAVEYARD. 187 00:07:30,775 --> 00:07:31,842 [ LAUGHTER ] 188 00:07:31,910 --> 00:07:35,413 >> SINCE THE PRIMARY, THEY SPENT 189 00:07:35,480 --> 00:07:37,348 A GOOSE EGG WHICH IS BAD FOR THE 190 00:07:37,416 --> 00:07:38,215 ECONOMY. 191 00:07:38,283 --> 00:07:41,052 ROMNEY FOLKS HAVE KICKED IN. 192 00:07:41,119 --> 00:07:42,353 WE APPRECIATE THAT. 193 00:07:42,421 --> 00:07:45,489 >> YOU MENTIONED MIKE COX, ABOUT 194 00:07:45,590 --> 00:07:48,092 THE FLAP OVER THE 47%. 195 00:07:48,160 --> 00:07:49,827 IN ANOTHER WEEK NOBODY WILL 196 00:07:49,894 --> 00:07:51,295 REMEMBER THE STORY AND MOVE ON 197 00:07:51,363 --> 00:07:52,430 TO SOMETHING ELSE. 198 00:07:52,530 --> 00:07:54,465 IS HE ON TO SOMETHING? 199 00:07:54,532 --> 00:07:55,532 >> HE MAY BE. 200 00:07:55,600 --> 00:07:57,435 ONE OF THE THINGS THAT IS 201 00:07:57,535 --> 00:07:58,802 SHOWING UP IN THE POLLS, VOTED 202 00:07:58,870 --> 00:08:00,404 IS COMING OFF THE DEMOCRATIC 203 00:08:00,472 --> 00:08:01,671 NATIONAL CONVENTION WHERE WE 204 00:08:01,738 --> 00:08:03,840 HEARD A LOT ABOUT THE AUTO 205 00:08:03,907 --> 00:08:05,208 INDUSTRY IN THAT CONVENTION. 206 00:08:05,276 --> 00:08:06,542 THERE WAS SOME ISSUES IN THE 207 00:08:06,643 --> 00:08:09,779 REPUBLICAN CONVENTION, THAT MAY 208 00:08:09,880 --> 00:08:12,382 HAVE NOT GONE OVER TOO WELL. 209 00:08:12,450 --> 00:08:14,351 ROMNEY HASN'T GIVEN INDEPENDENT 210 00:08:14,418 --> 00:08:15,885 VOTERS TO TALK ABOUT. 211 00:08:15,953 --> 00:08:17,820 >> Tim: HE HAS BUT NOT WHAT THEY 212 00:08:17,888 --> 00:08:20,656 WANT TO TALK ABOUT. 213 00:08:20,724 --> 00:08:24,894 >> IT'S PART OF THE 47%. 214 00:08:24,996 --> 00:08:28,798 >> JIM BLANCHARD SAYS I AM PART 215 00:08:28,866 --> 00:08:31,167 OF THE 47% AND I AM PAYING 216 00:08:31,235 --> 00:08:31,868 TAXES. 217 00:08:31,935 --> 00:08:33,403 WILL THIS BLOW OVER? 218 00:08:33,504 --> 00:08:35,905 >> EVERYTHING BLOWS OVER 219 00:08:35,973 --> 00:08:36,739 EVENTUALLY. 220 00:08:36,807 --> 00:08:38,674 THERE WILL BE SOMETHING NEW. 221 00:08:38,775 --> 00:08:40,377 RIGHT NOW IT'S GETTING A LOT OF 222 00:08:40,444 --> 00:08:40,877 PLAY. 223 00:08:40,944 --> 00:08:42,745 A LOT OF PEOPLE REALLY FEEL LIKE 224 00:08:42,813 --> 00:08:44,314 THIS IS LEGALLY MITT ROMNEY. 225 00:08:44,382 --> 00:08:47,817 >> THE REPUBLICANS ARE TROTTING 226 00:08:47,885 --> 00:08:51,687 OUT THAT PRESIDENT WANTS TO 227 00:08:51,755 --> 00:08:54,224 REDISTRIBUTE THE WEALTH. 228 00:08:54,325 --> 00:08:57,227 WILL THAT GET THE SAME LEGS AS 229 00:08:57,328 --> 00:08:58,161 THIS THING? 230 00:08:58,262 --> 00:08:59,229 >> IT WILL NOT. 231 00:08:59,296 --> 00:09:00,930 >> IT'S SOCIALIST. 232 00:09:00,998 --> 00:09:03,165 >> THEY HAVE BEEN SAYING ALL 233 00:09:03,233 --> 00:09:05,401 ALONG, IT HASN'T WORKED YET. 234 00:09:05,468 --> 00:09:08,637 LOOK, HE HAS GOT TO DO 235 00:09:08,704 --> 00:09:09,304 SOMETHING. 236 00:09:09,372 --> 00:09:10,906 HE COULD POSSIBLY -- THIS IS 237 00:09:10,973 --> 00:09:12,074 WHAT THE CONSERVATIVES AND 238 00:09:12,142 --> 00:09:14,410 REPUBLICANS HOPE -- CONVERTED 239 00:09:14,477 --> 00:09:17,513 THIS FIASCO INTO SOMETHING 240 00:09:17,613 --> 00:09:20,782 SPECTACULAR, LIKE DO A JUJITSU 241 00:09:20,850 --> 00:09:25,387 AND REFRAME THE WHOLE DEBATE. 242 00:09:25,488 --> 00:09:29,425 >> Tim: DOES HE MEAN IT? 243 00:09:29,492 --> 00:09:32,261 >> HE SOLIDIFIES THE BASE WITH 244 00:09:32,328 --> 00:09:32,794 THAT. 245 00:09:32,862 --> 00:09:34,329 >> HE CAN BASICALLY TURN NIGHT 246 00:09:34,431 --> 00:09:36,565 THE ARGUMENT THEY ARE PUSHING. 247 00:09:36,632 --> 00:09:37,933 WHICH IS WHAT THE REPUBLICANS 248 00:09:38,034 --> 00:09:43,472 BELIEVE IN GROWING JOBS FOR 249 00:09:43,540 --> 00:09:44,339 EVERYBODY. 250 00:09:44,407 --> 00:09:45,907 >> I AM NOT INTERESTED IN THESE 251 00:09:45,975 --> 00:09:46,442 PEOPLE. 252 00:09:46,543 --> 00:09:50,479 I BELIEVE IT HAS BEEN 253 00:09:50,547 --> 00:09:51,447 MISINTERPRETED. 254 00:09:51,514 --> 00:09:52,414 >> THAT LINE WAS IN THE CONTEXT 255 00:09:52,515 --> 00:09:54,216 I'M NOT GOING TO GET THEM. 256 00:09:54,284 --> 00:09:55,584 THEY ARE ALREADY GONE. 257 00:09:55,651 --> 00:09:56,918 >> THAT IS WHAT HAPPENS IN 258 00:09:57,019 --> 00:09:57,419 CAMPAIGNS. 259 00:09:57,520 --> 00:09:58,520 >> Tim: IS IT UNFAIR? 260 00:09:58,621 --> 00:10:00,322 >> OF COURSE IT'S UNFAIR. 261 00:10:00,457 --> 00:10:01,389 THERE IS POLITICS. 262 00:10:01,457 --> 00:10:02,790 YOU HAVE TO COME UP WITH 263 00:10:02,891 --> 00:10:04,325 SOMETHING ELSE TO COUNTER IT. 264 00:10:04,393 --> 00:10:06,694 THE PROBLEM IS ROMNEY HAS NOT 265 00:10:06,761 --> 00:10:09,997 BEEN NIMBLE ENOUGH TO PIVOT AND 266 00:10:10,065 --> 00:10:11,699 DO SOMETHING DIFFERENT AND GET 267 00:10:11,766 --> 00:10:13,201 PEOPLE TO FOCUS ON SOMETHING 268 00:10:13,268 --> 00:10:14,535 THAT IS GOING TO BE POSITIVE FOR 269 00:10:14,603 --> 00:10:15,103 HIM. 270 00:10:15,170 --> 00:10:17,205 HE CAN'T SEEM TO STOP SHOOTING 271 00:10:17,406 --> 00:10:18,206 HIMSELF IN THE FOOT. 272 00:10:18,273 --> 00:10:20,208 >> Tim: NUMBERS IN THE U.S. 273 00:10:20,309 --> 00:10:21,976 SENATE RACE? 274 00:10:22,077 --> 00:10:26,947 >> STABENOW WITH A 16-POINT LEAD 275 00:10:27,015 --> 00:10:28,983 OVER CONGRESSMAN HOEKSTRA. 276 00:10:29,084 --> 00:10:31,652 >> THAT IS REALLY BIG. 277 00:10:31,720 --> 00:10:34,088 >> WHY IS IT THAT BIG? 278 00:10:34,223 --> 00:10:38,659 >> I THINK IT'S IMPORTANT IF 279 00:10:38,727 --> 00:10:40,528 IT'S AN INDICATION OF A TREND. 280 00:10:40,596 --> 00:10:42,163 SHE GOT THE FARM BILL 281 00:10:42,231 --> 00:10:43,264 ENDORSEMENT. 282 00:10:43,332 --> 00:10:46,300 HOEKSTRA HAS NEVER TAKEN OFF. 283 00:10:46,401 --> 00:10:48,869 HIS CAMPAIGN NEVER CAUGHT FIRE. 284 00:10:48,937 --> 00:10:50,671 SHE IS SITTING ON HER MONEY. 285 00:10:50,739 --> 00:10:55,109 SHE HASN'T SPENT ANYTHING. 286 00:10:55,177 --> 00:10:57,145 >> Tim: HOW DOES HOEKSTRA WIN 287 00:10:57,246 --> 00:10:57,945 THIS THING? 288 00:10:58,013 --> 00:11:04,351 >> THAT IS AN EXCELLENT QUESTION 289 00:11:04,418 --> 00:11:09,389 WE SHOULD HAVE HIM BACK. 290 00:11:09,457 --> 00:11:13,193 >> THEY SHOULD DO THE DEBATES. 291 00:11:13,294 --> 00:11:15,728 >> THEY DON'T HAVE THE FORMAT. 292 00:11:15,796 --> 00:11:17,364 >> THEY SCHEDULED ON TWO. 293 00:11:17,465 --> 00:11:19,299 >> THE JOINT ECONOMIC CLUB AND 294 00:11:19,400 --> 00:11:20,400 ON THE WEST SIDE. 295 00:11:20,501 --> 00:11:25,038 >> DO THEY HAVE A DATE? 296 00:11:25,105 --> 00:11:26,506 >> THAT IS WHAT I MEAN. 297 00:11:26,574 --> 00:11:28,308 >>> WE TAKE NO QUESTIONS FROM 298 00:11:28,409 --> 00:11:31,044 REPORTERS AND QUESTIONS FROM THE 299 00:11:31,145 --> 00:11:31,645 AUDIENCE. 300 00:11:31,712 --> 00:11:33,780 >> THE THING THAT IS HURTING 301 00:11:33,881 --> 00:11:35,815 PETE HOEKSTRA IS THE SAME THING 302 00:11:35,916 --> 00:11:38,051 HURTING MITT ROMNEY. 303 00:11:38,118 --> 00:11:41,921 STABENOW HAS A 2-1 MARGIN IN 304 00:11:41,989 --> 00:11:43,456 WOMEN OVER PETE HOEKSTRA. 305 00:11:43,524 --> 00:11:45,458 >> THE REASON WHY IS THERE IS 306 00:11:45,526 --> 00:11:47,360 MORE DEMOCRATS IN YOUR SURVEY 307 00:11:47,428 --> 00:11:49,529 PEOPLE HAVE MOVED INTO THAT 308 00:11:49,630 --> 00:11:50,797 COLUMN SINCE THE LAST POLLING. 309 00:11:50,864 --> 00:11:52,532 YOU HAVE WOMEN THAT IDENTIFY AS 310 00:11:52,600 --> 00:11:55,302 INDEPENDENTS ARE NOW SHIFTING TO 311 00:11:55,369 --> 00:11:55,902 DEMOCRATS. 312 00:11:55,969 --> 00:11:58,338 >> IN AUGUST SURVEY IT WAS 39% 313 00:11:58,406 --> 00:12:01,074 DEMOCRATS, 32 REPUBLICAN AND 25 314 00:12:01,141 --> 00:12:01,973 INDEPENDENTS. 315 00:12:02,041 --> 00:12:03,609 INDEPENDENTS ARE SHIFTING OVER 316 00:12:03,710 --> 00:12:06,245 INTO THE DEMOCRATIC COLUMN. 317 00:12:06,313 --> 00:12:10,583 >> THEY AREN'T STAYING THERE. 318 00:12:10,650 --> 00:12:12,685 >> ANYTHING AT BALLOT PROPOSALS 319 00:12:12,752 --> 00:12:13,985 JUMPED OUT AT YOU? 320 00:12:14,053 --> 00:12:17,956 >> THE BRIDGE IS MAKING A 321 00:12:18,024 --> 00:12:18,557 COMEBACK. 322 00:12:18,625 --> 00:12:20,158 >> Tim: TOWARD 50%? 323 00:12:20,227 --> 00:12:21,793 >> 49.9. 324 00:12:21,861 --> 00:12:23,529 >> YOU HAVE TO BE OVER 60. 325 00:12:23,630 --> 00:12:29,067 >> THEY WERE AT 42 1/2 BACK IN 326 00:12:29,135 --> 00:12:31,903 AUGUST. 327 00:12:31,971 --> 00:12:35,941 ITS COMEBACK IS POSSIBLY LINKED 328 00:12:36,008 --> 00:12:37,376 TO THEIR ADS. 329 00:12:37,444 --> 00:12:41,179 THEY SPENT MILLIONS OF DOLLARS. 330 00:12:41,248 --> 00:12:43,616 THEIR ADS ARE TELLING PEOPLE WHY 331 00:12:43,717 --> 00:12:45,817 THEY ARE VOTING YES. 332 00:12:45,918 --> 00:12:47,819 FEATURING INTERVIEWS PEOPLE 333 00:12:47,887 --> 00:12:49,221 SAYING WE DON'T HAVE ENOUGH 334 00:12:49,289 --> 00:12:52,691 MONEY FOR SCHOOLS BUT HOW COULD 335 00:12:52,759 --> 00:12:58,096 WE HAVE ENOUGH MONEY FOR BRIDGE. 336 00:12:58,164 --> 00:13:00,633 NOBODY IS POINTING THAT OUT. 337 00:13:00,700 --> 00:13:02,967 THEY ARE BENEFITING AND PEOPLE 338 00:13:03,034 --> 00:13:04,935 I'VE INTERVIEWED THEY SAY THOSE 339 00:13:05,003 --> 00:13:06,604 ADS RESONATE. 340 00:13:06,672 --> 00:13:08,172 THE OTHER PEOPLE THAT LIKE THOSE 341 00:13:08,240 --> 00:13:09,507 ADS IS LABOR UNIONS. 342 00:13:09,608 --> 00:13:12,843 THAT MATCHES THEIR MESSAGE ON 343 00:13:12,944 --> 00:13:14,445 PROPOSAL 12 ON COLLECTIVE 344 00:13:14,513 --> 00:13:16,046 BARGAINING THERE IS SOME KIND OF 345 00:13:16,114 --> 00:13:18,349 AN ASSAULT BY SPECIAL INTERESTS 346 00:13:18,417 --> 00:13:22,353 ON PUBLIC WORKERS, TEACHERS, 347 00:13:22,421 --> 00:13:22,887 FIREFIGHTERS. 348 00:13:22,954 --> 00:13:24,889 SO THE LABOR UNIONS LIKE THESE 349 00:13:24,956 --> 00:13:26,824 ADS BECAUSE IT'S RESONATES WITH 350 00:13:26,892 --> 00:13:28,726 THE SAME MESSAGE THEY ARE 351 00:13:28,794 --> 00:13:33,998 PUSHING AND THE UAW. 352 00:13:34,065 --> 00:13:36,801 >>> IT MAY BE A POINT. 353 00:13:36,902 --> 00:13:38,202 >> I DON'T SEE IN THE 354 00:13:38,270 --> 00:13:38,603 CONNECTION. 355 00:13:38,671 --> 00:13:40,204 >> I JUST MISSED IT. 356 00:13:40,306 --> 00:13:42,674 >> FINALLY LINK UP ON A YES 357 00:13:42,741 --> 00:13:44,709 CAMPAIGN BUT NOBODY COULD GET IT 358 00:13:44,777 --> 00:13:45,209 TOGETHER. 359 00:13:45,277 --> 00:13:47,578 >> Tim: IS THE NO RESONATE GO IS 360 00:13:47,680 --> 00:13:49,414 THAT IS WHAT DOMINATING? 361 00:13:49,481 --> 00:13:50,548 >> I THINK IT IS. 362 00:13:50,616 --> 00:13:53,651 I THINK IT'S HURTING PROPOSAL 1, 363 00:13:53,719 --> 00:13:56,053 A FINANCIAL MANAGER, THAT 364 00:13:56,154 --> 00:13:57,789 SUPPORT HAS DROPPED. 365 00:13:57,856 --> 00:13:59,691 ALL THOSE OVER IS HOVERING 366 00:13:59,792 --> 00:14:02,091 AROUND THE HIGH 40s AND 50s. 367 00:14:02,193 --> 00:14:03,960 YOU NEED MORE OF A CUSHION THAN 368 00:14:04,028 --> 00:14:05,295 THAT GOING INTO AN ELECTION. 369 00:14:05,363 --> 00:14:06,630 >> IT'S VERY HARD TO POLL ON 370 00:14:06,698 --> 00:14:08,598 THESE QUESTIONS. 371 00:14:08,666 --> 00:14:11,468 WE PROBABLY SEE A SURPRISE WITH 372 00:14:11,536 --> 00:14:12,602 SOMETHING ON ELECTION DAY. 373 00:14:12,670 --> 00:14:16,773 >> YOU CANNOT POLL BALLOTS. 374 00:14:16,874 --> 00:14:18,508 >> WHEN WE HAD THE SUMMARIES 375 00:14:18,676 --> 00:14:20,310 BASED ON THE PETITIONS, NOW WE 376 00:14:20,378 --> 00:14:21,578 HAVE HUNDRED WORD STATEMENTS 377 00:14:21,646 --> 00:14:24,280 FROM THE BALLOTS AND READ THOSE 378 00:14:24,349 --> 00:14:27,050 TO PEOPLE, IT'S VERY EASY TO GET 379 00:14:27,151 --> 00:14:27,584 LOST. 380 00:14:27,719 --> 00:14:30,220 >> ONE OF SUBTLE THINGS YOU CAN 381 00:14:30,321 --> 00:14:34,290 POLL FOR IS IF THIS BRIDGE IS A 382 00:14:34,359 --> 00:14:36,693 LITTLE TOWN CALLED DETROIT. 383 00:14:36,794 --> 00:14:38,127 ANYTHING WITH A DSM IS ON IT 384 00:14:38,229 --> 00:14:39,929 OTHER THAN THE TIGERS? 385 00:14:39,997 --> 00:14:42,399 >> MAYBE PEOPLE THINK PEOPLE 386 00:14:42,467 --> 00:14:45,335 FROM DETROIT WILL LEAVE TO 387 00:14:45,436 --> 00:14:45,869 CANADA. 388 00:14:45,936 --> 00:14:47,270 >> YOU COULD MAKE THAT ARGUMENT 389 00:14:47,338 --> 00:14:48,605 BUT I'M NOT SURE THEY ARE GOING 390 00:14:48,706 --> 00:14:49,072 TO. 391 00:14:49,139 --> 00:14:50,474 >> AM I ON TO SOMETHING? 392 00:14:50,541 --> 00:14:53,443 >> YOU THINK THE STATE IS GOING 393 00:14:53,511 --> 00:14:54,811 TO VOTED AGAINST THIS. 394 00:14:54,879 --> 00:14:56,145 >> I WOULDN'T BET THAT. 395 00:14:56,213 --> 00:14:59,215 THERE ARE A LOT OF PEOPLE OUT OF 396 00:14:59,283 --> 00:15:00,917 STATE WHO ARE RETIRED. 397 00:15:00,985 --> 00:15:03,051 A INTERVIEWED A MAN IN TRAVERSE 398 00:15:03,119 --> 00:15:04,319 CITY LAST NIGHT. 399 00:15:04,388 --> 00:15:06,288 HE READS THE DETROIT PAPERS 400 00:15:06,356 --> 00:15:08,858 PRETTY REGULARLY. 401 00:15:08,958 --> 00:15:09,792 >> HE IS THE ONE. 402 00:15:09,860 --> 00:15:13,696 >> HE KNOWS WHO IS BEHIND THE 403 00:15:13,764 --> 00:15:16,899 BRIDGE AMENDMENT. 404 00:15:16,966 --> 00:15:20,235 >> ONE POLL HAS 64%. 405 00:15:20,303 --> 00:15:23,939 >> LET'S GO WITH CHARLIE OWENS. 406 00:15:24,007 --> 00:15:26,208 >> CHARLIE OWENS IS THE STATE 407 00:15:26,276 --> 00:15:28,544 DIRECTOR OF THE MICHIGAN CHAPTER 408 00:15:28,612 --> 00:15:29,978 OF NFIB. 409 00:15:30,046 --> 00:15:31,914 HE HAS BEEN IN LANSING LOBBYIST 410 00:15:32,015 --> 00:15:33,749 FOR 25 YEARS AND IS CURRENTLY 411 00:15:34,017 --> 00:15:35,183 WORKING WITH A GROUP TRYING TO 412 00:15:35,251 --> 00:15:37,252 INSTALL A TWO-THIRDS VOTE TO 413 00:15:37,353 --> 00:15:38,854 RAISE TAXES AFRICAN-AMERICAN 414 00:15:38,922 --> 00:15:40,289 NATIVE OF ILLINOIS, MR. OWENS 415 00:15:40,356 --> 00:15:42,190 EARNED HIS UNDERGRADUATE DEGREE 416 00:15:42,325 --> 00:15:44,794 FROM NORTHERN ILLINOIS. 417 00:15:44,861 --> 00:15:46,762 >> Tim: MR. OWENS IS HERE 418 00:15:46,830 --> 00:15:48,130 BECAUSE THE PEOPLE THAT WERE 419 00:15:48,197 --> 00:15:49,498 FIGHTING THIS BALLOT YOU ARE A 420 00:15:49,566 --> 00:15:50,232 YES VOTE. 421 00:15:50,300 --> 00:15:52,535 CHAD HAS THE FIRST QUESTION? 422 00:15:52,602 --> 00:15:54,136 >> WHY SHOULD PEOPLE VOTE FOR 423 00:15:54,237 --> 00:15:54,637 THIS? 424 00:15:54,738 --> 00:15:56,371 >> I THINK THAT IF YOU CONSIDER 425 00:15:56,440 --> 00:15:59,742 THE FACT THAT WHAT WE'VE SEEN IN 426 00:15:59,810 --> 00:16:01,009 WASHINGTON AND IN A LOT OF STATE 427 00:16:01,077 --> 00:16:03,344 AND LOCAL GOVERNMENTS, WHEN 428 00:16:03,446 --> 00:16:04,779 THERE IS A CRISIS IN THE BUDGET, 429 00:16:04,880 --> 00:16:06,748 WHEN THERE IS A BUDGET SHORTFALL 430 00:16:06,816 --> 00:16:08,516 IT SEEMS LIKE TAX INCREASES ARE 431 00:16:08,584 --> 00:16:10,284 THE FIRST PLACES THAT ELECTED 432 00:16:10,352 --> 00:16:11,519 OFFICIALS LIKE TO GO. 433 00:16:11,587 --> 00:16:13,621 THIS WOULD MAKE IT A LITTLE 434 00:16:13,722 --> 00:16:15,356 HARDER FOR THEM TO DO THAT. 435 00:16:15,424 --> 00:16:16,925 OUR HOPE IS THAT WOULD FORCE 436 00:16:16,992 --> 00:16:19,093 THEM TO PRIORITIZE SPENDING AND 437 00:16:19,161 --> 00:16:19,994 OTHER THINGS. 438 00:16:20,062 --> 00:16:21,830 IF THEY CAN MAKE A CASE TO THE 439 00:16:21,897 --> 00:16:23,197 PEOPLE THEY HAVE DONE ALL THOSE 440 00:16:23,265 --> 00:16:23,731 THINGS. 441 00:16:23,799 --> 00:16:25,366 THAT IS NOT GOOD ENOUGH AND THEY 442 00:16:25,434 --> 00:16:27,335 NEED A TAX INCREASE. 443 00:16:27,402 --> 00:16:29,236 THEY CAN GET A TAX INCREASE. 444 00:16:29,304 --> 00:16:30,572 >> IS THIS A PERSONAL 445 00:16:30,639 --> 00:16:33,307 INFORMATION OR NFID'S POSITION? 446 00:16:33,375 --> 00:16:37,679 >> THIS IS THEIR POSITION. 447 00:16:37,746 --> 00:16:39,814 >>> WOULD YOU VOTE YES ON IT OR 448 00:16:39,882 --> 00:16:40,482 NOT? 449 00:16:40,649 --> 00:16:42,617 >> I WOULD VOTE YES ON IT. 450 00:16:42,685 --> 00:16:44,418 >> THE OTHER PROPOSALS, WHERE DO 451 00:16:44,487 --> 00:16:48,255 YOU SIT IN WITH CHAMBER AND 452 00:16:48,323 --> 00:16:49,524 MICHIGAN MANUFACTURERS AND SMALL 453 00:16:49,592 --> 00:16:49,991 BUSINESS. 454 00:16:50,058 --> 00:16:52,494 HAVE YOU COALESCED AND UNIFIED 455 00:16:52,595 --> 00:16:56,764 IN ONE POSITION ON MORE THAN.... 456 00:16:56,832 --> 00:16:58,533 >> ON ANYTHING? 457 00:16:58,601 --> 00:17:00,167 >> ACTUALLY THE BALLOT PROPOSAL? 458 00:17:00,235 --> 00:17:01,668 >> MOST OF THE TIME WE ARE ON 459 00:17:01,736 --> 00:17:02,769 THE SAME PAGE. 460 00:17:02,837 --> 00:17:05,438 WE SETTLE OUR POLICIES 461 00:17:05,540 --> 00:17:09,510 DIFFERENTLY THAN OTHER GROUPS BY 462 00:17:09,577 --> 00:17:10,577 SURVEYING OUR MEMBERS. 463 00:17:10,645 --> 00:17:12,178 THAT PUTS US IN A DIFFERENT 464 00:17:12,246 --> 00:17:13,313 PLACE QUITE OFTEN. 465 00:17:13,381 --> 00:17:15,549 THE SHORT ANSWER, WE AGREE WITH 466 00:17:15,617 --> 00:17:19,386 THOSE GROUPS ON TWO AND FOUR. 467 00:17:19,453 --> 00:17:20,186 VOTE NO. 468 00:17:20,321 --> 00:17:21,855 WE WANT TO SEE THE EMERGENCY 469 00:17:21,923 --> 00:17:23,557 MANAGER LAW LEFT ENACT WHICH 470 00:17:23,625 --> 00:17:27,093 WOULD BE YES VOTE ON 1. 471 00:17:27,161 --> 00:17:29,930 THE AREA WE DIFFICULT IS PROP 5 472 00:17:30,031 --> 00:17:31,331 ON TWO-THIRDS. 473 00:17:31,399 --> 00:17:34,267 WE HAVE NO POSITION ON THAT. 474 00:17:34,335 --> 00:17:36,469 >> WHAT ABOUT THE OTHER POSITION 475 00:17:36,538 --> 00:17:38,338 THE CHAMBER, THE BRIDGE 476 00:17:38,406 --> 00:17:39,039 PROPOSAL? 477 00:17:39,106 --> 00:17:40,741 >> I THINK SO. 478 00:17:40,808 --> 00:17:42,943 AGAIN, BECAUSE WE DON'T HAVE A 479 00:17:43,011 --> 00:17:43,744 POSITION ON IT. 480 00:17:43,811 --> 00:17:46,046 I HAVEN'T BEEN PAYING AS MUCH 481 00:17:46,113 --> 00:17:46,880 ATTENTION. 482 00:17:46,948 --> 00:17:48,549 >> DO YOU FIND YOU ARE 483 00:17:48,616 --> 00:17:51,151 ACCIDENTALLY IN-SYNC WITH THESE 484 00:17:51,218 --> 00:17:53,687 GROUPS OR DO YOU SIT DOWN AT A 485 00:17:53,755 --> 00:17:55,255 TABLE AND BRAINSTORM, WE'RE 486 00:17:55,356 --> 00:17:59,259 GOING TO MARCH OUT ARM IN ARM? 487 00:17:59,326 --> 00:18:01,194 >> EARLY ON WE SAT DOWN AND 488 00:18:01,295 --> 00:18:03,395 LOOKED AT THE BALLOT PROPOSALS 489 00:18:03,496 --> 00:18:06,165 AND ANALYZE OPPORTUNITIES. 490 00:18:06,232 --> 00:18:08,834 WE WERE ALL WORKING IN THE SAME 491 00:18:08,936 --> 00:18:09,602 DIRECTION. 492 00:18:09,670 --> 00:18:10,402 MY CHALLENGE IS A LOT OF THESE 493 00:18:10,470 --> 00:18:13,405 GROUPS BECAUSE THEY SET POLICY 494 00:18:13,473 --> 00:18:15,741 TO BOARDS OF DIRECTORS OR 495 00:18:15,809 --> 00:18:17,043 LEGISLATIVE COMMITTEES. 496 00:18:17,110 --> 00:18:19,579 WHEN WE GET IN THE COMMITTEES, 497 00:18:19,646 --> 00:18:20,980 THEY SAY WE'RE GOING IN THIS 498 00:18:21,081 --> 00:18:21,647 DIRECTION. 499 00:18:21,748 --> 00:18:23,716 I SAY I THINK MY MEMBERS WILL GO 500 00:18:23,784 --> 00:18:25,384 IN THIS DIRECTION UNTIL I SURVEY 501 00:18:25,452 --> 00:18:26,485 THEM I DO NOT KNOW. 502 00:18:26,553 --> 00:18:30,322 >>> THE OTHER SIDE IS GOING TO 503 00:18:30,390 --> 00:18:32,825 BE MAKING MATTIE THE BAD GUY 504 00:18:32,893 --> 00:18:34,460 BECAUSE HE IS FUNDING THE TWO 505 00:18:34,527 --> 00:18:35,227 THIRDS VOTE? 506 00:18:35,295 --> 00:18:36,963 >> IT MAY BE A LIABILITY FOR THE 507 00:18:37,064 --> 00:18:37,463 PROPOSAL. 508 00:18:37,530 --> 00:18:38,864 IT'S NOT A LIABILITY FOR US. 509 00:18:38,966 --> 00:18:40,900 IF YOU GO BACK TO 2006 WHEN WE 510 00:18:40,968 --> 00:18:44,937 HAD THE STOPOVER SPENDING EFFORT 511 00:18:45,005 --> 00:18:48,074 IT DOESN'T REALLY MATTER TO US 512 00:18:48,141 --> 00:18:49,008 HOW IT GOT THERE. 513 00:18:49,076 --> 00:18:50,576 WE'RE GOING TO VOTE WHAT IS IN 514 00:18:50,677 --> 00:18:51,577 FRONT OF US. 515 00:18:51,645 --> 00:18:53,646 >> IF A PROPOSAL IS ON THE 516 00:18:53,747 --> 00:18:55,214 BALLOT. 517 00:18:55,281 --> 00:18:56,882 IT'S OUR JOB. 518 00:18:56,950 --> 00:19:01,153 >> BUT HOW ABOUT HAVING HIM FUND 519 00:19:01,221 --> 00:19:01,620 IT? 520 00:19:01,687 --> 00:19:03,287 >> I DIDN'T SAY THAT. 521 00:19:03,355 --> 00:19:05,256 >> WHY MIGHT IT BE? 522 00:19:05,324 --> 00:19:06,891 >> THERE WAS ONE SPECIFIC 523 00:19:06,993 --> 00:19:08,693 INDIVIDUAL THAT PUT A LOT OF 524 00:19:08,761 --> 00:19:09,761 FUNDING FOR IT. 525 00:19:09,829 --> 00:19:11,730 THAT MAY BE A NEGATIVE FOR SOME 526 00:19:11,831 --> 00:19:13,064 PEOPLE. 527 00:19:13,132 --> 00:19:14,365 STOPOVER IT WAS OUT OF STATE 528 00:19:14,433 --> 00:19:15,366 GROUP THAT CAME IN. 529 00:19:15,434 --> 00:19:17,301 I THINK THAT SOME GROUPS REACT 530 00:19:17,369 --> 00:19:19,004 TO THAT NEGATIVELY AND SOME 531 00:19:19,071 --> 00:19:20,739 VOTERS MAY. 532 00:19:20,806 --> 00:19:23,942 >> LAST YEAR THE CENSUS THEY GOT 533 00:19:24,010 --> 00:19:27,245 A $1 BILLION TAX CUT AND TAX 534 00:19:27,312 --> 00:19:28,713 INCREASES FOR INDIVIDUALS. 535 00:19:28,781 --> 00:19:30,982 THAT COULDN'T HAPPEN UNDER 536 00:19:31,083 --> 00:19:32,083 PROPOSAL 5. 537 00:19:32,151 --> 00:19:33,584 WOULD THAT BE A BAD THING? 538 00:19:33,653 --> 00:19:34,753 >> IT WOULD BE. 539 00:19:34,820 --> 00:19:36,320 I HAVE HAD THE QUESTION PUT TO 540 00:19:36,388 --> 00:19:39,924 ME, IF WE HAD PROPOSAL 5 IN 541 00:19:39,992 --> 00:19:41,626 PLACE YOU WOULD HAVE GOTTEN RID 542 00:19:41,694 --> 00:19:44,162 OF THE MICHIGAN BUSINESS TAX AND 543 00:19:44,229 --> 00:19:47,032 GONE TO THE NEW TAX SYSTEM. 544 00:19:47,099 --> 00:19:49,067 I BELIEVE PROBABLY NOT. 545 00:19:49,135 --> 00:19:51,502 IF YOU GO BACK TO THE VOTED. 546 00:19:51,570 --> 00:19:53,705 LIEUTENANT GOVERNOR CAST THE TIE 547 00:19:53,773 --> 00:19:54,839 BREAKING VOTED. 548 00:19:54,974 --> 00:20:00,845 >> Tim: WHY WERE SUPPORTING IT? 549 00:20:00,913 --> 00:20:02,546 >> THAT WAS THEN AND THIS IS 550 00:20:02,647 --> 00:20:03,681 NOW. 551 00:20:03,782 --> 00:20:05,215 HERE WE HAVE A SITUATION WHERE 552 00:20:05,283 --> 00:20:06,917 WE THINK WE HAVE MADE GREAT 553 00:20:07,018 --> 00:20:09,153 PROGRESS IN THE BUSINESS TAX 554 00:20:09,220 --> 00:20:10,487 CLIMATE IN THE STATE. 555 00:20:10,588 --> 00:20:14,591 NOW, WE'RE WORRIED ABOUT IT 556 00:20:14,659 --> 00:20:15,592 BEING JEOPARDIZED. 557 00:20:15,660 --> 00:20:16,393 >> YOU HAVE A REPUBLICAN 558 00:20:16,494 --> 00:20:17,761 GOVERNOR AND A LEGISLATURE THAT 559 00:20:17,829 --> 00:20:18,962 IS LIKELY TO BE REPUBLICAN. 560 00:20:19,030 --> 00:20:23,133 WHAT ARE YOU WORRIED ABOUT? 561 00:20:23,234 --> 00:20:26,670 >> WELL, HISTORY HAS SHOWN THAT 562 00:20:26,738 --> 00:20:29,006 THESE THINGS DO EASTBOUND AND 563 00:20:29,074 --> 00:20:29,673 FLOW. 564 00:20:29,741 --> 00:20:34,211 I GO BACK BEING IN THIS DOWN TOO 565 00:20:34,278 --> 00:20:34,712 LONG. 566 00:20:34,946 --> 00:20:37,280 I REMEMBER IN THE ENGLER 567 00:20:37,348 --> 00:20:39,116 ADMINISTRATION WE HAD SO MUCH 568 00:20:39,217 --> 00:20:40,851 MONEY WE DIDN'T EVEN KNOW WHAT 569 00:20:40,985 --> 00:20:42,452 TO DO WITH IT. 570 00:20:42,520 --> 00:20:44,154 YOU WERE THERE. 571 00:20:44,222 --> 00:20:47,124 AT THAT POINT IT WAS PA FIGHT 572 00:20:47,225 --> 00:20:51,128 OVER WHICH TAX CUT HOW LOW DO WE 573 00:20:51,196 --> 00:20:53,396 MAKE THE INCOME TAX. 574 00:20:53,464 --> 00:20:56,299 OUR CONCERN IS EVEN WITH THE 575 00:20:56,400 --> 00:20:57,534 FISCAL RESPONSIBILITIES SHOWN BY 576 00:20:57,602 --> 00:20:59,036 THE CURRENT ADMINISTRATION AND 577 00:20:59,104 --> 00:21:01,904 LEGISLATURE, WITHIN A FEW YEARS 578 00:21:01,972 --> 00:21:03,973 OR MORE, WE COULD BE BACK INTO A 579 00:21:04,074 --> 00:21:06,275 SITUATION WHERE WE HAVE 580 00:21:06,343 --> 00:21:08,845 SURPLUSES. 581 00:21:08,912 --> 00:21:13,582 WE LOOK AH THE LITTLE SURPLUS. 582 00:21:13,650 --> 00:21:14,951 >> Tim: THEN YOU DON'T HAVE TO 583 00:21:15,018 --> 00:21:16,986 WOULD WORRY ABOUT A TAX HIKE? 584 00:21:17,054 --> 00:21:19,455 >> BUT THE TEMPTATION TO SPEND 585 00:21:19,522 --> 00:21:20,356 RISES AGAIN. 586 00:21:20,457 --> 00:21:23,325 THAT LEADS AT SOME POINT THE 587 00:21:23,393 --> 00:21:25,294 SURPLUS IS SPENT AND THEN WE 588 00:21:25,362 --> 00:21:26,629 HEAD INTO A DEFICIT. 589 00:21:26,696 --> 00:21:28,731 >> Tim: HOW ABOUT ON THE OUTSIDE 590 00:21:28,799 --> 00:21:30,199 LOOKING INTO AND EVERYBODY IN 591 00:21:30,300 --> 00:21:32,135 TOWN IS AGAINST THIS PROPOSAL? 592 00:21:32,202 --> 00:21:34,403 >> WE'RE THE ONLY GROUP THAT 593 00:21:34,504 --> 00:21:35,738 SUPPORTS TERM LIMITS. 594 00:21:35,839 --> 00:21:37,273 >> IN CALIFORNIA FOR INSTANCE 595 00:21:37,340 --> 00:21:41,310 THEY HAVE TERM LIMITS. 596 00:21:41,411 --> 00:21:43,112 THEY ALSO HAVE A TWO-THIRDS 597 00:21:43,180 --> 00:21:43,679 AMENDMENT. 598 00:21:43,781 --> 00:21:45,547 HAD A REPUBLICAN GOVERNOR FOR 599 00:21:45,615 --> 00:21:46,883 EIGHT YEARS AND THEY STILL HAVE 600 00:21:46,984 --> 00:21:48,885 BEEN CRITICIZED AS BEING THE 601 00:21:48,952 --> 00:21:50,052 WORST MANAGED STATE IN THE 602 00:21:50,154 --> 00:21:50,653 COUNTRY. 603 00:21:50,720 --> 00:21:53,823 THAT HASN'T CHANGED OBVIOUSLY. 604 00:21:53,891 --> 00:21:56,592 HAS THEIR VERSION OF PROPOSAL 5 605 00:21:56,660 --> 00:21:58,294 CONTRIBUTED OR IN YOUR 606 00:21:58,361 --> 00:21:59,561 ESTIMATION IS THERE SOMETHING 607 00:21:59,629 --> 00:22:00,429 ELSE GOING ON? 608 00:22:00,497 --> 00:22:01,930 >> THERE IS SOMETHING ELSE GOING 609 00:22:01,998 --> 00:22:02,430 ON. 610 00:22:02,498 --> 00:22:05,366 IF YOU ARE REFERRING TO PROP 13. 611 00:22:05,467 --> 00:22:07,803 THERE WAS PROPOSAL IT WAS 111 612 00:22:07,870 --> 00:22:10,272 THAT WAS PASSED IN 2000. 613 00:22:10,339 --> 00:22:14,242 WITHOUT GETTING INTO DETAIL IT 614 00:22:14,310 --> 00:22:16,144 WAS SUPPOSE TO THAT THE GASOLINE 615 00:22:16,212 --> 00:22:18,980 TAX BUT THERE WAS A THING THAT 616 00:22:19,048 --> 00:22:20,816 MOVED THE LIMIT WHICH WAS A 617 00:22:20,917 --> 00:22:23,118 SPENDING LIMITATION. 618 00:22:23,219 --> 00:22:27,155 WHEN THEY SLIPPED OUT THE LIMIT, 619 00:22:27,223 --> 00:22:29,090 IT STRIPPED OUT THE SPENDING 620 00:22:29,158 --> 00:22:29,891 RESTRICTIONS. 621 00:22:29,959 --> 00:22:31,526 AFTER THAT HAD OCCURRED IN 2000 622 00:22:31,593 --> 00:22:34,462 WAS 30% INCREASE IN SPENDING 623 00:22:34,530 --> 00:22:37,833 UNDER BOTH GRAY DAVIS AND ARNOLD 624 00:22:37,934 --> 00:22:39,367 SCHWARZENEGGER, A REPUBLICAN. 625 00:22:39,468 --> 00:22:42,270 THIS ISN'T A PARTY ISSUE. 626 00:22:42,338 --> 00:22:44,239 >> WHAT IF TWO YEARS FROM NOW 627 00:22:44,373 --> 00:22:46,842 THE BUSINESS COMMUNITY, NEVER 628 00:22:46,909 --> 00:22:48,710 KNOW, WE WANT TO CHANGE THIS TAX 629 00:22:48,777 --> 00:22:49,444 AGAIN. 630 00:22:49,511 --> 00:22:51,046 HOW ARE WE GOING TO DO THAT? 631 00:22:51,113 --> 00:22:53,081 >> WE HAVE TO GET TWO-THIRDS. 632 00:22:53,182 --> 00:22:54,883 >> HOW ARE YOU GOING TO DO THAT? 633 00:22:54,951 --> 00:22:57,752 >> LET'S GO BACK TO COLORADO, A 634 00:22:57,820 --> 00:22:58,854 TAX BILL OF RIGHTS. 635 00:22:58,955 --> 00:23:01,289 PEOPLE SAID IT WAS A BAD IDEA. 636 00:23:01,357 --> 00:23:02,990 I BELIEVE THEY PASSED THAT IN 637 00:23:03,058 --> 00:23:03,924 1992. 638 00:23:03,992 --> 00:23:07,962 IN 2005 A CASE, THE GOVERNOR AND 639 00:23:08,029 --> 00:23:09,296 LEGISLATURE MADE A INDICATES TO 640 00:23:09,364 --> 00:23:11,232 THE PEOPLE THAT THEY NEEDED THAT 641 00:23:11,299 --> 00:23:13,533 SPENDING LIMIT RAISED OR THEY 642 00:23:13,601 --> 00:23:16,270 NEEDED IT EX EMPTIED SO THEY 643 00:23:16,338 --> 00:23:17,537 COULD BALANCE THEIR BUDGET. 644 00:23:17,605 --> 00:23:19,206 THEY MADE A GOOD CASE TO THE 645 00:23:19,274 --> 00:23:19,874 PEOPLE. 646 00:23:20,008 --> 00:23:23,410 THE PEOPLE RESPONDED AND THEY 647 00:23:23,478 --> 00:23:25,445 OVERRODE THE SPENDING LIMIT. 648 00:23:25,513 --> 00:23:28,515 >> 13 SENATORS CAN BLOCK THE 649 00:23:28,583 --> 00:23:30,017 POLICY THAT THE MAJORITY MAY 650 00:23:30,118 --> 00:23:30,450 WANT? 651 00:23:30,518 --> 00:23:31,685 >> THAT IS ABSOLUTELY CORRECT 652 00:23:31,753 --> 00:23:33,420 BUT AGAIN, THAT GOES HAND IN 653 00:23:33,488 --> 00:23:36,623 HAND WITH OUR BELIEF THAT YOU 654 00:23:36,691 --> 00:23:39,226 NEED A HIGHER TLRB HOLD TO 655 00:23:39,327 --> 00:23:39,927 INCREASE TAXES. 656 00:23:39,995 --> 00:23:42,562 >> Tim: WHY IS MAJORITY RULE IS 657 00:23:42,630 --> 00:23:44,131 NOT OKAY WHEN IT COMES TO TAXES 658 00:23:44,199 --> 00:23:47,067 WHEN THAT IS ESSENCE OF OUR 659 00:23:47,135 --> 00:23:48,202 DEMOCRACY? 660 00:23:48,270 --> 00:23:54,041 >> IT'S BECAUSE IT'S TOO EASY. 661 00:23:54,109 --> 00:23:55,475 >> LOOK AT THE FIGHT WE HAD IN 662 00:23:55,543 --> 00:23:56,476 2007. 663 00:23:56,544 --> 00:23:59,179 YOU ALMOST HAD FIST FIGHTS ON 664 00:23:59,247 --> 00:24:00,014 THE FLOOR. 665 00:24:00,081 --> 00:24:02,382 IT HASN'T BEEN EXTREMELY EASY TO 666 00:24:02,449 --> 00:24:03,383 RAISE TAXES HERE? 667 00:24:03,450 --> 00:24:07,353 >> NO, BUT IN 2007 WE ENDED UP 668 00:24:07,454 --> 00:24:10,823 WITH A INCOME TAX OFF AND 25 669 00:24:10,891 --> 00:24:12,125 SURCHARGE ON BUSINESS TAX AND I 670 00:24:12,192 --> 00:24:15,528 THINK IT WAS OVER TWO HOURS. 671 00:24:15,595 --> 00:24:16,930 AGAIN WITH A TWO-THIRDS 672 00:24:16,997 --> 00:24:18,431 REQUIREMENT A LOT OF THAT 673 00:24:18,498 --> 00:24:20,199 WOULDN'T HAVE HAPPENED. 674 00:24:20,267 --> 00:24:23,002 >> LET ME COME BACK TO YOUR 675 00:24:23,070 --> 00:24:23,836 QUESTION. 676 00:24:23,904 --> 00:24:25,171 LET'S ASSUME THAT THE MICHIGAN 677 00:24:25,239 --> 00:24:26,605 BUSINESS TAX WAS STILL HERE. 678 00:24:26,706 --> 00:24:28,707 NOW THIS PROPOSAL CAME UP. 679 00:24:28,775 --> 00:24:30,176 THEN WHEN WE SURVEYED OUR 680 00:24:30,244 --> 00:24:32,178 MEMBERS, I WOULD MAKE THE 681 00:24:32,246 --> 00:24:34,414 CASE -- BECAUSE WE DO A PRO AND 682 00:24:34,548 --> 00:24:37,116 CON ARGUMENT AND OUR MEMBERS 683 00:24:37,184 --> 00:24:38,384 VOTE -- I WOULD HAVE MADE THE 684 00:24:38,452 --> 00:24:40,019 ARGUMENT WITH THIS IN PLACE, YOU 685 00:24:40,087 --> 00:24:42,422 WILL BE STUCK WITH A MICHIGAN 686 00:24:42,622 --> 00:24:43,356 BUSINESS TAX. 687 00:24:43,457 --> 00:24:44,924 >> Tim: WHAT WE HAVE HAPPENED TO 688 00:24:44,992 --> 00:24:45,591 THE NUMBERS? 689 00:24:45,659 --> 00:24:49,062 >> I THINK THE NUMBERS WOULD 690 00:24:49,129 --> 00:24:51,264 HAVE SHIFTED. 691 00:24:51,332 --> 00:24:53,632 WHEN MEMBERS ARE OPINING THE 692 00:24:53,733 --> 00:24:55,301 SINGLE BUSINESS TAX TO COME BACK 693 00:24:55,369 --> 00:24:57,470 YOU KNOW YOU HAVE A BAD 694 00:24:57,537 --> 00:24:58,037 SITUATION. 695 00:24:58,105 --> 00:25:00,173 >> THE LEGISLATURE COULD PASS 696 00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:01,774 RESOLUTION SUPPORT A TAX 697 00:25:01,842 --> 00:25:03,442 INCREASE FOR VOTERS TO DECIDE? 698 00:25:03,542 --> 00:25:04,242 >> CORRECT. 699 00:25:04,310 --> 00:25:06,278 >> WOULD YOUR GROUP RUN A 700 00:25:06,346 --> 00:25:07,145 CAMPAIGN FOR THAT? 701 00:25:07,213 --> 00:25:08,213 >> IT DEPENDS. 702 00:25:08,281 --> 00:25:10,048 I WOULD HAVE TO SEE WHAT THE 703 00:25:10,116 --> 00:25:11,716 NATURE OF THE TAX INCREASE AND 704 00:25:11,784 --> 00:25:13,452 THE REASONS WE WOULD SUPPORT IT. 705 00:25:13,519 --> 00:25:14,853 I DON'T KNOW. 706 00:25:14,920 --> 00:25:19,491 >> WHAT ABOUT SPENDING ON IT? 707 00:25:19,558 --> 00:25:24,262 >> I THINK THE STOP OVER STENGD. 708 00:25:24,330 --> 00:25:26,098 >> Tim: ARE YOU GOING TO RUN 709 00:25:26,165 --> 00:25:27,765 COMMERCIALS FOR A YES VOTE ON 710 00:25:27,833 --> 00:25:28,367 THIS? 711 00:25:28,468 --> 00:25:29,067 >> NO. 712 00:25:29,168 --> 00:25:31,136 >> Tim: THERE WILL BE NO ADS AT 713 00:25:31,204 --> 00:25:31,803 ALL? 714 00:25:31,904 --> 00:25:32,404 >> NO. 715 00:25:32,472 --> 00:25:35,207 >> ARE YOU PART OF A COALITION 716 00:25:35,274 --> 00:25:36,541 THERE WILL BE SPENDING? 717 00:25:36,642 --> 00:25:37,775 >> THERE WILL BE SPENDING. 718 00:25:37,843 --> 00:25:40,412 >> IT WILL COME FROM MR. MARUN? 719 00:25:40,480 --> 00:25:41,846 >> IT MAY. 720 00:25:41,914 --> 00:25:44,216 >> Tim: IS THAT TRUE ON OR IS 721 00:25:44,283 --> 00:25:46,084 THAT YOUR GUT TALKING? 722 00:25:46,152 --> 00:25:47,619 >> THAT IS MY GUT TALKING. 723 00:25:47,686 --> 00:25:49,587 >> WHAT ABOUT THE OTHER 724 00:25:49,655 --> 00:25:51,390 PROPOSALS WHO IS GOING TO PAYING 725 00:25:51,457 --> 00:25:52,024 THERE? 726 00:25:52,091 --> 00:25:53,225 >> I THINK THE BUSINESS 727 00:25:53,292 --> 00:25:55,394 COMMUNITIES, YOU'VE HEARD THE 728 00:25:55,461 --> 00:25:58,497 NUMBERS BETWEEN $30-50 MILLION 729 00:25:58,564 --> 00:26:00,432 BEING RAISED BY ORGANIZED LABOR. 730 00:26:00,500 --> 00:26:02,699 >> Tim: I HAVE TO GET OUT OF 731 00:26:02,767 --> 00:26:04,068 HERE. 732 00:26:04,136 --> 00:26:05,769 THANKS FOR JOINING US. 733 00:26:05,837 --> 00:26:10,007 DON'T FORGET WE HAVE GENE KLEM 734 00:26:10,075 --> 00:26:11,708 WILL BE SITTING ON THAT CHAIR. 735 00:26:11,776 --> 00:26:14,211 SEE YOU NEXT WEEK FOR "OFF THE 736 00:26:14,279 --> 00:26:14,678 RECORD". 737 00:26:14,746 --> 00:26:17,915 ¶ 738 00:26:17,982 --> 00:26:23,120 ¶ 739 00:26:23,188 --> 00:26:26,090 ¶ 740 00:26:26,191 --> 00:26:29,560 ¶ 741 00:26:29,627 --> 00:26:31,495 ¶ 742 00:26:31,496 --> 00:28:04,353  743 00:28:04,354 --> 00:28:04,386  744 00:28:04,387 --> 00:28:08,387 Ñóñ