WEBVTT 00:01.933 --> 00:04.033 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% GEOFF BENNETT: In addition to the moral and political debates over abortion access, 00:04.033 --> 00:08.833 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% there is an economic argument to for people living in states without access to abortions, 00:10.733 --> 00:14.266 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% the financial consequences can be long lasting. my colleague Ali Rogin has more. 00:16.566 --> 00:19.800 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% ALI ROGIN: The legalization of abortion in the 1970s had a dramatic effect on when and under 00:22.366 --> 00:24.833 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% what circumstances women become mothers. A large body of research over the 50 years since has shown 00:26.800 --> 00:30.600 align:left position:20% line:71% size:70% how unwanted pregnancies can affect women's education, employment and earning prospects. 00:32.533 --> 00:34.666 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% Caitlin Knowles Myers, an economist at Middlebury College joins us to 00:34.666 --> 00:38.900 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% discuss what we know about the economic effects of limiting access to abortion. 00:38.900 --> 00:42.500 align:left position:20% line:77% size:70% Caitlin, thank you so much for joining us. A lot of the costs of 00:42.500 --> 00:46.666 align:left position:20% line:71% size:70% having a child seem self-evident. I think to a lot of people, it's obviously a very 00:46.666 --> 00:51.633 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% expensive undertaking. But there is empirical data that shows how being denied and abortion 00:53.300 --> 00:56.333 align:left position:20% line:77% size:70% can transform a person's financial well-being. Tell us about that data. 00:56.333 --> 01:01.200 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% CAITLIN KNOWLES MYERS, Middlebury College: Sure. So economists know that whether and when to have a 01:01.200 --> 01:06.200 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% child is one of the most economically significant decisions that a woman will make in her lifetime. 01:08.200 --> 01:11.533 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% And we also know that women who are seeking abortions tend to be disproportionately at 01:13.600 --> 01:18.533 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% vulnerable moments in their lives. They are disproportionately low income, 01:18.533 --> 01:23.200 align:left position:20% line:71% size:70% most of them are already parenting. Many of them are experiencing disruptive life events 01:23.200 --> 01:25.833 align:left position:20% line:83% size:70% like being behind on the rent or losing a job. 01:27.800 --> 01:30.633 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% One really influential study, the turn away study followed hundreds of women who were 01:30.633 --> 01:35.633 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% seeking abortions. And some of these women were arriving at abortion providers just 01:37.666 --> 01:41.066 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% half the gestational age cut off to obtain the abortion, and were turned away from 01:43.133 --> 01:46.266 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% the provider as a result. And they saw that for the months and years leading up to that pivotal 01:48.233 --> 01:52.466 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% moment in their lives. All of these women had very similar financial circumstances. 01:54.466 --> 01:57.633 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% But at this moment, when a group of them was turned away from the abortion they 01:57.633 --> 02:02.600 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% wanted to have they experienced about an 80 percent increase in adverse credit events 02:04.566 --> 02:07.000 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% like bankruptcies compared to the women who received the abortions that they want it. 02:07.000 --> 02:11.200 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% ALI ROGIN: Now on the flip side, of course, it seems that the way that this 02:11.200 --> 02:16.200 align:left position:20% line:77% size:70% ruling came down means that access to people in certain socio economics, 02:18.200 --> 02:21.833 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% certainly certain racial subgroups are going to be able to maintain access, 02:23.400 --> 02:26.133 align:left position:20% line:77% size:70% even if restrictions in the state in which they live tighten. 02:26.133 --> 02:31.133 align:left position:20% line:77% size:70% So, I'd love to ask, is that access really going to become stratified 02:32.800 --> 02:36.533 align:left position:20% line:77% size:70% depending on what socio economic and what racial groups people fall into? 02:36.533 --> 02:41.100 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% CAITLIN KNOWLES MYERS: Yes, we have a lot of empirical evidence to suggest that the answer is 02:41.100 --> 02:46.100 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% yes that the Dobb's decision and the overturning of Roe isn't going to eliminate abortion access 02:48.900 --> 02:53.866 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% for all American women, but rather it's going to create really substantial in inequality in access. 02:56.566 --> 03:01.533 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% What we've seen suggests that about three quarters of the women who live 03:03.600 --> 03:07.466 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% in areas where access is about to decline are still going to find a way. They are going to 03:11.500 --> 03:16.500 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% scrimp, they're going to struggle, but they are going to find a way to make those trips 03:17.633 --> 03:18.800 align:left position:20% line:83% size:70% to the states where abortion remains legal. 03:20.800 --> 03:24.833 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% But about a quarter of women based on what we know, are likely to end up trapped, 03:26.300 --> 03:28.466 align:left position:10% line:83% size:80% trapped by poverty, trapped by their personal circumstances, 03:28.466 --> 03:33.333 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% like being in abusive relationships, and are unlikely to be able to get out. And 03:35.366 --> 03:39.000 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% perhaps not surprisingly, the women who end up trapped are disproportionately poor, 03:40.766 --> 03:43.733 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% they're disproportionately young, are disproportionately women of color. 03:43.733 --> 03:48.733 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% ALI ROGIN: And to that, there are some abortion funds that have said, you know, 03:50.766 --> 03:54.033 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% there are organizations that say they're going to help support women to make sure that they can 03:54.033 --> 03:58.333 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% afford the abortions. But they don't necessarily mention some of those hidden costs that you 03:58.333 --> 04:03.300 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% mentioned the cost of child care, while pursuing an abortion, the cost of travel, do you anticipate 04:05.400 --> 04:08.666 align:left position:20% line:71% size:70% that those hidden costs are going to be things that prevent some people from pursuing abortions? 04:10.533 --> 04:13.033 align:left position:10% line:83% size:80% CAITLIN KNOWLES MYERS: Yes, we've seen it before, 04:13.033 --> 04:16.533 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% even with the presence of these types of funds in these types of access. And 04:16.533 --> 04:20.133 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% I don't mean to imply they won't make a difference to people's lives, these funds, 04:22.233 --> 04:25.700 align:left position:20% line:71% size:70% absolutely, are going to end up helping women who otherwise could not travel, find a way out. 04:27.700 --> 04:31.733 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% But it's also the case that making trips like these, these will be trips for many women 04:31.733 --> 04:35.200 align:left position:10% line:83% size:80% have hundreds or even thousands of miles round trip. 04:35.200 --> 04:40.066 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% And many of these are women who have a hard time often taking time off work, who are 04:40.066 --> 04:45.066 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% living on the financial margins, who are having trouble finding childcare for their children. 04:47.066 --> 04:50.333 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% And so there are so many of these hidden costs that it seems quite likely that a large number 04:52.333 --> 04:56.900 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% of women will despite access to these types of resources, still struggle to find a way out. 04:58.466 --> 05:00.800 align:left position:20% line:77% size:70% ALI ROGIN: And very quickly, I want to ask you, in the Dobbs case, 05:00.800 --> 05:05.800 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% lawyers for the state of Mississippi argued that policies like parental leave and 05:07.833 --> 05:11.200 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% childcare which weren't as prevalent when Roe was initially decided, quote, 05:11.200 --> 05:16.200 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% facilitate the ability of women to pursue both career success and a rich family life. Putting 05:18.233 --> 05:20.800 align:left position:20% line:71% size:70% aside the fact that not everybody wants both of those things. What's your response to that? 05:20.800 --> 05:24.400 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% CAITLIN KNOWLES MYERS: The reality is, most American women still don't have 05:24.400 --> 05:29.266 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% access to paid family leave, particularly poor women, particularly low income women 05:29.266 --> 05:33.900 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% who are seeking abortions. And even if they find a way to subsidize or pay for childcare, 05:33.900 --> 05:38.300 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% many of these women work in what's called shift work. They have very unpredictable 05:38.300 --> 05:42.866 align:left position:20% line:77% size:70% schedules, which make it really difficult to schedule, childcare. 05:42.866 --> 05:47.866 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% So I'm not denying that all sorts of policy advances have facilitated work life balance. 05:50.400 --> 05:55.400 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% But I also think that parents still face substantial logistical and financial 05:57.266 --> 05:59.333 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% challenges and that there's they're even greater for low income families. 05:59.333 --> 06:01.033 align:left position:20% line:83% size:70% ALI ROGIN: Caitlin Knowles Myers, 06:01.033 --> 06:03.966 align:left position:10% line:83% size:80% economist at Middlebury College, thank you so much for your time. 06:03.966 --> 06:05.266 align:left position:20% line:83% size:70% CAITLIN KNOWLES MYERS: Thank you for having me.