WEBVTT 00:02.000 --> 00:04.966 align:left position:20% line:71% size:70% GEOFF BENNETT: The impact of the Baby Boom generation is impossible to ignore. The roughly 00:04.966 --> 00:09.966 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% 76 million people born between 1946 and 1964 have reshaped American society at each stage 00:12.400 --> 00:17.400 align:left position:20% line:71% size:70% of their lives, crowding American classrooms in the '50s and '60s, filling the labor and 00:19.933 --> 00:22.700 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% housing markets decades later, ultimately leaving their imprint on our politics and institutions. 00:24.566 --> 00:27.100 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% Philip Bump is a national columnist for The Washington Post. And he takes 00:27.100 --> 00:31.366 align:left position:20% line:77% size:70% a closer look at the generation's impact. His book is "The Aftermath: 00:31.366 --> 00:35.433 align:left position:20% line:77% size:70% The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America." 00:35.433 --> 00:36.966 align:left position:20% line:89% size:70% Phil Bump joins us now. 00:36.966 --> 00:38.466 align:left position:10% line:89% size:80% It's great to have you here. 00:38.466 --> 00:41.066 align:left position:10% line:83% size:80% And when we talk about the Baby Boom generation, 00:41.066 --> 00:45.633 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% we're talking about the 76 million people that were born during that 19-year span. 00:45.633 --> 00:50.366 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% Their influence is really stitched into the fabric of modern-day America. 00:50.366 --> 00:53.733 align:left position:10% line:83% size:80% And you borrow an analogy in the book. You say: 00:53.733 --> 00:57.633 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% "When the Boomers entered the world, it was like a python swallowing a pig." 00:57.633 --> 01:00.900 align:left position:20% line:83% size:70% In what way? Why is that a fitting analogy? 01:00.900 --> 01:02.866 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% PHILIP BUMP, Author, "The Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and 01:02.866 --> 01:04.900 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% the Future of Power in America": Well, I mean, it's certainly not a charming one. 01:04.900 --> 01:08.466 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% But it is fitting, in the sense that you can imagine very easily this fairly narrow python 01:10.433 --> 01:12.100 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% that all of a sudden has this huge bulge in it. Not only does it have a huge bulge in it, 01:12.100 --> 01:14.433 align:left position:10% line:83% size:80% but the bulge has to sort of work its way through the system. 01:14.433 --> 01:17.633 align:left position:10% line:83% size:80% And so your point about the 76 million people being born, 01:17.633 --> 01:22.633 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% the population of the United States in 1945 was only 140 million. So it is this massive increase, 01:25.166 --> 01:28.633 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% particularly in young people right at the outset of the Baby Boom, that forces the United States, 01:30.633 --> 01:33.400 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% the python in this analogy, to try and deal with the pig that has just swallowed. 01:33.400 --> 01:38.333 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% And the important factor here is that the pig is still passing through the python. And we have now 01:38.333 --> 01:42.933 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% reached the point where Baby Boomers are older and retiring. And it's creating a new set of 01:42.933 --> 01:45.900 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% urgencies that the government has to deal with and that our society has to deal with. 01:45.900 --> 01:49.533 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% GEOFF BENNETT: What characteristics do Baby Boomers share? How is their 01:49.533 --> 01:52.833 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% generation different from the one that preceded it and the ones that followed? 01:52.833 --> 01:55.700 align:left position:20% line:77% size:70% PHILIP BUMP: So one of the fascinating things about the Baby Boomers, 01:55.700 --> 01:58.400 align:left position:20% line:83% size:70% it began at a low in American immigration. 01:58.400 --> 02:01.900 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% There were -- about a century ago, there were new restrictions placed on immigration, 02:01.900 --> 02:05.633 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% a backlash to immigrants from Eastern Europe and Southern Europe in particular. And that 02:05.633 --> 02:08.633 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% was still in place when the Baby Boom began. At the time of the Baby Boom, 02:08.633 --> 02:11.700 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% one demographer told me, the average immigrant was somebody's grandparents. 02:11.700 --> 02:15.766 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% And right after the Boom ended, there was - - the immigration laws were loosened. 02:15.766 --> 02:20.266 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% So you started seeing more immigrants from Central America and Mexico and Asia. And so 02:20.266 --> 02:24.166 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% what happened when the Baby Boom began is, it began at a time when America was very, 02:24.166 --> 02:26.800 align:left position:10% line:83% size:80% very heavily white in a way that it no longer is. 02:26.800 --> 02:31.800 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% And so the Baby Boom has -- obviously, it's a very heterogeneous generation. It has to be. There's 02:34.333 --> 02:37.900 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% tens of millions of people in it. But it tends to be much more heavily white than the generation, 02:37.900 --> 02:41.133 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% particularly the one that followed it. It tends to be less heavily made up of 02:41.133 --> 02:46.133 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% immigrants. It tends to have other characteristics as well. It has -- it's less likely -- Boomers 02:48.133 --> 02:50.833 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% are less likely to have gone to college than millennials or Gen Z, for example. 02:50.833 --> 02:55.566 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% They're more likely to participate in institution, marriage among them, 02:55.566 --> 03:00.566 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% the military, things along those lines. And those really shape both the culture and politics 03:03.033 --> 03:05.500 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% of the Baby Boomer in a way that makes them distinct, particularly from younger generations. 03:05.500 --> 03:09.100 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% GEOFF BENNETT: Well, understanding that generational analyses are in many ways unavoidably 03:11.466 --> 03:14.700 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% sort of crude and imprecise, when we talk about the Baby Boom, we're talking about the Woodstock 03:17.233 --> 03:21.000 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% generation, in many ways, who, in 2016, these were the same folks who put Donald Trump in office. 03:22.200 --> 03:24.100 align:left position:20% line:83% size:70% Help us understand how that happened. 03:24.100 --> 03:27.100 align:left position:20% line:83% size:70% PHILIP BUMP: Yes. No, it's a great question. 03:27.100 --> 03:30.833 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% And, fundamentally, it comes down to the fact that the Baby Boom really is 03:32.766 --> 03:35.033 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% two separate political groups. There is a Republican group and a Democratic group, 03:35.033 --> 03:38.500 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% which obviously isn't unique to the Baby Boom. But it's also the case of 03:38.500 --> 03:41.500 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% Boomers are less likely to be registered independents than younger generations. 03:41.500 --> 03:46.000 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% And so you had this tension between left and right in the Boom itself. But because 03:46.000 --> 03:51.000 align:left position:20% line:71% size:70% the Republican Party itself is so much older than the Democratic Party, Baby Boomers make 03:52.933 --> 03:55.466 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% up a larger percentage of the Republican Party than they do the Democratic Party. 03:55.466 --> 04:00.300 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% So, yes, the politics certainly shifted to some extent for individual Boomers over that time. But 04:02.733 --> 04:05.700 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% it's also the case that, fundamentally, the Baby Boomers who voted for Donald Trump were sharing a 04:08.233 --> 04:10.733 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% similar sort of concerns, particularly around race oftentimes, to some extent, economics as well, 04:12.600 --> 04:16.133 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% that made them vote more homogeneously than the Democrats on the -- in the Baby Boom. 04:18.133 --> 04:21.833 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% And so we had this effect where, yes, this was the generation that fought against things like 04:21.833 --> 04:26.733 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% the Vietnam War draft, but then, ultimately, over time, had gotten to a point where they 04:26.733 --> 04:30.700 align:left position:20% line:71% size:70% saw Donald Trump as the preferable candidate in 2016 and helped propel him to the White House. 04:30.700 --> 04:32.633 align:left position:10% line:83% size:80% GEOFF BENNETT: Let's talk about the impact on the economy, 04:32.633 --> 04:35.400 align:left position:10% line:83% size:80% because reading your book, I was struck by this line. 04:35.400 --> 04:39.700 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% You say: "The Baby Boom has accumulated an enormous amount of wealth during its 04:39.700 --> 04:44.266 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% three-quarters of a century of existence." Baby Boomers, many of them are supporting 04:44.266 --> 04:47.866 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% their millennial children. In some cases, they're supporting their grandchildren. 04:47.866 --> 04:52.866 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% What happens to the distribution of wealth in this country as Baby Boomers age? 04:54.833 --> 04:57.633 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% PHILIP BUMP: Yes, I mean, it's -- an enormous amount of wealth is being transferred already 04:57.633 --> 05:01.666 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% from Baby Boomers primarily to younger family members, but not exclusively, 05:01.666 --> 05:06.666 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% $2 million -- or $2 trillion, according to some experts I spoke with, in 2022 alone, 05:08.266 --> 05:10.900 align:left position:20% line:77% size:70% upwards of $50 trillion over the course of the next several decades. 05:10.900 --> 05:13.966 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% That's an enormous amount of wealth. But there are a lot of questions about what happens with that, 05:13.966 --> 05:18.966 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% right? What happens, for example, as Boomers age and they need more medical attention? How much of 05:21.033 --> 05:24.300 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% that is siphoned away in terms of the cost of medical care or senior housing, senior living? 05:24.300 --> 05:29.200 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% How much -- what happens with the housing market as seniors age, right? A lot of senior 05:29.200 --> 05:34.200 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% citizens in particular view their houses as a storehouse of value for their retirement. How 05:36.300 --> 05:38.900 align:left position:20% line:71% size:70% does that affect house prices? What does that mean for millennials looking to buy houses? 05:38.900 --> 05:43.500 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% There are all these ways in which this massive amount of wealth that is held by the Baby Boomers, 05:43.500 --> 05:48.166 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% it's not really clear how much of that will end up trickling down, particularly to their families. 05:48.166 --> 05:51.600 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% But it's also important to note, because the Baby Boomer generation is so large, 05:51.600 --> 05:54.700 align:left position:20% line:77% size:70% it's not the case that Baby Boomers themselves are particularly wealthy 05:54.700 --> 05:58.233 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% on an individual basis. It's just that they have a lot of wealth because there 05:58.233 --> 06:01.333 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% are a lot of them, even if most of them aren't particularly wealthy themselves. 06:01.333 --> 06:03.466 align:left position:10% line:83% size:80% GEOFF BENNETT: And, Phil, as we wrap up our conversation, 06:03.466 --> 06:07.066 align:left position:20% line:77% size:70% I want to ask you about one of the unanswered questions in your book. 06:07.066 --> 06:11.500 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% You write this: "A generation used to accruing and defending its power through 06:11.500 --> 06:15.933 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% sheer scale is watching that power crumble. We have seen generational tensions before, 06:15.933 --> 06:19.900 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% as when the Boom emerged, but we're now living through something exceptional, 06:19.900 --> 06:22.300 align:left position:20% line:83% size:70% a decline not of the Spartan civilization, 06:22.300 --> 06:27.300 align:left position:20% line:71% size:70% but of the Roman one.We are living through an historic disruption of the American empire." 06:29.233 --> 06:32.966 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% So, what's this all mean for the future of our politics, for the future of our democracy? 06:32.966 --> 06:35.100 align:left position:20% line:83% size:70% PHILIP BUMP: Yes. No, absolutely. 06:35.100 --> 06:39.233 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% And, unfortunately, I'm not so brash as to be able to have a hard answer on that. But, yes, 06:40.700 --> 06:42.900 align:left position:10% line:83% size:80% I mean, the Boom really shaped what America looks like today, 06:42.900 --> 06:46.366 align:left position:20% line:77% size:70% both in terms of just the Boomers themselves making decisions, 06:46.366 --> 06:49.966 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% but also in the way that America had to respond to the emergence of the Baby Boomers. 06:49.966 --> 06:53.333 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% And we're seeing that change. We're seeing the Boom now having to deal with this younger 06:53.333 --> 06:58.066 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% generation, millennials and Gen Z, who are contesting for power, contesting for it: 06:58.066 --> 07:01.200 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% I don't want to spend on senior housing. I want to spend on schools and things along those lines. 07:01.200 --> 07:04.733 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% And that is contributing some of the political reaction that we're seeing, 07:04.733 --> 07:08.633 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% some of the backlash against -- some of the increased tension that we see 07:08.633 --> 07:13.233 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% in our politics. Does this mean that young people, for example, if they are more diverse, 07:13.233 --> 07:15.833 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% which they are, does that mean they're going to vote Democratic forever? 07:15.833 --> 07:20.700 align:left position:20% line:71% size:70% No, probably not. There are a lot of factors to take into consideration here. But this moment 07:20.700 --> 07:25.700 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% of tension is particularly acute because the Baby Boom has for so long been so powerful, 07:27.733 --> 07:29.600 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% and now for the first time is having to compete for that power in a real way. 07:29.600 --> 07:32.033 align:left position:10% line:83% size:80% GEOFF BENNETT: Philip Bump, his book is "The Aftermath: 07:32.033 --> 07:35.733 align:left position:20% line:77% size:70% The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America." 07:35.733 --> 07:36.666 align:left position:20% line:89% size:70% Thanks for your time. 07:36.666 --> 07:37.900 align:left position:10% line:89% size:80% PHILIP BUMP: Thank you, sir.