1 00:00:02,000 --> 00:00:04,833 JUDY WOODRUFF: But first: The U.S. census is generally considered more technical than 2 00:00:04,833 --> 00:00:09,533 controversial, but, in recent months, the once-a-decade population count has been the 3 00:00:09,533 --> 00:00:11,533 subject of political debate. 4 00:00:11,533 --> 00:00:16,033 There has been no move to replace director, John Thompson, since his surprise resignation 5 00:00:16,633 --> 00:00:18,733 last spring. 6 00:00:18,733 --> 00:00:22,333 Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross recently asked Congress for additional funding to keep the 7 00:00:22,333 --> 00:00:24,633 agency from collapsing. 8 00:00:24,633 --> 00:00:29,133 Hari Sreenivasan spoke with former Census Director Kenneth Prewitt to discuss what a 9 00:00:29,133 --> 00:00:33,533 crippled census in 2020 could mean for our democracy. 10 00:00:33,533 --> 00:00:37,200 But he began with a quick look at how the census affects us all. 11 00:00:37,200 --> 00:00:39,900 HARI SREENIVASAN: Here's a bit of civics 101. 12 00:00:39,900 --> 00:00:44,900 The U.S. census is an attempt by the government to count every person living in the United 13 00:00:45,400 --> 00:00:47,433 States. 14 00:00:47,433 --> 00:00:49,766 Every 10 years, the Census Bureau gathers information like gender, age, race and income. 15 00:00:49,766 --> 00:00:51,100 ACTOR: We did it. 16 00:00:51,100 --> 00:00:52,100 We did it. 17 00:00:52,100 --> 00:00:53,100 Hey. 18 00:00:53,100 --> 00:00:54,600 ACTOR: What did you do? 19 00:00:54,600 --> 00:00:57,100 ACTOR: We helped mommy fill out her census form. 20 00:00:57,100 --> 00:00:58,766 And we mailed it back. 21 00:00:58,766 --> 00:01:00,366 ACTOR: But why? 22 00:01:00,366 --> 00:01:02,333 ACTOR: Because everybody counts in the census form. 23 00:01:02,333 --> 00:01:05,600 HARI SREENIVASAN: But why does the government collect this data? 24 00:01:05,600 --> 00:01:07,566 First, the Constitution says to. 25 00:01:07,566 --> 00:01:09,633 GEORGE H.W. 26 00:01:09,633 --> 00:01:11,700 BUSH, Former President of the United States: One of the ways the Constitution preserves 27 00:01:11,700 --> 00:01:14,533 our rights is to require the government to conduct a census every 10 years. 28 00:01:14,533 --> 00:01:19,133 HARI SREENIVASAN: The founding fathers decided the number of seats in the U.S. House is determined 29 00:01:19,133 --> 00:01:21,600 by the number of people in each state. 30 00:01:21,600 --> 00:01:25,933 The official count is used to draw voting districts at the national, state and local 31 00:01:25,933 --> 00:01:27,966 levels. 32 00:01:27,966 --> 00:01:30,533 But there's another important reason the U.S. conducts a census: money. 33 00:01:30,533 --> 00:01:33,666 MAN: And 2.4 million, 2.5 million. 34 00:01:33,666 --> 00:01:37,066 WOMAN: The U.S. census isn't just a population count. 35 00:01:37,066 --> 00:01:41,366 It helps allocate federal, state and local funds to your community. 36 00:01:41,366 --> 00:01:45,966 HARI SREENIVASAN: The federal government decides how much funding or grants to give states, 37 00:01:45,966 --> 00:01:49,800 counties and cities by looking at the detailed census data. 38 00:01:49,800 --> 00:01:54,766 That means money for updating schools, building new hospitals, repairing broken roads, and 39 00:01:54,766 --> 00:01:58,133 maintaining public utilities like water, sewage and electricity. 40 00:01:58,133 --> 00:02:03,133 MAN: You can answer census 2000 and get what you need, or you can leave it blank and get 41 00:02:04,300 --> 00:02:06,833 this, nothing. 42 00:02:06,833 --> 00:02:09,800 HARI SREENIVASAN: Private companies also make major decisions based on what the census says, 43 00:02:09,800 --> 00:02:13,133 like where to build grocery stores or new housing developments. 44 00:02:13,133 --> 00:02:17,933 But like any other government agency, the Census Bureau needs funding to do its job. 45 00:02:17,933 --> 00:02:20,000 And it's not cheap. 46 00:02:20,000 --> 00:02:24,533 The last census, in 2010, cost taxpayers $13 billion, with more than 500 field offices 47 00:02:27,000 --> 00:02:31,400 and 635,000 staffers nationwide. 48 00:02:31,400 --> 00:02:35,266 Republicans already worried about big government have questioned that price tag. 49 00:02:35,266 --> 00:02:36,633 South Carolina ÑMDNMÑCongressman Trey Gowdy: 50 00:02:36,633 --> 00:02:37,866 REP. 51 00:02:37,866 --> 00:02:39,100 TREY GOWDY (R), South Carolina: Cost matters. 52 00:02:39,100 --> 00:02:41,700 I think it matters, period, new paragraph. 53 00:02:41,700 --> 00:02:43,800 HARI SREENIVASAN: Kenneth Prewitt, thanks for joining us. 54 00:02:43,800 --> 00:02:46,166 It's been a significant concern. 55 00:02:46,166 --> 00:02:49,600 Budget hawks say, why does the census cost as much as it does? 56 00:02:49,600 --> 00:02:52,166 Aren't there technologies now that can do it better and less expensively? 57 00:02:52,166 --> 00:02:56,166 KENNETH PREWITT, Former U.S. Census Director: They're trying to do the 2020 census at roughly 58 00:02:56,166 --> 00:03:01,166 half of the price of the 2010 census, whereas the 2010 was double the price of the 2000. 59 00:03:02,333 --> 00:03:04,300 That was the one I was engaged in. 60 00:03:04,300 --> 00:03:08,133 So, yes, enormous advances have been made in using technology to reduce the cost. 61 00:03:10,100 --> 00:03:12,433 But if you are not even funded at that level with these new technologies, well, you're 62 00:03:12,433 --> 00:03:16,533 simply ill-prepared to do the census in 2020. 63 00:03:16,533 --> 00:03:21,133 The bad news is, it's not being funded, and we currently don't have a leader. 64 00:03:21,133 --> 00:03:24,700 We don't have a director in the Census Bureau, so we're not ready in that more important 65 00:03:24,700 --> 00:03:27,100 sense. 66 00:03:27,100 --> 00:03:30,700 And then another issue, we're trying new technologies this year for the first time ever in a census. 67 00:03:32,133 --> 00:03:33,200 And you have to test them, or you should test them. 68 00:03:33,200 --> 00:03:35,866 There's no money to test them. 69 00:03:35,866 --> 00:03:40,866 Just it's like you had a fighter fly a plane that puts a new technology in it that's never 70 00:03:42,900 --> 00:03:46,566 been before, rolls off the assembly line, and they say, oh, go directly into action. 71 00:03:48,566 --> 00:03:50,933 HARI SREENIVASAN: There was a draft that was leaked earlier this year that recommended 72 00:03:50,933 --> 00:03:54,433 that the U.S. census -- quote -- "include questions that determine U.S. citizenship 73 00:03:54,433 --> 00:03:56,400 and immigration status." 74 00:03:56,400 --> 00:03:59,266 Now, there's indication that that would be included in the 2020 census. 75 00:03:59,266 --> 00:04:01,400 But what kind of an effect does that have? 76 00:04:01,400 --> 00:04:04,366 KENNETH PREWITT: It would scare a lot of people that you actually need to count. 77 00:04:04,366 --> 00:04:08,200 The census is supposed to count everyone in the country, once and only once and in the 78 00:04:08,200 --> 00:04:09,200 right place. 79 00:04:09,200 --> 00:04:11,266 That's a big job. 80 00:04:11,266 --> 00:04:14,366 HARI SREENIVASAN: Considering that we're in a climate where institutions that we once 81 00:04:14,366 --> 00:04:19,366 used to trust are regularly questioned, whether it's fake news or fake census, what's the 82 00:04:21,266 --> 00:04:25,533 consequence of something like this not being trusted? 83 00:04:25,533 --> 00:04:30,533 KENNETH PREWITT: Huge, quite honestly. 84 00:04:30,533 --> 00:04:33,866 If we really have a bad census, one of the things that could happen is the administration 85 00:04:33,866 --> 00:04:38,866 could say, let's not use it, let's sort of just use the old numbers. 86 00:04:41,233 --> 00:04:44,000 And with respect to redistricting, allocation of seats in the U.S. Congress, that means 87 00:04:45,600 --> 00:04:47,533 we would go with what we now have. 88 00:04:47,533 --> 00:04:50,700 A lot of population movement in the last 10 years. 89 00:04:50,700 --> 00:04:52,633 So this would really be a setback. 90 00:04:52,633 --> 00:04:56,633 HARI SREENIVASAN: It seems constitutionally it was designed as a representative tool, 91 00:04:56,633 --> 00:05:01,633 not a political one, but over the years, it's been used by either side that's in control 92 00:05:02,500 --> 00:05:04,033 as kind of a political tool. 93 00:05:04,033 --> 00:05:06,466 KENNETH PREWITT: I would say the Census Bureau is not political. 94 00:05:06,466 --> 00:05:09,533 The use of the numbers is political. 95 00:05:09,533 --> 00:05:13,933 And as long as we can have the Census Bureau only wanting to produce the most accurate, 96 00:05:13,933 --> 00:05:16,700 complete count, then it, itself, is not political. 97 00:05:16,700 --> 00:05:20,966 If they are misused are used in ways that we -- they are gerrymandering now with those 98 00:05:20,966 --> 00:05:22,933 census data. 99 00:05:22,933 --> 00:05:27,200 So a population which is roughly 50/50 in terms of electoral strength is roughly 60/40 100 00:05:27,200 --> 00:05:30,066 in terms of seats in the Congress and governorships. 101 00:05:30,066 --> 00:05:34,366 HARI SREENIVASAN: Are there vested interests in wanting to maintain the status quo? 102 00:05:34,366 --> 00:05:36,333 KENNETH PREWITT: Well, yes. 103 00:05:36,333 --> 00:05:40,433 And I'm trying not to be political here, but if you like the distribution of seats and 104 00:05:42,400 --> 00:05:45,700 the distribution governorships in particular in the country now, and you think that by 105 00:05:45,700 --> 00:05:50,700 having a good census, you may lose some of the seats, then why would you want to have 106 00:05:51,300 --> 00:05:53,266 a good census? 107 00:05:53,266 --> 00:05:56,733 HARI SREENIVASAN: Can the census be salvaged or saved, given the amount of time and the 108 00:05:57,900 --> 00:05:59,433 amount of money that we have right now? 109 00:05:59,433 --> 00:06:01,700 KENNETH PREWITT: Oh, yes. 110 00:06:01,700 --> 00:06:06,700 If there was strong leadership in place within the next five months -- let us say four or 111 00:06:08,666 --> 00:06:11,866 five months, and if the budget were where it ought to be, yes, it can be saved. 112 00:06:12,966 --> 00:06:15,033 There comes a time when you can't save it. 113 00:06:15,033 --> 00:06:19,666 If you have not tested the census in 2018, it's too late to fix it, even if you tested 114 00:06:20,266 --> 00:06:22,200 it in 2019. 115 00:06:22,200 --> 00:06:26,033 You don't have the time to go back and fix any of the problems you encountered in the 116 00:06:26,033 --> 00:06:28,033 big test. 117 00:06:28,033 --> 00:06:29,933 HARI SREENIVASAN: Kenneth Prewitt, now of Columbia University, former director of the 118 00:06:29,933 --> 00:06:31,633 U.S. census, thanks for joining us. 119 00:06:31,633 --> 00:06:32,633 KENNETH PREWITT: My pleasure. 120 00:06:32,633 --> 00:06:32,766 Thanks.