WEBVTT 00:02.433 --> 00:04.966 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% GEOFF BENNETT: Good evening. It is good to be with you. And we begin tonight with a fast spreading 00:04.966 --> 00:09.300 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% fire that's burning out of control in California at the doorstep of Yosemite National Park. Hot 00:11.800 --> 00:15.133 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% and dry conditions linked to climate change are making it an exceptionally tough fire to fight. 00:17.500 --> 00:21.900 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% The flames moved so swiftly residents had very little warning to get out. 00:23.733 --> 00:27.100 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% The fire engulfed entire homes in the sparsely populated mountain communities 00:27.100 --> 00:32.100 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% of Mariposa County. So far more than 6,000 people have been forced to evacuate. 00:34.433 --> 00:39.400 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% The Oak fire ignited Friday afternoon and since then has exploded in size, 00:41.266 --> 00:44.733 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% more than doubling from Saturday into Sunday to 22 square miles enabling the fire, 00:46.800 --> 00:51.400 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% foam dry vegetation after the worst drought in a decade. How fire authorities report more 00:53.466 --> 00:58.200 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% than 2,000 firefighters are battling the blaze that so far is 0 percent contained. 01:00.333 --> 01:04.600 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% The Oak fire is so large, it's visible from the International Space Station drifting over 01:07.066 --> 01:09.933 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% a swath of the western United States. That says 85 million people across the country this weekend are 01:12.433 --> 01:16.733 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% under excessive heat warnings or advisories. In some places, temperatures hitting triple digits. 01:19.100 --> 01:22.533 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% Joining us now to talk more about the role of climate change and all of this 01:22.533 --> 01:27.033 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% is Michael Mann. He's a professor of atmospheric science at Penn State University 01:27.033 --> 01:30.933 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% and author of the new Climate War. Michael, it's good to have you with us. 01:30.933 --> 01:35.500 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% And look, we've got record heat from coast to coast drought in the south in the west, 01:35.500 --> 01:39.833 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% you've got pervasive wildfires, as this map that we're going to put up makes clear. 01:41.666 --> 01:46.200 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% Does this all of this mean that climate change is happening faster than expected? 01:48.266 --> 01:50.400 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% MICHAEL MANN, DIRECTOR, EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCE CENTER: Yes. Thanks, Geoff. It's good to be 01:50.400 --> 01:53.233 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% with you. It's unfortunate that we're always talking about these sorts of very damaging extreme 01:56.500 --> 02:01.466 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% weather events these days. And, yes, there are some impacts of climate change that are playing 02:03.533 --> 02:06.900 align:left position:20% line:71% size:70% out faster, and with a greater magnitude than we predicted, just say a decade ago or so. That's 02:09.433 --> 02:14.066 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% true with the collapse of the ice sheets and the sea level rise that's occurring because of that. 02:14.066 --> 02:18.400 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% And it's true with many of these extreme summer weather events that we're seeing. 02:18.400 --> 02:23.266 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% And one of the ingredients, of course is, you know, you make the planet warmer, 02:23.266 --> 02:28.266 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% you're going to see more extreme heat. You dry out the continents in the summer, you're going to get 02:30.833 --> 02:33.600 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% worse drought. You combine that heat and drought and you get the sorts of wildfires that we've seen 02:33.600 --> 02:38.600 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% out west in California and throughout the western United States in recent years. 02:40.633 --> 02:44.433 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% But there's an extra ingredient there that isn't actually very well captured in the models. And 02:46.866 --> 02:50.500 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% that's the behavior of the Jetstream that causes these high and low pressure systems to get stuck 02:52.533 --> 02:55.666 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% in place. And when you get one of these deep, high pressures, like we have out west right now, 02:58.266 --> 03:01.300 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% over California and the western U.S., that's when you get those extremely hot, dry conditions that 03:03.733 --> 03:07.233 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% give you these wildfires. And what's happening is those systems are getting stuck in place. 03:09.233 --> 03:12.333 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% So the extreme heat that we've seen, the floods, the wildfires, the drought across the entire 03:14.300 --> 03:18.100 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% northern hemisphere this summer, part of what's going on, is this sort of stuck, jet stream 03:20.600 --> 03:23.666 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% pattern. It is something that we think is being made more frequent because of climate change, and 03:23.666 --> 03:28.233 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% it isn't well captured in the models. It's another reminder that uncertainty isn't our friend here. 03:28.233 --> 03:32.633 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% GEOFF BENNETT: Are the heat waves across the globe connected? I ask the question 03:32.633 --> 03:37.633 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% because we saw a parts of Oklahoma hit 115 degrees this past week. Meantime, 03:39.600 --> 03:43.000 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% you've got airport runways melting in the UK, from the heat is all of that connected. 03:44.833 --> 03:48.066 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% MICHAEL MANN: It is connected. I mean, obviously you make the planet warmer, 03:48.066 --> 03:52.300 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% you get more that extreme summer heat. So there's that connection. But there's also 03:52.300 --> 03:57.300 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% this behavior of the jet stream where you get these very large Mander. When the jet stream 03:59.800 --> 04:02.333 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% wiggles north and south dramatically, that means that there are big weather systems underneath 04:04.366 --> 04:07.400 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% there big high and low pressure systems. And that's where you get either with a high pressure 04:09.366 --> 04:11.666 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% the extreme heat drought in those wildfires, or with a low pressure, the extreme flooding. 04:11.666 --> 04:15.433 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% And so we've seen this summer after summer, it's sort of Groundhog Day 04:15.433 --> 04:20.433 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% now here. Every summer now we see this phenomenon, part of it is pretty basic, 04:22.400 --> 04:25.500 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% it's easy to explain in terms of human caused warming, but some of the mechanisms are more 04:25.500 --> 04:30.500 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% subtle. And again, they are one of the reasons the models may be under estimating the impact that 04:32.566 --> 04:36.600 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% climate change is now having on these devastating extreme events that we're seeing every summer. 04:38.600 --> 04:40.700 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% GEOFF BENNETT: It's interesting, former Vice President Al Gore was on a number of the Sunday 04:40.700 --> 04:45.633 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% shows this morning. And he made that same point that some of the warnings about climate change 04:47.200 --> 04:49.733 align:left position:20% line:77% size:70% might have been, in many ways too conservative, take a look at this. 04:49.733 --> 04:52.800 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% AL GORE, Former U.S. Vice President: And the fact that they were dead, right, maybe a little 04:52.800 --> 04:57.800 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% conservative, even in their projections should cause us to pay more careful attention to what 05:00.400 --> 05:05.000 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% they're warning us about now. They're saying that if we don't stop using our atmosphere as an open 05:07.500 --> 05:11.533 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% sewer, and if we don't stop these heat trapping emissions, things are going to get a lot worse. 05:13.833 --> 05:15.900 align:left position:20% line:83% size:70% GEOFF BENNETT: So what do you make of that? 05:15.900 --> 05:19.733 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% MICHAEL MANN: Yes, well, you know, Al Gore was out there in front warning us decades ago 05:19.733 --> 05:24.533 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% as the scientific community was warning us decades ago. And what we're seeing happen now 05:26.600 --> 05:30.100 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% is our predictions playing out. That's the sad part of this. We understood that we had a crisis 05:32.633 --> 05:36.266 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% on our hands decades ago. But because of inaction, much of it, because of the fossil fuel industry 05:38.266 --> 05:42.833 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% and politicians who refuse to act on climate, we've allowed this problem now to grow to epic 05:44.900 --> 05:49.066 align:left position:20% line:71% size:70% proportions to the point where we're seeing the devastating consequences play out in real time. 05:50.966 --> 05:54.466 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% GEOFF BENNETT: President Biden, as you know, he's trying to keep his faltering climate 05:54.466 --> 05:59.333 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% change agenda alive by taking executive action, since you have Democratic Senator 05:59.333 --> 06:04.333 align:left position:20% line:71% size:70% Joe Manchin, and all of the Senate Republicans withholding their vote on legislative action. 06:06.266 --> 06:09.866 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% Are executive actions enough? And what more should the private sector do on their own? I 06:11.833 --> 06:14.933 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% would think that good climate policy would also be in many ways good business policy. 06:14.933 --> 06:19.433 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% MICHAEL MANN: Yes, that's exactly right, Geoff, and you are seeing some companies take a more 06:19.433 --> 06:24.433 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% enlightened view, recognizing that you know, that their customers that their clients expect 06:26.400 --> 06:30.433 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% environmental stewardship. This is weighing on the minds of Americans, increasingly, 06:32.433 --> 06:34.933 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% these devastating impacts that we're seeing from extreme weather events that have been 06:34.933 --> 06:39.933 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% exacerbated by climate change. And so it is important that business be out in front, 06:41.866 --> 06:45.833 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% lobbying politicians to act on our collective behalf to do what's right here. 06:45.833 --> 06:50.233 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% But you're right. Right now, we're sort of stuck with this split Congress with, 06:50.233 --> 06:54.633 align:left position:10% line:83% size:80% you know, a Democrat and Joe Manchin, who refuses to support 06:54.633 --> 06:59.633 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% his fellow Democrats in passing climate legislation. There's a limit to what 07:01.733 --> 07:05.000 align:left position:20% line:71% size:70% you can do through executive actions, the Biden administration is doing what it can. 07:07.000 --> 07:09.100 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% But the most important thing it can do right now is to use the bully pulpit 07:09.100 --> 07:14.100 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% to convey the absolute -- absolutely essential importance of turning out in 07:16.866 --> 07:21.866 align:left position:10% line:71% size:80% these midterm elections this fall in voting for politicians who will support climate legislation, 07:23.866 --> 07:28.000 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% because the only way that we are going to be living -- be able to live up to our obligations 07:28.000 --> 07:33.000 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% to the rest of the world to cut our carbon emissions in half by 2030 as we've promised. 07:34.933 --> 07:37.100 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% The only way that will happen is if we pass climate legislation and we need a 07:37.100 --> 07:41.266 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% Congress that's willing to do that, and if we have, you know, Congress people 07:41.266 --> 07:45.266 align:left position:10% line:77% size:80% who aren't willing to do that we need to vote them out and we need to vote in those who will. 07:45.266 --> 07:47.666 align:left position:20% line:77% size:70% GEOFF BENNETT: Michael Mann, it's always great to speak with you. 07:47.666 --> 07:50.666 align:left position:10% line:83% size:80% Circumstances aside. Thanks so much for your time. 07:50.666 --> 07:52.466 align:left position:10% line:89% size:80% MICHAEL MANN: Thank you, Geoff.