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>> Hill: THIS THURSDAY WILL MARK

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ONE YEAR SINCE A VIOLENT MOB OF

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SUPPORTERS OF FORMER PRESIDENT

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DONALD TRUMP ATTACKED THE U.S.

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CAPITOL AND TRIED TO STOP THE

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CERTIFICATION OF THE ELECTION OF

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PRESIDENT JOE BIDEN.

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THERE IS A VIGIL PLANNED ON THE

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STEPS OF THE CAPITOL, AND

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PRESIDENT BIDEN IS SAID TO

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ADDRESS THE NATION THIS

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JANUARY 6.

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MR. TRUMP, WHO IS ACCUSED OF

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INCITING THIS ATTACK, ALSO SAYS

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HE WILL HOLD A NEWS CONFERENCE

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THAT DAY, A MOVE THAT MAY BE

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PART OF AN ATTEMPT TO RETURN TO

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OFFICE.

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NEWSHOUR WEEKEND SPECIAL

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CORRESPONDENT JEFF GREENFIELD

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JOINED US FOR MORE ON

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PRESIDENTIAL RE-RUNS.

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>> WELL, MICHAEL, IF DONALD

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TRUMP TRULY MEANS TO RUN FOR

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OFFICE AGAIN, FOR SOME PEOPLE

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THAT MAY SEEM LIKE JUST ANOTHER

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EXAMPLE OF HOW TRUMP IS

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DIFFERENT FROM EVERYBODY ELSE.

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BUT, IN FACT, SEVERAL EX-

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PRESIDENTS HAVE TRIED TO GET THE

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JOB BACK.

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SEVERAL HAVE TRIED, ALL HAVE

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FAILED.

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ALL BUT ONE.

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WHEN PRESIDENT GROVER CLEVELAND

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LOST HIS REELECTION BID TO

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BENJAMIN HARRISON IN 1888, HIS

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WIFE TOLD THE WHITE HOUSE STAFF

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TO KEEP EVERYTHING IN PLACE,

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BECAUSE THEY'D BE BACK IN FOUR

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YEARS.

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SHE WAS RIGHT.

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FOUR YEARS LATER, CLEVELAND

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SOUNDLY DEFEATED HARRISON,

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BECOMING THE FIRST, AND STILL

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THE ONLY, EX-PRESIDENT WHO WON

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THE JOB AGAIN.

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BUT SEVERAL OTHERS HAVE TRIED,

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BOTH BEFORE AND AFTER CLEVELAND.

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MARTIN VAN BUREN, OUSTED IN

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1840, CAME VERY CLOSE TO WINNING

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HIS PARTY'S NOMINATION FOUR

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YEARS LATER, BUT CAME UP SHORT.

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IN 1848 HE RAN AGAIN, AS THE

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NOMINEE OF THE FREE SOIL PARTY--

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AND LOST AGAIN.

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MILLARD FILMORE, WHO BECAME

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PRESIDENT WHEN ZACHARY TAYLOR

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DIED, LOST THE WHIG PARTY

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NOMINATION IN 1852, AND RAN FOUR

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YEARS LATER AS THE CANDIDATE OF

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THE NATIVIST AMERICAN PARTY,

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BETTER KNOWN AS THE "KNOW

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NOTHING PARTY."

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HE GOT 20% OF THE VOTE.

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ULYSSES GRANT HONORED THE TWO-

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TERM TRADITION BY NOT RUNNING IN

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1876, BUT FOUR YEARS LATER MADE

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A STRONG BID TO WIN THE

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REPUBLICAN NOMINATION.

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HE FELL JUST SHORT AFTER A 36

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BALLOT MARATHON.

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JUST AFTER HIS LANDSLIDE

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ELECTION TO A FULL TERM IN 1904,

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THEODORE ROOSEVELT ANNOUNCED HE

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WOULD NOT RUN AGAIN IN FOUR

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YEARS.

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WHILE HE ENTHUSIASTICALLY

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SUPPORTED HIS SUCCESSOR, WILLIAM

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HOWARD TAFT, HE CAME TO REGRET

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HIS DECISION.

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BY 1912 HE SOUGHT TO TAKE THE

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REPUBLICAN NOMINATION AWAY FROM

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TAFT.

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WHEN HE LOST THAT FIGHT, HE RAN

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AS A PROGRESSIVE BULL MOOSE

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CANDIDATE, WINNING 27% OF THE

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VOTE AND 88 ELECTORAL VOTES.

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HIS SECOND PLACE FINISH STANDS

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AS THE BEST THIRD PARTY RESULT

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EVER.

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AND IN 1980, GERALD FORD MADE IT

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CLEAR THAT HE WAS INTERESTED IN

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AVENGING HIS NARROW 1976 LOSS,

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ARGUING THAT RONALD REAGAN WAS

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TOO CONSERVATIVE TO WIN.

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THAT DIDN'T STOP HIM FROM

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SERIOUSLY CONSIDERING BECOMING

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RONALD REAGAN'S RUNNING MATE, A

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NOTION THAT ULTIMATELY DID NOT

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HAPPEN, BUT WOULD HAVE BEEN THE

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MOST UNUSUAL POST-PRESIDENTIAL

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COMEBACK EVER.

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SO, WHAT OF DONALD TRUMP'S

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PROSPECTS AS A POTENTIAL

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CANDIDATE?

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AMONG REPUBLICANS, HE HOLDS A

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HUGE LEAD IN THE POLLS.

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NO ONE ELSE COMES CLOSE.

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RIGHT NOW HE RUNS EVEN WITH OR

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AHEAD OF JOE BIDEN.

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AND HIS POSITION IS MADE

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STRONGER BY THE FACT THAT A

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LARGE MAJORITY OF REPUBLICANS

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SUPPORT HIS BASELESS CLAIM THAT

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THE ELECTION WAS STOLEN FROM

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HIM.

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THIS, IN TURN, HAS COMPLICATED

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THE POSITION OF OTHER POTENTIAL

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CANDIDATES.

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NONE OF THEM CAN OPENLY OPPOSE

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TRUMP FOR FEAR OF ANGERING THE

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BASE.

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>> Hill: JEFF, A NUMBER OF

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INFLUENTIAL REPUBLICANS HAVE

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SOME SERIOUS DOUBTS ABOUT TRUMP

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AND HIS ACTIONS.

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FOR INSTANCE, HE'S BACKING

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DIVISIVE PRIMARY REPUBLICANS.

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AND COULDN'T THAT HURT

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REPUBLICAN PROSPECTS OF

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REGAINING THE MAJORITY IN THE

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HOUSE IN THE FALL ELECTIONS?

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>> REPUBLICANS HAVE PAINFUL

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MEMORIES OF WHAT HAPPENED BACK

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IN 2010, AN OTHERWISE GREAT YEAR

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FOR REPUBLICANS.

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AND THEN AGAIN IN 2012, WHEN

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WINNABLE SENATE SEATS WERE LOST

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BECAUSE THE PRIMARY VOTERS

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NOMINATED CANDIDATES WHO WERE

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JUST UNACCEPTABLE TO THE GENERAL

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ELECTION PUBLIC.

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AND WE'VE ALREADY SEEN EXAMPLES

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WHERE SOME OF TRUMP'S FAVORITES

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HAVE HIGHLY CHECKERED PASTS,

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INVOLVING EVERYTHING FROM

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FINANCES TO DOMESTIC ABUSE.

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AND SO, YES, THERE IS A CONCERN

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THAT WHILE TRUMP CAN PROBABLY

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PERSUADE A LOT OF REPUBLICANS TO

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VOTE FOR HIS CANDIDATES IN A

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PRIMARY, THAT MAY LIMIT NOT JUST

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WHAT THEY COULD DO IN 2022, BUT

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MIGHT SUGGEST THAT TRUMP HIMSELF

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IS WEAKER AS A GENERAL ELECTION

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CANDIDATE IN 2024.

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>> Hill: THERE ARE CLOUDS THAT

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OVERHANG A POSSIBLE TRUMP 2024

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CAMPAIGN, NAMELY JANUARY 6 AND

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THE CONGRESSIONAL COMMITTEE

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INVESTIGATING WHAT HAPPENED.

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FELLOW REPUBLICAN LIZ CHENEY AND

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OTHERS HAVE RAISED THE

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POSSIBILITY OF CRIMINAL CONDUCT.

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WOULD THE COMMITTEE'S FINDINGS

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TARNISH OR EVEN HURT TRUMP?

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>> IN THE REPUBLICAN PARTY

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PROBABLY NOT, BECAUSE THEY'VE

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ALREADY, IF I CAN PUT IT IN A

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WAY THAT HIS CRITICS SAY,

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THEY'VE DRUNK THE KOOL-AID.

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THEY ARE CONVINCED THAT THE

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WHOLE JANUARY 6 EPISODE, OR

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CONGRESSIONAL INVESTIGATION

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RATHER, IS A POLITICAL EVENT.

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BUT I THINK THE CHARGE OF

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CRIMINAL CONDUCT AGAIN IS NOT

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HOW YOU WOULD WANT TO LAUNCH A

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CAMPAIGN TO REGAIN THE WHITE

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HOUSE.

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I SHOULD ALSO POINT OUT THAT

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THERE ARE PROSECUTORS IN

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MANHATTAN, THE NEW YORK STATE

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ATTORNEY GENERAL'S OFFICE IN

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GEORGIA, LOOKING AT DIFFERENT

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QUESTIONS OF CRIMINAL CONDUCT

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INVOLVING EVERYTHING FROM TRYING

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TO OBSTRUCT THE ELECTION COUNT

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TO FINANCIAL MIS-DOINGS IN

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TRUMP'S BUSINESSES.

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SO THOSE, YEAH, YOU WOULD NOT

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WANT THAT ON YOUR RESUME IF

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YOU'RE TRYING TO GET THE WHITE

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HOUSE AGAIN.

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>> Hill: JEFF, THERE ARE PLENTY

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OF PEOPLE WHO SAY, OH, NO WAY,

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TRUMP IN 2024.

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HOW NAIVE IS THAT?

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>> UH, FROM 1-10, IT'S AN 11.

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ANYBODY WHO HAS SEEN THE LAST

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SIX YEARS OF AMERICAN POLITICS

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AND THINKS, "WELL, THIS TIME IT

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CAN'T POSSIBLY HAPPEN," HAS NOT

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BEEN WATCHING AMERICAN POLITICS.

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IT IS SIMPLY A WAY OF PUTTING

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YOUR HANDS OVER YOUR EYES AND

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SAYING, "I DON'T WANT TO SEE

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THIS."

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IF YOU'RE NOT TAKING DONALD

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TRUMP SERIOUSLY AS A

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PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE, IN MY

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VIEW, YOU DON'T UNDERSTAND THE

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POLITICAL UNIVERSE WE LIVE IN

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TODAY.

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>> Hill: JEFF GREENFIELD,

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NEWSHOUR WEEKEND SPECIAL

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CORRESPONDENT.

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THANK YOU, JEFF.

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>> THANK YOU.