1 00:00:04,137 --> 00:00:07,307 >> THIS IS NC SPIN, AN UNREHEARSED DISCUSSION ON 2 00:00:07,440 --> 00:00:10,143 ISSUES OF INTEREST TO NORTH CAROLINIANS. NOW, HERE'S 3 00:00:10,276 --> 00:00:13,480 YOUR MODERATOR, TOM CAMPBELL. 4 00:00:14,481 --> 00:00:16,716 >> THANK YOU FOR TUNING IN THIS WEEK'S NC SPIN. A RECORD 5 00:00:16,850 --> 00:00:19,819 SHATTERING NUMBER OF VOTERS IS TURNING OUT TO CAST BALLOTS IN 6 00:00:19,953 --> 00:00:22,622 PERSON OR BY MAIL. WHY SO MANY? 7 00:00:22,756 --> 00:00:24,224 AND WHICH PARTY DOES IT BENEFIT? 8 00:00:24,357 --> 00:00:27,260 WE ASK OUR PANEL TO GIVE YOU THEIR SPIN ON THIS AND OTHER 9 00:00:27,394 --> 00:00:31,197 ELECTION NEWS. AND WE GO DEEP IN LOOKING AT LEGISLATIVE RACES 10 00:00:31,331 --> 00:00:34,634 AND GIVE OUR TAKE ON WHO MIGHT CONTROL OUR HOUSE AND SENATE 11 00:00:34,768 --> 00:00:37,937 COME JANUARY. OUR PANEL THIS WEEK INCLUDES: 12 00:00:38,071 --> 00:00:42,108 ANNA BEAVON GRAVELY, THE EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR OF NC FREE. 13 00:00:42,242 --> 00:00:44,277 DENNIS WICKER, FORMER LIEUTENANT GOVERNOR OF NORTH 14 00:00:44,411 --> 00:00:45,779 CAROLINA. 15 00:00:45,912 --> 00:00:50,216 JOHN HOOD, SYNDICATED COLUMNIST AND AUTHOR. AND CHRIS FITZSIMON, 16 00:00:50,350 --> 00:00:53,253 DIRECTOR OF THE STATE'S NEWSROOM. WE'LL BEGIN OUR 17 00:00:53,386 --> 00:00:56,322 UNINTERRUPTED DISCUSSION AFTER THESE BRIEF MESSAGES FROM OUR 18 00:00:56,456 --> 00:00:58,058 UNDERWRITERS. 19 00:00:58,191 --> 00:01:01,728 >> YOUR LIFE IS MORE FLEXIBLE AND EFFICIENT THAN EVER. AND 20 00:01:01,861 --> 00:01:04,831 YOUR ENERGY IS TOO. SEE HOW NORTH CAROLINA'S ELECTRIC 21 00:01:04,964 --> 00:01:07,467 COOPERATIVES ARE BUILDING A BRIGHTER FUTURE FOR THE RURAL 22 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:11,171 COMMUNITIES WE SERVE AT: NC ELECTRIC COOPERATIVES.COM 23 00:01:11,304 --> 00:01:14,941 /BRIGHTER >> THE BIG ISSUE IN 2020 IS 24 00:01:15,075 --> 00:01:17,510 HEALTH CARE, LET'S TALK BASICS. 25 00:01:17,644 --> 00:01:20,747 YOU ARE THE KEY TO YOUR OWN PERSONAL HEALTH, BUT THERE'S 26 00:01:20,880 --> 00:01:23,283 STRONG EVIDENCE THAT IF YOU HAVE A RELATIONSHIP WITH THE 27 00:01:23,416 --> 00:01:26,953 FAMILY PHYSICIAN, YOUR QUALITY OF LIFE WILL BE BETTER. YOU'LL 28 00:01:27,087 --> 00:01:31,124 LIKELY LIVE LONGER AND YOU'LL HAVE 33% LOWER HEALTH CARE 29 00:01:31,257 --> 00:01:35,795 COSTS. YOUR FAMILY DOCTOR KNOWS YOU, HAS YOUR MEDICAL HISTORY, 30 00:01:35,929 --> 00:01:39,699 AND CAN QUICKLY DIAGNOSE HEALTH PROBLEMS. FAMILY PHYSICIANS, 31 00:01:39,833 --> 00:01:43,470 YOUR TRUSTED HEALTHCARE ADVISOR FOR LIFE. 32 00:01:43,603 --> 00:01:45,038 >> LET'S BEGIN THE SPIN. 33 00:01:45,171 --> 00:01:47,740 BEFORE WE GET TO THE LEGISLATIVE RACES, THERE ARE 34 00:01:47,874 --> 00:01:50,009 ELECTION DEVELOPMENTS WE NEED TO DISCUSS. DENNIS, I WANT TO 35 00:01:50,143 --> 00:01:54,214 ASK YOU WELL OVER 2.1 MILLION VOTERS HAVE ALREADY CAST THEIR 36 00:01:54,347 --> 00:01:57,684 BALLOTS EITHER IN PERSON AT EARLY VOTING SITES OR BY MAIL, 37 00:01:57,817 --> 00:02:00,887 THIS IS A RECORD NUMBER. WHY ARE SO MANY SO MOTIVATED TO 38 00:02:01,020 --> 00:02:03,723 VOTE SO EARLY? 39 00:02:03,857 --> 00:02:06,526 >> TOM, THERE ARE MANY REASONS I SUSPECT WHY PEOPLE ARE 40 00:02:06,659 --> 00:02:10,597 TURNING OUT IN RECORD PACE OF THIS ELECTION. 41 00:02:10,730 --> 00:02:14,501 BUT I THINK THE MAIN ONES ARE FIRST, THIS IS REALLY A 42 00:02:14,634 --> 00:02:17,303 NATIONAL ELECTION I THINK IT'S A REFERENDUM ON PRESIDENT 43 00:02:17,437 --> 00:02:18,571 TRUMP. 44 00:02:18,705 --> 00:02:21,141 NUMBER 2, THERE ARE CLEAR CHOICES BETWEEN THE 2 45 00:02:21,274 --> 00:02:23,042 PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES. 46 00:02:23,176 --> 00:02:26,946 I THINK THAT ENERGIZES THE BASE OF BOTH PARTIES. 47 00:02:27,080 --> 00:02:31,484 3, I THINK THAT THERE'S A CONGRESSIONAL AND LEGISLATIVE 48 00:02:31,618 --> 00:02:34,354 REDISTRICTING GOING ON THIS YEAR NEXT YEAR WHEN THE 49 00:02:34,487 --> 00:02:37,090 LEGISLATURE MEETS THE LEGISLATURES ACROSS THE 50 00:02:37,223 --> 00:02:40,093 COUNTRY. AND 4, OF COURSE, THERE'S THE PANDEMIC. 51 00:02:40,226 --> 00:02:44,330 AND PEOPLE WANT TO BEAT THE CROWDS COMING TO THE POLLS 52 00:02:44,464 --> 00:02:47,267 ON ELECTION DAY SO THEY ARE VOTING EARLY. SO, I 53 00:02:47,400 --> 00:02:49,702 WOULD SAY THIS - HERE'S WHAT I THINK THE DEAL IS THE 54 00:02:49,836 --> 00:02:51,304 BOTTOM LINE. 55 00:02:51,437 --> 00:02:57,477 USUALLY HIGH VOTER TURNOUT IS NOT A POSITIVE FOR THE 56 00:02:57,610 --> 00:02:59,746 PARTY THAT'S IN POWER. 57 00:02:59,879 --> 00:03:02,949 AND SO I THINK PEOPLE REALLY ARE 58 00:03:03,082 --> 00:03:08,855 LOOKING FOR CHANGE IN DIRECTION. WE'LL SEE. 59 00:03:08,988 --> 00:03:14,427 >> A.B., 80% OF THE VOTE WILL BE IN - IT WILL BE IN 60 00:03:14,561 --> 00:03:18,932 THE BARN, SO TO SPEAK BY ELECTION DAY. DOES THIS MEAN YOU 61 00:03:19,065 --> 00:03:22,936 THINK WE'RE GOING TO BE ABLE TO GET ELECTION RETURNS 62 00:03:23,069 --> 00:03:24,370 NOVEMBER 3RD? 63 00:03:24,504 --> 00:03:26,906 >> IT DEFINITELY INCREASES THE LIKELIHOOD OF US GETTING FULL 64 00:03:27,040 --> 00:03:31,077 RESULTS THAT NIGHT. MY BIG CONCERN AND THE THING THAT I 65 00:03:31,211 --> 00:03:33,913 THINK IS GOING TO REALLY HOLD THINGS UP IS THE LITIGATION 66 00:03:34,047 --> 00:03:38,151 AROUND THE RESULTS IN THESE ELECTIONS. 67 00:03:38,284 --> 00:03:42,155 >> OF THE PEOPLE WHO HAVE VOTED WE NOW HAVE SOME DEMOGRAPHIC 68 00:03:42,288 --> 00:03:47,460 INFORMATION. 42% OF THEM ARE DEMOCRATS, 29% OF THEM ARE 69 00:03:47,594 --> 00:03:53,166 REPUBLICANS, 29% ARE UNAFFILIATED. WOMEN MAKE UP 53% 70 00:03:53,299 --> 00:03:56,603 OF THOSE CASTING EARLY VOTES, AND BLACKS 21%. DO THESE 71 00:03:56,736 --> 00:04:01,307 STATISTICS SWAY YOU ONE WAY OR THE OTHER AS TO WHAT THE 72 00:04:01,441 --> 00:04:03,343 OUTCOME MIGHT BE? 73 00:04:03,476 --> 00:04:05,278 >> WELL, I MEAN I DO THINK I AGREE WITH DENNIS A LITTLE BIT, 74 00:04:05,411 --> 00:04:09,949 I THINK IT FEELS A LITTLE BIT LIKE THIS IS A DEMOCRATIC 75 00:04:10,083 --> 00:04:12,218 ENTHUSIASM, MAYBE A LITTLE HIGHER. BUT REMEMBER MORE 76 00:04:12,352 --> 00:04:15,088 DEMOCRATS ARE LIKELY TO VOTE EARLY AND VOTE ABSENTEE THAN 77 00:04:15,221 --> 00:04:16,489 REPUBLICANS. 78 00:04:16,623 --> 00:04:18,825 THE AFRICAN-AMERICAN VOTE IS A LITTLE HIGHER, I THINK THAN 79 00:04:18,958 --> 00:04:21,461 THAN YOU KNOW PEOPLE MIGHT HAVE EXPECTED BUT MAYBE WE'LL SEE 80 00:04:21,594 --> 00:04:24,264 WHAT THE OVERALL PERCENTAGE IS WHEN ALL THE VOTES ARE TALLIED 81 00:04:24,397 --> 00:04:27,033 I DO THINK IT'S FASCINATING THAT WE'RE, YOU KNOW, WE'RE 82 00:04:27,166 --> 00:04:30,703 PRETTY SOON GOING TO HAVE OVER 50% OF THE ELIGIBLE VOTERS 83 00:04:30,837 --> 00:04:33,539 IN NORTH CAROLINA, NOT - I MEAN REGISTERED VOTERS 84 00:04:33,673 --> 00:04:36,976 ACTUALLY VOTE EARLY. SO IT'S SORT OF ASTOUNDING. I THINK THE 85 00:04:37,110 --> 00:04:40,179 PANDEMIC PLAYS A BIG ROLE IN THIS. A LOT OF PEOPLE ARE 86 00:04:40,313 --> 00:04:42,548 CONCERNED, THE CASES ARE STILL GOING UP, THEY'RE WORRIED THAT 87 00:04:42,682 --> 00:04:45,818 THE CLOSER WE GET. SO IT'S A FASCINATING ELECTION YEAR. 88 00:04:45,952 --> 00:04:48,788 I DO THINK THERE'S A LOT MORE ENTHUSIASM ON ONE SIDE HOWEVER. 89 00:04:48,921 --> 00:04:51,457 >> JOHN, WE TALK ABOUT THIS EVERY WEEK. BUT THERE'S MORE 90 00:04:51,591 --> 00:04:55,762 NEWS THIS WEEK. SOME 10,000 OF THESE BALLOTS ARE WHAT THEY 91 00:04:55,895 --> 00:04:58,731 CALLED SOILED BALLOTS, MEANING THEY DON'T HAVE WITNESS 92 00:04:58,865 --> 00:05:04,270 SIGNATURES OR SOME OTHER IMPERFECTION. IS THERE GOING TO 93 00:05:04,404 --> 00:05:09,509 BE ANY REDRESS FOR THESE PEOPLE WITH THE SPOILED BALLOTS? 94 00:05:09,642 --> 00:05:14,347 CAN WE GET THE BALLOTS, NEW BALLOTS OUT TO THEM AND BACK IN 95 00:05:14,480 --> 00:05:15,982 TIME FOR NOVEMBER 3RD? 96 00:05:16,115 --> 00:05:18,685 >> YES, THIS THIS ISSUE HAS NOW BEEN RESOLVED, IT'S NO LONGER 97 00:05:18,818 --> 00:05:21,654 BEING LITIGATED THERE'S A FULL AGREEMENT ON ALL PARTIES. 98 00:05:21,788 --> 00:05:24,657 THE PEOPLE WHO DON'T HAVE WITNESS SIGNATURES - 99 00:05:24,791 --> 00:05:27,026 THOSE KINDS OF THINGS ARE GOING TO HAVE TO CAST A NEW BALLOT. 100 00:05:27,160 --> 00:05:29,329 BUT THERE'S TIME TO DO THAT, AND THE BOARD OF ELECTIONS IS 101 00:05:29,462 --> 00:05:32,031 REACHING OUT TO THEM. AND THEN FOR OTHER KINDS OF MINOR 102 00:05:32,165 --> 00:05:35,768 PROBLEMS INFORMATION ON THE WRONG LINE, THERE IS AN 103 00:05:35,902 --> 00:05:39,138 ATTESTATION SOLUTION. LET ME JUST SAY, REAL QUICK, ABOUT THE 104 00:05:39,272 --> 00:05:40,673 CURRENT EARLY VOTE NUMBERS. 105 00:05:40,807 --> 00:05:43,910 I COULDN'T DISAGREE MORE WITH CHRIS ABOUT WHAT THEY MEAN. 106 00:05:44,043 --> 00:05:46,346 I'M NOT SURE THAT THEY MEAN THE REPUBLICANS ARE DOING GREAT, 107 00:05:46,479 --> 00:05:48,715 BUT IT CERTAINLY IS NOT GOOD FOR THE DEMOCRATS. THEY'RE DOWN 108 00:05:48,848 --> 00:05:51,417 FROM 4 YEARS AGO, THE AFRICAN-AMERICAN PERCENTAGE IS 109 00:05:51,551 --> 00:05:53,519 LOWER THAN IT WAS 4 YEARS AGO. 110 00:05:53,653 --> 00:05:57,890 NOW, THERE ARE SOME REASONS TO THINK THE REPUBLICANS SORT OF 111 00:05:58,024 --> 00:06:01,661 EARLY ENTHUSIASM OR SATISFACTION WITH THESE NUMBERS 112 00:06:01,794 --> 00:06:04,664 IS A BIT PREMATURE. BUT DEMOCRATS DON'T FEEL GOOD ABOUT 113 00:06:04,797 --> 00:06:07,734 THESE NUMBERS THEY THEY LOOK A LITTLE SCARY RIGHT NOW. 114 00:06:07,867 --> 00:06:10,770 >> DENNIS, LET'S LOOK AT THAT SENATE RACE. IT'S THE MOST 115 00:06:10,903 --> 00:06:14,407 EXPENSIVE US SENATE RACE IN THE COUNTRY, SOMETHING 116 00:06:14,540 --> 00:06:17,477 LIKE OVER $340 MILLION. 117 00:06:17,610 --> 00:06:19,579 HAS BEEN SPENT ON THIS RACE. 118 00:06:19,712 --> 00:06:23,116 THE RACE IS STILL CLOSE, ACCORDING TO POLLS. THE LATEST 119 00:06:23,249 --> 00:06:28,621 ECU POLL WAS OUT THIS WEEK, AND IT SHOWED A VERY CLOSE RACE. 120 00:06:28,755 --> 00:06:32,291 CUNNINGHAM IS LEADING SLIGHTLY. 121 00:06:32,425 --> 00:06:36,996 BUT THERE ARE MEMBERS OF THE FAR RIGHT REPUBLICANS WHO JUST 122 00:06:37,130 --> 00:06:38,598 AREN'T HAPPY WITH TOM TILLIS. 123 00:06:38,731 --> 00:06:42,235 IS THAT GOING TO HAVE AN IMPACT? 124 00:06:42,368 --> 00:06:45,204 >> I THINK IT'S GOING TO HAVE AN IMPACT. AS I TALK TO MY 125 00:06:45,338 --> 00:06:49,409 REPUBLICAN FRIENDS, THEY JUST QUITE DON'T UNDERSTAND 126 00:06:49,542 --> 00:06:52,712 WHY THE FAR RIGHT DOES NOT EMBRACE THOM TILLIS IN THIS 127 00:06:52,845 --> 00:06:56,883 ELECTION. IS VERY OBVIOUS TO THEM THAT THEY HAVE NOT. 128 00:06:57,016 --> 00:07:02,355 THAT'S NOT GOING TO HELP THE SENATOR. AND DESPITE THE 129 00:07:02,488 --> 00:07:06,692 SCANDAL THAT CUNNINGHAM HAS FACED, HE IS APPARENTLY 130 00:07:06,826 --> 00:07:08,694 SURVIVING THAT SO FAR. 131 00:07:08,828 --> 00:07:11,497 IT'S A VERY STRANGE ELECTION AND THE MONEY THEY 132 00:07:11,631 --> 00:07:13,699 HAVE RAISED AS MIND BLOWING TO ME. 133 00:07:13,833 --> 00:07:18,204 >> IT IS, INDEED. A.B., THIS IS A VERY VERY LONG BALLOT. WHEN I 134 00:07:18,337 --> 00:07:22,308 WENT TO VOTE, I HEARD PEOPLE SAYING THEY JUST ZIPPED IN AND 135 00:07:22,442 --> 00:07:24,911 ZIPPED OUT. I DON'T KNOW HOW THEY DID IT BECAUSE IT'S A 136 00:07:25,044 --> 00:07:27,346 PRETTY LONG BALLOT. ARE VOTERS GOING TO GET ALL THE WAY TO THE 137 00:07:27,480 --> 00:07:30,183 END ARE WE GOING TO HAVE VOTER FATIGUE AND THEY'RE JUST GOING 138 00:07:30,316 --> 00:07:33,753 TO FORGET SOME OF THE THE RACES DOWN AT THE BOTTOM? 139 00:07:33,886 --> 00:07:35,788 >> WELL, I KNOW THAT THE PEOPLE AT THE END OF THE BALLOT ARE 140 00:07:35,922 --> 00:07:39,459 VERY MUCH HOPING THAT VOTERS GET TO THE END AND CAN CAST 141 00:07:39,592 --> 00:07:42,862 THEIR VOTE FOR THOSE INDIVIDUALS. I THINK THERE'S A 142 00:07:42,995 --> 00:07:47,066 LOT OF ENERGY AROUND NOT JUST THE TOP OF THE TICKET, BUT ALSO 143 00:07:47,200 --> 00:07:50,269 THOSE AT THE BOTTOM SPECIFICALLY THE JUDGES. 144 00:07:50,403 --> 00:07:53,306 THERE'S BEEN A LOT MORE ADVERTISING FOR JUDGES AND 145 00:07:53,439 --> 00:07:56,776 THEY'RE ON THE BALLOT FOR THE FIRST TIME, FOR MANY OF THESE 146 00:07:56,909 --> 00:07:59,645 CANDIDATES, FIRST TIME WITH A PARTY AFFILIATION. 147 00:07:59,779 --> 00:08:03,716 >> LET'S MOVE THE LEGISLATIVE RACES. ALL 120 SEATS IN THE 148 00:08:03,850 --> 00:08:06,319 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ARE UP FOR ELECTION, CURRENTLY THEY'RE 149 00:08:06,452 --> 00:08:09,956 65 REPUBLICANS, 55 DEMOCRATS. 150 00:08:10,089 --> 00:08:13,426 DEMOCRATS WOULD LIKE TO TAKE CONTROL OF THE HOUSE, BUT AT 151 00:08:13,559 --> 00:08:16,496 THE MINIMUM THEY WANT TO KEEP THE VETO PROOF MAJORITY THEY 152 00:08:16,629 --> 00:08:21,434 NOW HOLD. LET ME JUST EXPLAIN TO OUR VIEWERS THAT THIS 153 00:08:21,567 --> 00:08:25,605 PANEL HAS WORKED COOPERATIVELY TOGETHER THROUGHOUT THE WEEK, 154 00:08:25,738 --> 00:08:28,608 NOT FROM A STANDPOINT OF TALKING ABOUT INDIVIDUAL 155 00:08:28,741 --> 00:08:32,445 CANDIDATES IN INDIVIDUAL RACES, BUT TO TRY TO HELP IDENTIFY 156 00:08:32,578 --> 00:08:36,849 THOSE RACES WE FELT LIKE WERE MOST SIGNIFICANT, AND MIGHT HAVE 157 00:08:36,983 --> 00:08:40,686 SOME ULTIMATE IMPACT OVER THE ELECTION. NO WAY WE CAN COVER 158 00:08:40,820 --> 00:08:43,856 120 OF THEM. BUT WE DO WANT TO GET SOME OF THE ONES THAT WE 159 00:08:43,990 --> 00:08:47,360 THINK MAY BE FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT. LET'S GET STARTED 160 00:08:47,493 --> 00:08:50,296 ON THAT. CHRIS FITZSIMON, LET'S GO UP TO NORTHEASTERN NORTH 161 00:08:50,429 --> 00:08:54,400 CAROLINA DISTRICT 1. ED GOODWIN IS FACING EMILY BUNCH 162 00:08:54,534 --> 00:08:56,102 NICHOLSON, THE DEMOCRAT. 163 00:08:56,235 --> 00:08:57,703 GOODWIN IS A REPUBLICAN. 164 00:08:57,837 --> 00:09:01,741 WHAT DO WE KNOW ABOUT THAT RACE HOW DO WE HANDICAP? 165 00:09:01,874 --> 00:09:03,809 >> IT'S AN INTERESTING RACE. 166 00:09:03,943 --> 00:09:05,645 ED GOODWIN IS A FIRST TERM INCUMBENT 167 00:09:05,778 --> 00:09:08,481 WHICH ALWAYS - THAT'S WHEN YOU'RE THE MOST VULNERABLE AS A 168 00:09:08,614 --> 00:09:11,551 AS A LEGISLATOR RUNNING, IT'S A RETIRED MILITARY PERSON 169 00:09:11,684 --> 00:09:14,387 RUNNING AGAINST EMILY BUNCH NICHOLSON, HER FIRST EFFORT 170 00:09:14,520 --> 00:09:15,922 RUNNING FOR OFFICE. 171 00:09:16,055 --> 00:09:18,691 A MOTHER OF 3. THE NORTHEAST IS THE PLACE, WE'LL 172 00:09:18,824 --> 00:09:20,893 TALK ABOUT THAT LATER IN THE SENATE RACE, THE DEMOCRATS 173 00:09:21,027 --> 00:09:23,863 BELIEVE THEY CAN POSSIBLY GAIN BOTH IN THE HOUSE AND THE 174 00:09:23,996 --> 00:09:26,332 SENATE. ONE OF THE INTERESTING AREAS OF THE STATE WE HAVE TO 175 00:09:26,465 --> 00:09:27,800 WATCH ON ELECTION NIGHT. 176 00:09:27,934 --> 00:09:31,203 >> FOR MANY YEARS, IT WAS SOLID DEMOCRATIC, THEN IT WENT SOLID 177 00:09:31,337 --> 00:09:34,507 REPUBLICAN. ANNA BEAVON, LET'S MOVE THE PITT COUNTY. THIS IS AN 178 00:09:34,640 --> 00:09:38,544 INTERESTING RACE. THIS IS GREG MURPHY'S OLD SEAT. BRIAN FARKAS 179 00:09:38,678 --> 00:09:43,482 IS FACING PERRON JONES. PERRON WAS APPOINTED TO REPLACE GREG 180 00:09:43,616 --> 00:09:45,151 WHEN HE RAN FOR THE CONGRESS. 181 00:09:45,284 --> 00:09:50,156 THIS SEAT NOW LEANS, SORT OF, DEMOCRATIC, DOESN'T IT? 182 00:09:50,289 --> 00:09:53,059 >> IT DOES. ONE THING THAT I FIND REALLY INTERESTING ABOUT 183 00:09:53,192 --> 00:09:56,629 THIS RACE IS THAT - THIS IS CERTAINLY A BELLWETHER RACE 184 00:09:56,762 --> 00:10:00,900 IN THE HOUSE. AND THERE'S A LOT OF SUPPORT AND ENERGY FROM THE 185 00:10:01,033 --> 00:10:05,404 HOUSE CAUCUS FOR DOCTOR PERRON JONES TO HOLD THIS SEAT, 186 00:10:05,538 --> 00:10:08,341 HE'S BEEN REALLY INSTRUMENTAL AND ALL OF THE COVID 187 00:10:08,474 --> 00:10:12,144 CONVERSATIONS AT A STATE LEVEL. BUT BRIAN FARKAS IS THE 188 00:10:12,278 --> 00:10:16,048 CANDIDATE THAT HAS BEEN BACKED HEAVILY BY NEARLY EVERY GROUP 189 00:10:16,182 --> 00:10:17,717 ON THE LEFT SIDE OF THE FIGHT. 190 00:10:17,850 --> 00:10:20,319 >> JOHN LET'S MOVE NOW TO DISTRICT 12, THAT'S LENOIR IN 191 00:10:20,453 --> 00:10:23,623 PITT COUNTY. WE'RE STILL IN THAT AREA. CHRIS HUMPHREY IS THE 192 00:10:23,756 --> 00:10:27,126 INCUMBENT RUNNING AGAINST VIRGINIA COX DAUGHTRY. THIS IS 193 00:10:27,259 --> 00:10:30,863 A RELATIVELY NEWLY REDRAWN DISTRICT. IS IT STILL LEANING 194 00:10:30,997 --> 00:10:32,198 REPUBLICAN? 195 00:10:32,331 --> 00:10:35,801 >> YES, I'D BE VERY SURPRISED IF THIS PARTICULAR RACE 196 00:10:35,935 --> 00:10:37,169 GOES DEMOCRATIC. 197 00:10:37,303 --> 00:10:40,539 I MENTIONED EARLIER THAT STATEWIDE THE SHARE AND NOT THE 198 00:10:40,673 --> 00:10:43,442 TOTAL VOTES, BUT THE SHARE OF THE VOTES CAST BY DEMOCRATS 199 00:10:43,576 --> 00:10:46,245 EARLY IS ACTUALLY LOWER THAN 4 YEARS AGO. THE REPUBLICAN 200 00:10:46,379 --> 00:10:49,548 NUMBERS NOT MUCH DIFFERENT THAN 4 YEARS AGO. BUT IF YOU LOOK AT 201 00:10:49,682 --> 00:10:52,251 PARTICULAR LOCATIONS AND I THINK THIS IS ONE OF THEM. 202 00:10:52,385 --> 00:10:54,186 I THINK REPUBLICANS ARE REASONABLY OPTIMISTIC ABOUT 203 00:10:54,320 --> 00:10:55,421 THIS RACE. 204 00:10:55,554 --> 00:10:58,157 >> DENNIS LET'S MOVE OVER TO DISTRICT 24, THAT'S 205 00:10:58,290 --> 00:10:59,425 IN WILSON COUNTY. 206 00:10:59,558 --> 00:11:02,428 LINDA COOPER SUGGS IS RUNNING AGAINST MICK RANKIN. 207 00:11:02,561 --> 00:11:06,332 AND THIS WAS THE FORMER BUTTERFIELD SEAT. WHAT DO WE 208 00:11:06,465 --> 00:11:08,668 KNOW ABOUT THAT ONE, 24? 209 00:11:08,801 --> 00:11:13,572 >> WELL, I THINK THIS SEAT IS MORE OF AN AFRICAN-AMERICAN 210 00:11:13,706 --> 00:11:16,042 DISTRICT AND THEN NOT. 211 00:11:16,175 --> 00:11:20,413 AND OF COURSE BUTTERFIELD WAS AFRICAN-AMERICAN. I WOULD - 212 00:11:20,546 --> 00:11:25,618 I WOULD EDGE THIS RACE TOWARD THE D, THE DEMOCRATS. 213 00:11:25,751 --> 00:11:27,319 BECAUSE OF THAT FACTOR. 214 00:11:27,453 --> 00:11:29,789 >> ALL RIGHT. A.B., IN WAKE COUNTY, INTERESTING 215 00:11:29,922 --> 00:11:33,225 RACE. SYDNEY BATCH THE DEMOCRAT IS RUNNING AGAINST 216 00:11:33,359 --> 00:11:36,862 ERIN - I THINK I'M PRONOUNCING THIS CORRECT - PARÉÉ, THE 217 00:11:36,996 --> 00:11:39,031 REPUBLICAN. HANDICAP THAT ONE. 218 00:11:39,165 --> 00:11:41,834 >> YEAH, ERIN PARÉÉ IS A REALLY STRONG CANDIDATE FOR 219 00:11:41,967 --> 00:11:45,304 REPUBLICANS TO PUT UP IN THIS DISTRICT. AND HONESTLY I THINK 220 00:11:45,438 --> 00:11:47,973 SHE'S THE BEST CHANCE THAT REPUBLICANS HAVE FOR HAVING 221 00:11:48,107 --> 00:11:52,144 A SEAT IN WAKE COUNTY. AND AN INTERESTING FACTOID ON THIS, 222 00:11:52,278 --> 00:11:56,515 THAT SYDNEY BATCH IS ON THE BALLOT AS "MISS" SYDNEY BATCH. 223 00:11:56,649 --> 00:11:57,983 I THINK THAT'S LARGELY... 224 00:11:58,117 --> 00:12:00,419 >> [LAUGHS] >> ...LARGELY THAT 225 00:12:00,553 --> 00:12:03,222 IT'S A CLEAR COMPETITION BETWEEN 2 FEMALES. 226 00:12:03,355 --> 00:12:05,458 >> INTERESTING. I DID NOT REALIZE THAT, BECAUSE I'M NOT IN 227 00:12:05,591 --> 00:12:09,128 THAT DISTRICT. CHRIS LET'S MOVE OVER TO DISTRICT 43 IN 228 00:12:09,261 --> 00:12:11,430 CUMBERLAND COUNTY. SOME INTERESTING RACES IN CUMBERLAND 229 00:12:11,564 --> 00:12:14,300 COUNTY. KIMBERLY HARDY IS RUNNING AGAINST DIANE WHEATLEY. 230 00:12:14,433 --> 00:12:19,205 THIS IS A REDRAWN DISTRICT, SO HOW IS IT LEANING? 231 00:12:19,338 --> 00:12:20,673 >> IT'S REALLY INTERESTING. 232 00:12:20,806 --> 00:12:22,441 THERE'S NO INCUMBENT IN THE RACE BECAUSE ELMER FLOYD WAS A 233 00:12:22,575 --> 00:12:24,710 DEMOCRATIC INCUMBENT, AND KIMBERLY HARDY, WHO IS A 234 00:12:24,844 --> 00:12:27,012 PROFESSOR AT FAYETTEVILLE STATE ACTUALLY BEAT REPRESENTATIVE 235 00:12:27,146 --> 00:12:30,015 FLOYD IN THE DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY. SO IT'S INTERESTING 236 00:12:30,149 --> 00:12:31,283 THAT THAT IS HAPPENING. 237 00:12:31,417 --> 00:12:33,519 RUNNING AGAINST DIANE WHEATLEY WHO HAS RUN FOR THE 238 00:12:33,652 --> 00:12:36,388 LEGISLATURE BEFORE AS THE REPUBLICAN. CUMBERLAND COUNTY IS 239 00:12:36,522 --> 00:12:38,557 ANOTHER ONE OF THOSE AREAS WE'LL HEAR AGAIN WHEN WE TALK ABOUT 240 00:12:38,691 --> 00:12:42,862 SENATE RACES. IF THERE'S 5 OR 6, 7, FOR THE GEOGRAPHIC AREAS 241 00:12:42,995 --> 00:12:45,698 OF FOCUS, CUMBERLAND COUNTY IS CLEARLY ONE. I DO BELIEVE THE 242 00:12:45,831 --> 00:12:48,234 DEMOCRATS HAVE AN EDGE HERE BUT THIS IS ONE OF THOSE 243 00:12:48,367 --> 00:12:50,569 INTERESTING CUMBERLAND COUNTY RACES, WE'LL KEEP TALKING 244 00:12:50,703 --> 00:12:51,971 ABOUT. 245 00:12:52,104 --> 00:12:53,873 >> JOHN WE'RE GONNA STAY IN CUMBERLAND. DISTRICT 45, JOHN 246 00:12:54,006 --> 00:12:55,608 SZOKA IS RUNNING AGAINST 247 00:12:55,741 --> 00:12:57,777 FRANCES VINELL JACKSON. 248 00:12:57,910 --> 00:12:59,879 WE UNDERSTAND THIS DISTRICT'S IN PLAY. 249 00:13:00,012 --> 00:13:03,549 >> IT IS IN PLAY. JACKSON IS - TEACHES AT FAYETTEVILL TECH. 250 00:13:03,682 --> 00:13:06,452 SZOKA, OF COURSE, IS THE INCUMBENT, A RETIRED COLONEL 251 00:13:06,585 --> 00:13:09,789 FROM THE U.S. ARMY. CHRIS IS RIGHT ABOUT CUMBERLAND COUNTY 252 00:13:09,922 --> 00:13:12,792 BEING IMPORTANT AND AS I SAID EARLIER IF YOU - IT'S A LITTLE 253 00:13:12,925 --> 00:13:16,195 DANGEROUS TO TAKE A LOT OF PREDICTIVE VALUE FROM EARLY 254 00:13:16,328 --> 00:13:19,098 VOTES THAT MAY BE DIFFERENT THIS YEAR IN TERMS OF PATTERNS. 255 00:13:19,231 --> 00:13:22,001 BUT CUMBERLAND IS UNLIKE SAY WAKE AND MECKLENBURG WHICH ARE 256 00:13:22,134 --> 00:13:24,370 LOOKING A LITTLE DEMOCRATIC THIS YEAR IN TERMS OF THE EARLY 257 00:13:24,503 --> 00:13:27,640 VOTE. CUMBERLAND MAYBE A LITTLE BIT OVER PERFORMING FOR THE 258 00:13:27,773 --> 00:13:29,008 REPUBLICANS WE'LL SEE. 259 00:13:29,141 --> 00:13:31,076 >> ALL RIGHT. CHRIS, AGAIN. 260 00:13:31,210 --> 00:13:34,680 DOWN IN ROBESON COUNTY. DISTRICT 47. CHARLES GRAHAM THE 261 00:13:34,814 --> 00:13:37,917 DEMOCRAT RUNNING AGAINST OLIVIA OXENDINE. THIS 262 00:13:38,050 --> 00:13:43,155 IS ANOTHER ONE OF THOSE REDRAWN DISTRICTS LEANS DEMOCRATIC IS 263 00:13:43,289 --> 00:13:45,324 THAT THE WAY IT'S GOING TO TURN OUT? 264 00:13:45,457 --> 00:13:48,060 >> I THINK WHAT - LEADING DEMOCRATIC AND HAVING A 265 00:13:48,194 --> 00:13:52,431 DEMOCRATIC INCUMBENT MAKES IT A PROBABLY AN EDGE FOR THE 266 00:13:52,565 --> 00:13:55,134 DEMOCRATS. OLIVIA OXENDINE IS A REPUBLICAN ACTIVIST FORMER 267 00:13:55,267 --> 00:13:57,069 MEMBER OF THE STATE BOARD OF ELECTIONS A LITTLE BIT OF A 268 00:13:57,203 --> 00:14:00,339 CLOUD AROUND HER PERFORMANCE THERE. VERY CLOSELY CONTESTED 269 00:14:00,472 --> 00:14:03,075 >> RACE ALL RIGHT, LET'S MOVE OVER TO DISTRICT 59. 270 00:14:03,209 --> 00:14:04,944 GUILFORD COUNTY. 271 00:14:05,077 --> 00:14:07,279 WE'VE GOT INCUMBENT JON HARDISTER RUNNING AGAINST 272 00:14:07,413 --> 00:14:10,316 NICOLE QUICK. ANNA BEAVON HANDICAP THAT ONE. 273 00:14:10,449 --> 00:14:13,686 >> YEAH, THIS IS ANOTHER ONE OF THOSE RACES VERY SIMILAR TO THE 274 00:14:13,819 --> 00:14:17,523 PERRON JONES AND BRIAN FARKAS RACE. THIS IS ALSO A BELLWETHER 275 00:14:17,656 --> 00:14:21,527 FOR THE HOUSE. JOHN HARDISTER IS IN THE FIGHT OF HIS LIFE 276 00:14:21,660 --> 00:14:25,331 TRYING TO HOLD THIS SEAT. NICOLE QUICK IS A STRONG CANDIDATE 277 00:14:25,464 --> 00:14:27,299 THAT IS HEAVILY BACKED BY DEMOCRATS. 278 00:14:27,433 --> 00:14:29,902 >> DENNIS, LET'S MOVE OVER INTO YOUR PART OF THE WORLD, 279 00:14:30,035 --> 00:14:33,105 MONTGOMERY, RICHMOND, AND STANLY COUNTIES DOWN IN THE 280 00:14:33,239 --> 00:14:34,506 SOUTHEASTERN PART OF THE STATE. 281 00:14:34,640 --> 00:14:37,943 DISTRICT 66, WE'VE GOT SCOTT BREWER THE INCUMBENT DEMOCRAT 282 00:14:38,077 --> 00:14:42,848 AGAINST BEN MOSS. THIS IS KEN GOODMAN'S OLD SEAT. 283 00:14:42,982 --> 00:14:47,686 >> YEAH, YOU KNOW, SCOTT BREWER HAS A HARD CAMPAIGNER. 284 00:14:47,820 --> 00:14:52,091 A FORMER JUDGE DISTRICT COURT JUDGE THERE, ATTORNEY OF COURSE. 285 00:14:52,224 --> 00:14:53,893 WELL RESPECTED AN INCUMBANT. 286 00:14:54,026 --> 00:15:00,165 BUT OF COURSE BEN MOSS IS SOMEONE WHO 287 00:15:00,299 --> 00:15:03,068 THE REPUBLICANS BELIEVE HAVE A GOOD CHANCE OF TAKING THE SEAT 288 00:15:03,202 --> 00:15:04,603 AND THEN FLIPPING IT. 289 00:15:04,737 --> 00:15:08,941 I WOULD SAY IT'S A TOSS UP, WITH A SLIGHT EDGE, MAYBE TO BREWER. 290 00:15:09,074 --> 00:15:12,144 >> DISTRICT 74 IS WHERE WE GO NEXT THAT'S FORSYTH COUNTY. 291 00:15:12,278 --> 00:15:16,315 JEFF ZENGER IS RUNNING AGAINST DAN BESSE. THIS IS AN OPEN SEAT. 292 00:15:16,448 --> 00:15:18,617 CHRIS, HANDICAP IT. 293 00:15:18,751 --> 00:15:21,520 >> WELL, DAN BESSE, A WINSTON SALEM COUNCILMAN, HAS RUN 294 00:15:21,654 --> 00:15:24,156 FOR LIEUTENANT GOVERNOR BEFORE ACTUALLY ONE OF THE HANDFUL OF 295 00:15:24,290 --> 00:15:26,959 CANDIDATES ENDORSED BY PRESIDENT OBAMA TO HELP I THINK THAT 296 00:15:27,092 --> 00:15:28,227 PROBABLY HELPED HIS TURN OUT. 297 00:15:28,360 --> 00:15:31,096 JEFF ZENGER IS A REPUBLICAN FORMER LOCAL 298 00:15:31,230 --> 00:15:35,567 OFFICIAL. SORT OF ON THE I THINK MORE CONSERVATIVE OR FAR RIGHT 299 00:15:35,701 --> 00:15:37,002 SIDE OF THE POLITICAL SPECTRUM. 300 00:15:37,136 --> 00:15:38,404 THIS IS A FASCINATING RACE. 301 00:15:38,537 --> 00:15:42,241 DO I THINK - YOU REALLY HAVE DISTINCT DIFFERENT IDEOLOGIES 302 00:15:42,374 --> 00:15:44,476 HERE MAYBE MORE SO THAN SOME OF THE RACES. 303 00:15:44,610 --> 00:15:47,680 >> JOHN, WE'LL MOVE OVER TO CABARRUS COUNTY NOW. DISTRICT 82 304 00:15:47,813 --> 00:15:51,684 KRISTIN BAKER IS RUNNING AGAINST AIMY STEELE. THIS 305 00:15:51,817 --> 00:15:55,988 WAS THE LINDA JOHNSON SEAT AND BAKER WAS APPOINTED AFTER THE 306 00:15:56,121 --> 00:15:59,024 PRIMARY ELECTIONS. HANDICAP IT. 307 00:15:59,158 --> 00:16:02,628 >> BAKER IS THE QUOTE INCUMBENT THOUGH NOT REALLY. SHE'S A 308 00:16:02,761 --> 00:16:05,664 DOCTOR SHE'S RUNNING AGAINST A FORMER SCHOOL PRINCIPAL. 309 00:16:05,798 --> 00:16:08,467 THIS IS A RACE THAT I WOULD BE SURPRISED IF THE REPUBLICANS 310 00:16:08,600 --> 00:16:09,868 LOSE. 311 00:16:10,002 --> 00:16:12,671 CABARRUS COUNTY, WHILE IT'S CERTAINLY HAS NOT BEEN - IT'S 312 00:16:12,805 --> 00:16:15,541 BEEN TRENDING A LITTLE BLUE RECENTLY IT IS STILL A 313 00:16:15,674 --> 00:16:16,942 REPUBLICAN LEANING AREA. 314 00:16:17,076 --> 00:16:19,611 SO I THINK THAT THEY WILL WIN THIS SEAT. BUT IF THIS SEAT 315 00:16:19,745 --> 00:16:22,481 GOES DOWN, FOR EXAMPLE IF YOU'RE WATCHING THE ELECTION RESULTS 316 00:16:22,614 --> 00:16:25,851 ON TUESDAY NIGHT ON ELECTION DAY OF THE 3RD, AND THIS RACE 317 00:16:25,985 --> 00:16:27,920 LOOKS REALLY CLOSE, THEN THAT WILL BE A BELLWETHER. 318 00:16:28,053 --> 00:16:32,191 >> INTERESTING. LET ME STAY WITH YOU ON HOUSE DISTRICT 93 319 00:16:32,324 --> 00:16:35,427 WE GET UP TO ASHE AND WATAUGA COUNTY. RAY RUSSELL IS RUNNING 320 00:16:35,561 --> 00:16:37,930 AGAINST RAY PICKETT. HANDICAP THAT ONE. 321 00:16:38,063 --> 00:16:40,733 >> PICKETT I THINK IS A GOOD RECRUIT FOR THE REPUBLICANS, 322 00:16:40,866 --> 00:16:45,304 HE'S A FORMER LOCAL OFFICIAL IN BLOWING ROCK. A BUSINESS OWNER. 323 00:16:45,437 --> 00:16:47,973 THIS IS A DISTRICT THAT HAS BEEN COMPETITIVE MANY TIMES IN 324 00:16:48,107 --> 00:16:51,777 THE PAST. AS I'VE SAID EARLIER THE EARLY VOTE IF WE'RE GOING 325 00:16:51,910 --> 00:16:54,880 TO DRAW ANY CONCLUSIONS, WE SHOULD RECOGNIZE THAT THAT THE 326 00:16:55,014 --> 00:16:58,183 MORE URBAN TYPES OF COUNTIES TEND TO BE DOING VERY BLUE AND 327 00:16:58,317 --> 00:17:01,020 THE SOME OF THE OTHER PLACES A LITTLE REDDER. THIS IS ONE OF 328 00:17:01,153 --> 00:17:04,023 THE PLACES WHERE THE REPUBLICANS HAVE SOME EARLY 329 00:17:04,156 --> 00:17:06,425 OPTIMISM THAT MAYBE IN WATAUGA COUNTY REPUBLICANS WILL BE A 330 00:17:06,558 --> 00:17:08,027 OVER PERFORMING. 331 00:17:08,160 --> 00:17:10,996 >> A.B., I GOT A COUPLE OF MECKLENBURG COUNTYIES FOR YOU 332 00:17:11,130 --> 00:17:13,866 LET'S START WITH 98. WE'VE GOT CHRISTY CLARK RUNNING AGAINST 333 00:17:13,999 --> 00:17:17,936 JOHN BRADFORD. CHRISTY'S THE INCUMBENT DEMOCRAT THERE. IS IT 334 00:17:18,070 --> 00:17:19,405 GOING TO STAY BLUE? 335 00:17:19,538 --> 00:17:22,241 >> YEAH, THIS IS ONE OF THE THE 2 RACES THAT WE'RE AT THIS ONE 336 00:17:22,374 --> 00:17:24,910 IN THE RACE THAT I'M GOING TO TALK ABOUT NEXT AND MECKLENBURG 337 00:17:25,044 --> 00:17:28,247 WHERE WE HAVE INCUMBENTS WHO HAVE 338 00:17:28,380 --> 00:17:31,050 ARE TRYING TO HOLD THEIR SEAT AGAINST CANDIDATES WHO LOST IN 339 00:17:31,183 --> 00:17:34,486 '18. AND JOHN BRADFORD IS IS ONE OF THOSE. I DEFINITELY THINK 340 00:17:34,620 --> 00:17:37,156 THAT THERE'S A MASSIVE FUNDRAISING ADVANTAGE FOR THE 341 00:17:37,289 --> 00:17:40,426 DEMOCRATS. AND DESPITE THE REPUBLICAN LEAN OF THE DISTRICT 342 00:17:40,559 --> 00:17:42,327 IT WILL BE A DEMOCRAT WIN. 343 00:17:42,461 --> 00:17:45,697 >> GOT RACHEL HUNT AND ROBERT BRAWLEY AT 344 00:17:45,831 --> 00:17:48,200 103 DISTRICT. 345 00:17:48,333 --> 00:17:51,203 BRAWLEY OBVIOUSLY HAS LEGISLATIVE EXPERIENCE, RACHEL 346 00:17:51,336 --> 00:17:54,606 HUNT HAS A PEDIGREE. SHE GOING TO KEEP THAT SEAT? 347 00:17:54,740 --> 00:17:57,476 >> I JUST LIKE THE PREVIOUS RACE, I THINK THIS IS ALSO 348 00:17:57,609 --> 00:18:00,279 GOING TO BE A RACE THAT GOES TOWARD TOWARD DEMOCRATS AND 349 00:18:00,412 --> 00:18:03,315 SHE'S ABLE TO HOLD IT WITH BRAWLEY COMING BACK TRYING TO 350 00:18:03,449 --> 00:18:04,683 TO RECLAIM HIS SEAT. 351 00:18:04,817 --> 00:18:08,287 >> JOHN, STAYING IN MECKLENBURG COUNTY AND SEAT NUMBER 105 352 00:18:08,420 --> 00:18:11,657 WE'VE GOT WESLEY HARRIS RUNNING AGAINST AMY BYNUM. WHAT CAN YOU 353 00:18:11,790 --> 00:18:13,158 TELL US? 354 00:18:13,292 --> 00:18:16,261 >> THAT SEAT WILL ALMOST CERTAINLY STAY WITH THE 355 00:18:16,395 --> 00:18:19,098 DEMOCRATS. IN FACT, THE FIRST - THE SEATS THAT ANNA 356 00:18:19,231 --> 00:18:21,834 BEAVON TALKED ABOUT ARE MORE COMPETITIVE. 357 00:18:21,967 --> 00:18:24,403 >> AND DENNIS OVER IN THE FAR WESTERN PART OF THE STATE 358 00:18:24,536 --> 00:18:29,208 DISTRICT 119. THIS IS BEEN AN OFF AGAIN ON AGAIN CONTEST 359 00:18:29,341 --> 00:18:32,611 FOR YEARS IN HEYWOOD AND JACKSON COUNTY, JOE SAM QUEEN 360 00:18:32,744 --> 00:18:35,981 AND MIKE CLAMPETT, JOE SAM QUEEN IS THE CURRENT INCUMBENT. 361 00:18:36,115 --> 00:18:38,550 IS GONNA HOLD HIS SEAT? 362 00:18:38,684 --> 00:18:40,052 >> GROUNDHOG DAY TOM. 363 00:18:40,185 --> 00:18:44,656 [LAUGHTER] THEY GO BACK AND FORTH ALL THE 364 00:18:44,790 --> 00:18:50,262 TIME. I WOULD SAY THAT IN THAT AREA PEOPLE I'VE TALKED 365 00:18:50,395 --> 00:18:52,231 TO UP THERE IN THOSE MOUNTAINS. 366 00:18:52,364 --> 00:18:54,766 THEY'RE GOING TO STICK WITH JOE SAM THIS TIME. I THINK - 367 00:18:54,900 --> 00:18:56,168 I THINK I'D GIVE HIM THE EDGE IN THAT RACE. 368 00:18:56,301 --> 00:18:58,704 >> ALL RIGHT I WANT TO GO AROUND VERY QUICKLY WHO'S 369 00:18:58,837 --> 00:19:01,974 GOING TO HOLD CONTROL OF THE HOUSE. DON'T NEED A LENGTHY 370 00:19:02,107 --> 00:19:05,811 DISCUSSION HERE. WHO'S GOING TO CONTROL THE HOUSE? JOHN? 371 00:19:05,944 --> 00:19:08,213 >> I BELIEVE THE REPUBLICANS WILL END UP STILL IN THE 372 00:19:08,347 --> 00:19:09,982 MAJORITY IN THE HOUSE >> CHRIS? 373 00:19:10,115 --> 00:19:12,885 >> I THINK BY VERY NARROW MARGINS, MOST LIKELY 374 00:19:13,018 --> 00:19:15,554 REPUBLICANS. BUT THAT DOESN'T MEAN THEY'LL HAVE THE 375 00:19:15,687 --> 00:19:18,223 SPEAKERSHIP. I THINK THERE'S ALL SORTS OF CRAZINESS HAPPENING 376 00:19:18,357 --> 00:19:19,324 BEHIND THE SCENES. 377 00:19:19,458 --> 00:19:20,759 >> ALL RIGHT. DENNIS? 378 00:19:20,893 --> 00:19:23,061 >> I'M GONNA STICK MY NECK OUT A LITTLE BIT AND PULL FOR THE 379 00:19:23,195 --> 00:19:26,431 DEMOCRATS ON THIS ONE, SLIGHTLY. 380 00:19:26,565 --> 00:19:27,933 >> ANNA BEAVON? 381 00:19:28,066 --> 00:19:29,902 >> I THINK IT'LL BE REPUBLICANS WITH 62 SEATS. 382 00:19:30,035 --> 00:19:32,171 ALL RIGHT LET'S MOVE OVER TO THE SENATE. 383 00:19:32,304 --> 00:19:34,973 WE WANT TO FOCUS ON THE UPPER CHAMBER OF THE LEGISLATURE. 384 00:19:35,107 --> 00:19:39,578 CURRENTLY SENATE HAS 29-21 SPLIT WITH REPUBLICANS IN CONTROL. 385 00:19:39,711 --> 00:19:43,148 DEMOCRATS HAVE TARGETED 8 DISTRICTS TO WIN A MAJORITY. 386 00:19:43,282 --> 00:19:47,319 THEY NEED 5 SEATS TO TAKE CONTROL OR 4 IF THE LIEUTENANT 387 00:19:47,452 --> 00:19:49,888 GOVERNOR IS A DEMOCRAT. LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT THAT, JOHN, 388 00:19:50,022 --> 00:19:52,891 BEGINNING IN THE SENATE DISTRICT 1, WHICH IS UP IN THE 389 00:19:53,025 --> 00:19:54,793 NORTHEASTERN PART OF THE STATE. 390 00:19:54,927 --> 00:19:58,964 BOB STEINBURG IS RUNNING FOR REELECTION AGAINST TESS JUDGE. 391 00:19:59,097 --> 00:20:02,301 I UNDERSTAND POLLS SHOW JUDGE MIGHT BE AHEAD. 392 00:20:02,434 --> 00:20:05,003 >> WELL, IT DEPENDS ON WHOSE POLLS. TESS JUDGE IS, I THINK, 393 00:20:05,137 --> 00:20:07,773 A PRETTY GOOD RECRUIT FOR THE DEMOCRATS UP FOR THIS THIS 394 00:20:07,906 --> 00:20:11,176 RACE, SHE'S BEEN INVOLVED IN CIVIC AFFAIRS IN THE NORTHEAST, 395 00:20:11,310 --> 00:20:14,313 QUITE A BIT. STEINBURG IS A FORMER HOUSE MEMBER TRYING TO 396 00:20:14,446 --> 00:20:16,848 HOLD THIS A SENATE SEAT. 397 00:20:16,982 --> 00:20:20,118 THIS IS ONE OF THE AREAS AS YOU MENTIONED EARLIER TOM, EVEN 398 00:20:20,252 --> 00:20:22,187 THOUGH IT IS QUOTE A RURAL AREA. IT'S A LITTLE BIT 399 00:20:22,321 --> 00:20:25,257 DIFFERENT TERMS OF DEMOGRAPHICS AND THE NUMBER OF NON NATIVE 400 00:20:25,390 --> 00:20:27,659 VOTERS. AND SO IT'S AN AREA, THE REPUBLICANS HAVE SOME 401 00:20:27,793 --> 00:20:30,696 CONCERN BUT STILL A GOOD CHANCE OF PULLING IT OUT. 402 00:20:30,829 --> 00:20:33,031 >> THERE ARE SOME WHO SAY NEW HANOVER COUNTY MIGHT BE THE 403 00:20:33,165 --> 00:20:36,401 BELLWETHER COUNTY IN NORTH CAROLINA. SO FAR AS WHO 404 00:20:36,535 --> 00:20:39,838 CONTROLS THE VOTE IN NORTH CAROLINA IN THE STATE, 405 00:20:39,972 --> 00:20:42,908 LET'S MOVE TO SENATE DISTRICT 9. HARPER PETERSON 406 00:20:43,041 --> 00:20:46,445 IS RUNNING AGAINST MIKE LEE. HARPER, THE INCUMBENT 407 00:20:46,578 --> 00:20:49,147 THERE. DENNIS, WHAT CAN YOU TELL US. 408 00:20:49,281 --> 00:20:51,750 >> WELL YOU SAID IT BEST, TOM. 409 00:20:51,883 --> 00:20:56,622 THIS IS A BELLWETHER RACE. WITH HARPER BEING THE INCUMBANT. 410 00:20:56,755 --> 00:21:00,092 YOU MIGHT HAVE REMEMBERED THAT THERE WAS A HOSPITAL ISSUE 411 00:21:00,225 --> 00:21:02,494 THERE, ABOUT TO SALE OF A HOSPITAL. PETERSON WAS IN THE 412 00:21:02,628 --> 00:21:06,198 MIDDLE OF THAT. SO I, YOU KNOW, I THINK THAT'S STILL AN 413 00:21:06,331 --> 00:21:08,734 EDGE TO HARPER PETERSON IN MY OPINION, GIVEN 414 00:21:08,867 --> 00:21:10,235 THAT DISTRICT'S DEMOGRAPHICS. 415 00:21:10,369 --> 00:21:12,804 >> ALL RIGHT CHRIS, LET'S MOVE OVER TO SENATE DISTRICT 11, 416 00:21:12,938 --> 00:21:15,374 JOHNSON NASH COUNTY WE'VE GOT LISA STONE BARNS 417 00:21:15,507 --> 00:21:17,843 MOVING OVER FROM THE HOUSE RUNNING AGAINST ALLEN WELLENS 418 00:21:17,976 --> 00:21:21,179 WHO WAS FORMALLY A SENATOR. 419 00:21:21,313 --> 00:21:23,782 THIS IS AN OPEN SEAT, HOWEVER. 420 00:21:23,915 --> 00:21:26,485 I UNDERSTAND IT'S FAIRLY CLOSE. 421 00:21:26,618 --> 00:21:29,488 >> WELL, IT IS CLOSE. BUT I THINK THE DEMOCRATS REALLY 422 00:21:29,621 --> 00:21:31,890 WERE HOPING FOR THIS AND THEY STILL MIGHT GET IT. REPUBLICANS 423 00:21:32,024 --> 00:21:34,593 WERE A LITTLE PANICED, ARE SPENDING A LITTLE MORE IN THIS 424 00:21:34,726 --> 00:21:39,498 RACE GIVEN ITS SIZE - AND ITS SLIGHTLY RURAL OR 425 00:21:39,631 --> 00:21:42,167 SUBURBAN NATURE. THIS TO ME, IF THE DEMOCRATS WIN THIS 426 00:21:42,301 --> 00:21:44,236 ONE, THEY WIN CONTROLM OF THE SENATE. THAT DOESN'T MEAN THEY 427 00:21:44,369 --> 00:21:46,371 WILL WIN IT WITHOUT IT, BUT THIS IS A VERY KEY RACE. 428 00:21:46,505 --> 00:21:49,207 >> ALL RIGHT, LET'S GET FRANKLIN WAYNE COUNTY ANNA BEAVON. 429 00:21:49,341 --> 00:21:52,344 WE'VE GOT LARRY NORMAN RUNNING AGAINST SARAH CRAWFORD. 430 00:21:52,477 --> 00:21:56,748 THIS IS THE OLD JOHNNY MACK ALEXANDER SEAT. IT'S IT SEEMS TO 431 00:21:56,882 --> 00:21:59,918 BE TENDING BLUE, WHAT DO YOU THINK? 432 00:22:00,052 --> 00:22:02,354 >> YEAH, THIS IS ONE OF THE RACES. ONE OF THE DISTRICTS 433 00:22:02,487 --> 00:22:05,424 THAT HAS BEEN LEANING MORE TOWARD DEMOCRAT THROUGH 434 00:22:05,557 --> 00:22:09,361 THE PROCESS OF REDISTRICTING AND SARAH CRAWFORD IS A VERY 435 00:22:09,494 --> 00:22:11,396 LIKELY CANDIDATE TO WIN THIS. 436 00:22:11,530 --> 00:22:16,735 AND HAS RUN AGAIN FROM HER RACE IN '14 WHERE SHE WAS THE 437 00:22:16,868 --> 00:22:19,705 MOST EXPENSIVE SENATE RACE IN THE STATE. 438 00:22:19,838 --> 00:22:23,442 >> ALL RIGHT OVER TO THE SENATE 19, JOHN. THIS IS CUMBERLAND 439 00:22:23,575 --> 00:22:26,578 COUNTY AGAIN, INTERESTING POLITICS DOWN THERE. WESLEY 440 00:22:26,712 --> 00:22:30,048 MEREDITH IS RUNNING AGAINST KIRK DeVIERE - ALWAYS 441 00:22:30,182 --> 00:22:33,552 MISPRONOUNCE THAT NAME - THE DEMOCRAT INCUMBENT, 442 00:22:33,685 --> 00:22:35,120 HOW'S IT LOOK? 443 00:22:35,253 --> 00:22:37,956 >> DeVIERE IS A FORMER MEMBER OF THE FAYETTEVILLE CITY COUNCIL 444 00:22:38,090 --> 00:22:39,958 HE'S DEFENDING HIS SEAT. THIS IS A REMATCH FROM 2 YEARS AGO. AND 445 00:22:40,092 --> 00:22:42,027 AS I SAID EARLIER, CUMBERLAND COUNTY, AND CHRIS DID TOO. 446 00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:46,231 CUMBERLAND COUNTY IS SORT OF MORE IMPORTANT THIS YEAR THAN 447 00:22:46,365 --> 00:22:49,167 ALMOST ANY OTHER COUNTIES AS FAR AS LEGISLATIVE CONTROL. THIS IS 448 00:22:49,301 --> 00:22:52,270 AN AREA WHERE THE REPUBLICANS HAVE HOPES THAT THEY CAN REGAIN 449 00:22:52,404 --> 00:22:53,705 A SEAT. 450 00:22:53,839 --> 00:22:57,843 >> INTERESTING. DISTRICT 24, ALAMANCE AND GUILFORD COUNTY. 451 00:22:57,976 --> 00:23:02,180 WE'VE GOT AMY GALEY AGAINST JD WOOTEN. CHRIS, I UNDERSTAND 452 00:23:02,314 --> 00:23:03,949 THIS RACE IS CLOSE. 453 00:23:04,082 --> 00:23:06,585 >> IT IS CLOSE. THIS IS ANOTHER ONE OF THOSE SORT OF 454 00:23:06,718 --> 00:23:08,954 TRADITIONALLY REPUBLICAN AREAS THAT'S BECOME MORE DEMOCRATIC. 455 00:23:09,087 --> 00:23:11,890 THE DEMOCRATS NEED THIS ONE, I THINK. THEY'RE GOING - THEY 456 00:23:12,023 --> 00:23:14,493 HAVE 2. I THINK THEY'RE COUNTING ON - A COUPLE MORE 457 00:23:14,626 --> 00:23:16,828 THEY THINK ARE CLOSE. AND THEN THIS ONE IS SORT OF THE NEXT 458 00:23:16,962 --> 00:23:19,531 TIER. IF IT'S A BIG DEMOCRATIC YEAR, IT'S NOT OUT OF THE 459 00:23:19,664 --> 00:23:21,833 REALM OF POSSIBILITY, BUT CLEARLY IT BEGINS WITH A 460 00:23:21,967 --> 00:23:23,268 SLIGHT REPUBLICAN EDGE I THINK. 461 00:23:23,402 --> 00:23:26,405 >> ALL RIGHT DENNIS. WE GO UP TO 31 NOW WHICH IS FORSYTH AND 462 00:23:26,538 --> 00:23:29,841 DAVIE COUNTY. JOYCE KRAWIEC IS RUNNING AGAINST TERRI LEGRAND. 463 00:23:29,975 --> 00:23:33,745 A LOT OF PEOPLE FEEL LIKE THIS COULD BE A BELLWETHER RACE 464 00:23:33,879 --> 00:23:36,615 IN THIS SENATE CONTEST. 465 00:23:36,748 --> 00:23:38,450 >> IT IS A BELLWETHER RACE. 466 00:23:38,583 --> 00:23:42,320 MY REPUBLICAN FRIENDS I TALK TO, DO FEEL LIKE KRAWIEC HAS 467 00:23:42,454 --> 00:23:45,223 AN UPHILL BATTLE ON THIS ONE TIME, EVEN THOUGH SHE'S THE 468 00:23:45,357 --> 00:23:48,593 INCUMBENT. THEY'RE TELLING ME THAT THEY THINK THEIR 469 00:23:48,727 --> 00:23:51,696 OPPONENT'S GOING WIN, THAT LEGRAND'S GOING TO BE THERE. 470 00:23:51,830 --> 00:23:54,466 >> OKAY, ANNA BEAVON, LET'S GO NOW TO MECKLENBURG COUNTY AGAIN 471 00:23:54,599 --> 00:23:56,968 INTERESTING RACES THERE WE'VE GOT SONIA NICHOLS RUNNING 472 00:23:57,102 --> 00:24:01,072 AGAINST JEFF JACKSON AND SHE'S GIVEN HIM A RUN FOR THE MONEY. 473 00:24:01,206 --> 00:24:03,508 >> YEAH, THIS IS ONE OF THE MOST INTERESTING RACES I THINK 474 00:24:03,642 --> 00:24:07,712 BECAUSE THIS PREVIOUS DISTRICT WITH JEFF JACKSON WAS A STRONG 475 00:24:07,846 --> 00:24:10,849 DEMOCRAT DISTRICT AND THROUGH REDISTRICTING HAS BECOME A MORE 476 00:24:10,982 --> 00:24:14,252 COMPETITIVE RACE. AND SONIA NICHOLS IS PROBABLY THE BEST 477 00:24:14,386 --> 00:24:17,456 CANDIDATE THEY COULD HAVE PUT UP AGAINST - REPUBLICANS COULD 478 00:24:17,589 --> 00:24:18,857 PUT UP AGAINST JEFF JACKSON. 479 00:24:18,990 --> 00:24:24,162 >> WEALTHY, VERY ACTIVE IN THE COMMUNITY. OVER TO 39 SENATE 480 00:24:24,296 --> 00:24:26,431 DISTRICT. JOSHUA NIDAY IS RUNNING AGAINST 481 00:24:26,565 --> 00:24:28,333 THE DEANDREA SALVADOR. 482 00:24:28,467 --> 00:24:30,569 THIS IS THE OLD DAN BISHOP SEAT. 483 00:24:30,702 --> 00:24:34,739 MY UNDERSTANDING IS IT'S LEANING D, DENNIS. 484 00:24:34,873 --> 00:24:36,575 >> THAT'S MY UNDERSTANDING. 485 00:24:36,708 --> 00:24:41,246 DON'T KNOW MUCH ABOUT SALVADOR BUT I KNOW THIS IS A VERY 486 00:24:41,379 --> 00:24:44,182 CONTESTED RACE. AND WE'LL SEE HOW IT COMES OUT. 487 00:24:44,316 --> 00:24:46,785 >> ALL RIGHT I WANT TO GO AROUND THE HORN AGAIN. 488 00:24:46,918 --> 00:24:49,454 THERE IS SPECULATION THAT IF ONE OF THE HOUSES IS GOING TO 489 00:24:49,588 --> 00:24:52,457 FLIP, IT'S GOING TO BE THE SENATE. TELL ME WHO'S GOING TO 490 00:24:52,591 --> 00:24:57,229 CONTROL THE SENATE AT THE END OF NOVEMBER 3RD. JOHN? 491 00:24:57,362 --> 00:24:59,998 >> I STILL THINK THE REPUBLICANS WILL END UP WITH A 492 00:25:00,131 --> 00:25:02,601 SLIGHT EDGE. THE DEMOCRATS ARE ALL ARE CERTAINLY GOING TO PICK 493 00:25:02,734 --> 00:25:05,170 UP 2 SEATS. WE'VE ALREADY MENTIONED BOTH OF THOSE SEATS. I 494 00:25:05,303 --> 00:25:06,538 THINK IT'S A SLIGHT EDGE. 495 00:25:06,671 --> 00:25:08,173 >> ALL RIGHT. CHRIS? 496 00:25:08,306 --> 00:25:12,511 >> I THINK IT'LL EITHER BE 26-24 DEMOCRATS OR MAYBE MOST LIKELY 497 00:25:12,644 --> 00:25:15,380 25-25 WITH THE LIEUTENANT GOVERNOR CASTING THAT 498 00:25:15,514 --> 00:25:16,281 DECIDING VOTE. 499 00:25:16,414 --> 00:25:18,416 >> COULD BE INTERESTING. DENNIS? 500 00:25:18,550 --> 00:25:21,353 >> I SAY 25-25 WITH THE LIEUTENANT GOVERNOR CASTING - 501 00:25:21,486 --> 00:25:22,854 >> WOW. ANNA BEAVON? 502 00:25:22,988 --> 00:25:25,357 >> I DEFINITELY THINK REPUBLICANS ARE GOING TO HOLD, 503 00:25:25,490 --> 00:25:26,791 THIS BUT IT'S GOING TO BE VERY SLIM MARGIN. 504 00:25:26,925 --> 00:25:28,927 >> THESE LEGISLATIVE RACES ARE IMPORTANT AND THEY'RE 505 00:25:29,060 --> 00:25:31,596 GOING TO BE INTERESTING AND I HOPE YOU FOLLOWED THEM. WELL 506 00:25:31,730 --> 00:25:33,632 YOU'VE HEARD OUR SPIN ON THE ISSUES OF THE DAY TO STAY 507 00:25:33,765 --> 00:25:36,535 INFORMED ALL DURING THE WEEK SIGN UP FOR OUR FREE WEEKLY 508 00:25:36,668 --> 00:25:39,638 EMAIL NEWSLETTER. GIVE YOUR FEEDBACK AND READ MY WEEKLY 509 00:25:39,771 --> 00:25:44,543 COLUMN. VISIT OUR WEBSITE NC SPIN .COM AND CATCH US ON 510 00:25:44,676 --> 00:25:47,846 NC SPIN ON FACEBOOK AND WE'RE GOING TO GIVE YOU THE 511 00:25:47,979 --> 00:25:51,016 FULL SKINNY AS WE COME BACK NEXT WEEK STAY INFORMED AND 512 00:25:51,149 --> 00:25:52,450 WATCH OUT FOR THE SPIN. 513 00:25:52,584 --> 00:25:56,054 >> YOUR LIFE IS MORE FLEXIBLE AND EFFICIENT THAN EVER. AND 514 00:25:56,187 --> 00:25:59,157 YOUR ENERGY IS TOO. SEE HOW NORTH CAROLINA'S ELECTRIC 515 00:25:59,291 --> 00:26:01,793 COOPERATIVES ARE BUILDING A BRIGHTER FUTURE FOR THE RURAL 516 00:26:01,927 --> 00:26:05,564 COMMUNITIES WE SERVE AT: NC ELECTRIC COOPERATIVES.COM 517 00:26:05,697 --> 00:26:09,334 /BRIGHTER >> THE BIG ISSUE IN 2020 IS 518 00:26:09,467 --> 00:26:11,903 HEALTH CARE, LET'S TALK BASICS. 519 00:26:12,037 --> 00:26:15,140 YOU ARE THE KEY TO YOUR OWN PERSONAL HEALTH, BUT THERE'S 520 00:26:15,273 --> 00:26:17,676 STRONG EVIDENCE THAT IF YOU HAVE A RELATIONSHIP WITH THE 521 00:26:17,809 --> 00:26:21,346 FAMILY PHYSICIAN, YOUR QUALITY OF LIFE WILL BE BETTER. YOU'LL 522 00:26:21,479 --> 00:26:25,517 LIKELY LIVE LONGER AND YOU'LL HAVE 33% LOWER HEALTH CARE 523 00:26:25,650 --> 00:26:30,188 COSTS. YOUR FAMILY DOCTOR KNOWS YOU, HAS YOUR MEDICAL HISTORY, 524 00:26:30,322 --> 00:26:34,092 AND CAN QUICKLY DIAGNOSE HEALTH PROBLEMS. 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