WEBVTT 00:05.400 --> 00:10.466 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% THAT COULD BEGIN LATER THIS 00:06.566 --> 00:12.666 align:start position:10% line:74% size:17.5% SUMMER. 00:07.933 --> 00:14.833 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% 60 YEARS AGO FORTUNE MAGAZINE 00:10.466 --> 00:15.666 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% PUBLISHED A BOOK TITLED THE 00:12.666 --> 00:17.633 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% FABULOUS FUTURE, AMERICA IN 00:14.833 --> 00:19.500 align:start position:10% line:74% size:12.5% 1980. 00:15.666 --> 00:21.133 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% THEIR PREDICTIONS INCLUDING FREE 00:17.633 --> 00:23.800 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% ENERGY, BOOMING DESERTS AND 00:19.500 --> 00:25.566 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% WORLD PEACE AND EVEN THOUGH MANY 00:21.133 --> 00:26.333 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% HAVE NOT COME TRUE, THEY WERE 00:23.800 --> 00:29.266 align:start position:10% line:74% size:65% STILL WRITTEN BY SOME GRAY 00:25.566 --> 00:31.366 align:start position:10% line:74% size:52.5% THINKERS OF THE TIME. 00:26.333 --> 00:33.866 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% IN THE NEW BOOK, THE FABULOUS 00:29.266 --> 00:35.633 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% FUTURE, AMERICA ON AND THE WORLD 00:31.366 --> 00:36.133 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% THIS 2040 BOLD PREDICTIONS ARE 00:33.866 --> 00:38.466 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% MADE ABOUT LIFE 25 YOURS FROM 00:35.633 --> 00:40.866 align:start position:10% line:74% size:10% NOW. 00:36.133 --> 00:43.566 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% HERE TO SHARE THEIR LATEST WORK 00:38.466 --> 00:44.966 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% ARE HUMANITIES PROFESSOR GARY 00:40.866 --> 00:45.366 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% SAUL MORSON AND NORTHWESTERN 00:43.566 --> 00:48.766 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% UNIVERSITY PRESIDENT MORTON 00:44.966 --> 00:50.666 align:start position:10% line:74% size:22.5% SCHAPIRO. 00:45.366 --> 00:53.933 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% AND THANK YOU FOR BEING HERE. 00:48.766 --> 01:01.533 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% YOU BROUGHT A COPY OF THE ON 00:50.666 --> 01:03.266 align:start position:10% line:74% size:35% MONEY 55 BOOK. 00:53.933 --> 01:04.066 align:start position:10% line:74% size:50% -- OF THE 1955 BOOK. 01:01.533 --> 01:06.166 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% AND AS WE LOOK AT THE COVER OF 01:03.266 --> 01:08.766 align:start position:10% line:74% size:22.5% THE BOOK. 01:04.066 --> 01:11.466 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% WHAT KIND OF BATTING AVERAGE DID 01:06.166 --> 01:12.800 align:start position:10% line:74% size:55% THE CONTRIBUTORS HAVE? 01:08.766 --> 01:15.100 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% >> IT COULD HAVE BEEN BETTER. 01:11.466 --> 01:17.800 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% THESE ARE SOME THE SMARTEST 01:12.800 --> 01:19.566 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% PEOPLE IN THE WORLD AT THE TIME. 01:15.100 --> 01:21.566 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% AND THEY KEPT GETTING IT WRONG. 01:17.800 --> 01:23.600 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% >> WHEN YOU SAY IT COULD HAVE 01:19.566 --> 01:24.533 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% BEEN BETTER, IT WAS BAD, IN 01:21.566 --> 01:26.066 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% TERMS OF SOME OF THE THINGS THEY 01:23.600 --> 01:28.933 align:start position:10% line:74% size:25% PREDICTED. 01:24.533 --> 01:30.800 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% GIVE US SOME EXAMPLES OF THE 01:26.066 --> 01:31.400 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% KINDS OF THINGS THEY PREDICT 01:28.933 --> 01:33.266 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% THAT WOULD COME TO BE IN 1 NINE 01:30.800 --> 01:33.833 align:start position:10% line:74% size:17.5% 8 HAVE. 01:31.400 --> 01:35.900 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% A LOT OF CONFIDENCE IN NUCLEAR 01:33.266 --> 01:38.800 align:start position:10% line:74% size:15% POWER. 01:33.833 --> 01:41.733 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% THEY WERE ABSOLUTELY CONVINCED, 01:35.900 --> 01:43.266 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% ONE OF THE AUTHORS SAID BEYOND 01:38.800 --> 01:44.366 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% DOUBT, THAT OUR REFRIGERATORS OR 01:41.733 --> 01:47.466 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% AUTOMOBILES WILL HAVE NUCLEAR 01:43.266 --> 01:50.300 align:start position:10% line:74% size:60% POWERED ENGINES IN THEM. 01:44.366 --> 01:51.400 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% THEY SAID WE WOULD DELIVER MAIL 01:47.466 --> 01:54.133 align:start position:10% line:74% size:62.5% THROUGH INTER-CONTINENTAL 01:50.300 --> 01:57.466 align:start position:10% line:74% size:22.5% MISSILES. 01:51.400 --> 02:00.700 align:start position:10% line:74% size:45% >> IN COMING MAIL. 01:54.133 --> 02:03.966 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% >> AND I THINK WHAT WAS MUST 01:57.466 --> 02:05.033 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% AMAZING ARGUABLY THE SMARTEST 02:00.700 --> 02:07.633 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% PEOPLE, THEY KNEW A LOT ABOUT 02:03.966 --> 02:09.666 align:start position:10% line:74% size:32.5% THEIR FIELDS. 02:05.033 --> 02:11.166 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% BUT THEY WROTE THIS IN 1955 AND 02:07.633 --> 02:12.366 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% IF YOU THINK ABOUT THE NEXT TEN 02:09.666 --> 02:14.166 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% OR FIVE TEENS YEARS AND THE 02:11.166 --> 02:15.700 align:start position:10% line:74% size:65% WOMEN'S MOVEMENT AND CIVIL 02:12.366 --> 02:16.533 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% RIGHTS, THIS ENTIRE BOOK, THEY 02:14.166 --> 02:18.400 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% NEVER MENTIONED THE WORD WOMAN 02:15.700 --> 02:21.766 align:start position:10% line:74% size:25% OR FEMALE. 02:16.533 --> 02:27.133 align:start position:10% line:74% size:45% THEY NEVER MENTION 02:18.400 --> 02:27.500 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% AFRICAN-AMERICAN, NEGRO BLACK. 02:21.766 --> 02:30.600 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% THEY MENTION MINORITIES IN ONE 02:27.133 --> 02:33.433 align:start position:10% line:74% size:22.5% SENTENCE. 02:27.500 --> 02:35.000 align:start position:10% line:74% size:37.5% AND THAT IS IT. 02:30.600 --> 02:36.266 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% PROFESSOR MORSON, THEY PROJECTED 02:33.433 --> 02:36.833 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% INDIVIDUALS WOULD HAVE THEIR OWN 02:35.000 --> 02:39.033 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% HELICOPTERS AND A WORLD POLICE 02:36.266 --> 02:41.366 align:start position:10% line:74% size:15% FORCE. 02:36.833 --> 02:42.766 align:start position:10% line:74% size:65% WHAT DID THEY NOT FORESEE? 02:39.033 --> 02:45.533 align:start position:10% line:74% size:65% >> THEY DIDN'T FORESEE THE 02:41.366 --> 02:50.466 align:start position:10% line:74% size:57.5% INFORMATION REVOLUTION. 02:42.766 --> 02:55.966 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% AND THAT IS QUITE REMARKABLE 02:45.533 --> 02:58.200 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% BECAUSE ONE OF THE ARC TICKETS-- 02:50.466 --> 03:01.300 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% ARCHITECTS WAS THE INVENTOR THE 02:55.966 --> 03:04.266 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% AN IMPORTANT NUCLEAR SIZS SIFT 02:58.200 --> 03:05.900 align:start position:10% line:74% size:55% AND IDENTIFIED FOR HIS 03:01.300 --> 03:08.100 align:start position:10% line:74% size:62.5% CONTRIBUTIONS TO PHYSICS. 03:04.266 --> 03:10.266 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% ATOMIC POWER WAS WHAT PEOPLE 03:05.900 --> 03:12.366 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% WERE REALLY CONCERNED WITH. 03:08.100 --> 03:13.800 align:start position:10% line:74% size:50% THAT WAS THE FUTURE. 03:10.266 --> 03:14.166 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% EXPLOITING ENERGY SO THAT FOSSIL 03:12.366 --> 03:15.600 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% FUELS WOULDN'T BE NEEDED ANY 03:13.800 --> 03:17.133 align:start position:10% line:74% size:12.5% MORE. 03:14.166 --> 03:19.933 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% A PREDICTION THAT ENERGY WOULD 03:15.600 --> 03:24.633 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% BE FREE, THERE WOULD BE SO MUCH 03:17.133 --> 03:26.433 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% OF IT YOU WOULDN'T METER IT. 03:19.933 --> 03:28.400 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% THEY FAILED PO SEE THE FALL OF 03:24.633 --> 03:31.233 align:start position:10% line:74% size:42.5% THE SOVIET UNION. 03:26.433 --> 03:32.866 align:start position:10% line:74% size:65% AND WHAT IS HAPPENING WITH 03:28.400 --> 03:36.033 align:start position:10% line:74% size:15% ISLAM. 03:31.233 --> 03:37.800 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% AND POINTS FOR AWARENESS, BOTH 03:32.866 --> 03:39.966 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% OF YOU FLAT-OUT ACKNOWLEDGE YOUR 03:36.033 --> 03:42.800 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% GUESSES, THE GUESSES BY THE 03:37.800 --> 03:46.000 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% CONTRIBUTORS COULD VERY WELL 03:39.966 --> 03:48.400 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% LOOK AS ABSURD IN THE FUTURE. 03:42.800 --> 03:49.833 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% IT IS HUMBLEING TO WRITE A BOOK, 03:46.000 --> 03:52.966 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% WE HAD THIS IDEA, TO TEACH THIS 03:48.400 --> 03:54.300 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% COURSE TOGETHER, AND STUDENTS 03:49.833 --> 03:56.100 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% LIKE IT, AND THEY LIKE TO LAUGH 03:52.966 --> 03:57.100 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% AND OCCASIONALLY SOMETHING IS 03:54.300 --> 03:59.100 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% GOOD AND THEY GET EXCITED ABOUT 03:56.100 --> 04:03.600 align:start position:10% line:74% size:7.5% IT. 03:57.100 --> 04:04.866 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% THEY SAID YOU SHOULD UPDATE THIS 03:59.100 --> 04:07.866 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% AND GET REALLY GREAT PEOPLE, 04:03.600 --> 04:09.866 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% ARIANNA HEAVYING TENNESSEE TO 04:04.866 --> 04:13.233 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% STALK ABOUT THE MEDIA AND FUTURE 04:07.866 --> 04:16.333 align:start position:10% line:74% size:52.5% STATES AND SO WE DID. 04:09.866 --> 04:20.766 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% WE WERE VERY HUMBLED AS YOU SAW. 04:13.233 --> 04:24.800 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% HISTORY SUGGESTS... THIS ISED A 04:16.333 --> 04:26.866 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% LAY STEVENSON AND SKON MEANEY, 04:20.766 --> 04:28.133 align:start position:10% line:74% size:57.5% NOT SECOND RIGHT MINDS. 04:24.800 --> 04:29.300 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% >> IT IS HARD TO BELIEVE THAT WE 04:26.866 --> 04:30.866 align:start position:10% line:74% size:50% COULD DO ANY BETTER. 04:28.133 --> 04:34.800 align:start position:10% line:74% size:52.5% LET'S GET SOME OF THE 04:29.300 --> 04:36.066 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% PREDICTIONS THAT ARE BEING MADE 04:30.866 --> 04:37.000 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% BY YOUR CONTRACT CONTRIBUTE 04:34.800 --> 04:38.800 align:start position:10% line:74% size:12.5% FORS. 04:36.066 --> 04:41.566 align:start position:10% line:74% size:40% DRIVERLESS CARS. 04:37.000 --> 04:44.066 align:start position:10% line:74% size:57.5% THERE SEEMS TO BE EQUAL 04:38.800 --> 04:44.466 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% CONFIDENCE THAT CARS AND TRUCKS, 04:41.566 --> 04:45.966 align:start position:10% line:74% size:65% A LARGE COMPONENT WITH THE 04:44.066 --> 04:46.800 align:start position:10% line:74% size:27.5% DRIVERLESS. 04:44.466 --> 04:50.300 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% WHAT IS THE ARGUMENT BEHIND 04:45.966 --> 04:52.466 align:start position:10% line:74% size:12.5% THAT? 04:46.800 --> 04:54.466 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% >> THERE IS A CHAPTER AHEAD OF 04:50.300 --> 04:55.100 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% IBM RESEARCH ON TECHNOLOGY AND 04:52.466 --> 04:56.666 align:start position:10% line:74% size:62.5% REALLY INTERESTING ONE ON 04:54.466 --> 04:58.233 align:start position:10% line:74% size:20% SCIENCE. 04:55.100 --> 04:59.733 align:start position:10% line:74% size:65% TECHNOLOGY THAT ONE THINKS 04:56.666 --> 05:01.966 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% DRIVERLESS CARS AND A WHOLE 04:58.233 --> 05:04.033 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% BUNCH OF DIFFERENT INNOVATIONS 04:59.733 --> 05:07.200 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% WILL BE IN PLACE THIS 25 YEARS 05:01.966 --> 05:08.566 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% AND IT IS PROBABLY REASONABLE TO 05:04.033 --> 05:10.833 align:start position:10% line:74% size:32.5% BELIEVE THAT. 05:07.200 --> 05:14.300 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% >> THEY ARE ALREADY DOING IT. 05:08.566 --> 05:15.700 align:start position:10% line:74% size:62.5% THE REE PREDICTION IS FOR 05:10.833 --> 05:17.400 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% SOMETHING THAT ISN'T THERE. 05:14.300 --> 05:20.233 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% >> LET'S TALK ABOUT SOMETHING 05:15.700 --> 05:21.333 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% ELSE THAT IS NEAR AND DEAR TO 05:17.400 --> 05:24.433 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% MOST PEOPLE'S HEARTS AND THAT IS 05:20.233 --> 05:26.766 align:start position:10% line:74% size:40% LIFE EXPECTANCY. 05:21.333 --> 05:29.333 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% THE PREDICTION IS SURPRISING. 05:24.433 --> 05:31.466 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% BECAUSE THAT IS THAT PEOPLE WILL 05:26.766 --> 05:33.200 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% NOT LIVE SIGNIFICANTLY LONGER. 05:29.333 --> 05:33.666 align:start position:10% line:74% size:62.5% WHY IS THAT THE CASE WITH 05:31.466 --> 05:35.733 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% ASSIGNS AND IMMEDIATE AND AND 05:33.200 --> 05:38.066 align:start position:10% line:74% size:15% DRUGS? 05:33.666 --> 05:39.900 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% >> EVEN SCARIER, IF THEY DO THE 05:35.733 --> 05:40.700 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% QUALITY OF LIFE, THE YEARS OF 05:38.066 --> 05:43.333 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% GOOD LIVING WILL NOT BE MUCH 05:39.900 --> 05:44.666 align:start position:10% line:74% size:17.5% LONGER. 05:40.700 --> 05:47.466 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% SO THE INCREASED LIFE WILL BE 05:43.333 --> 05:49.700 align:start position:10% line:74% size:37.5% INCREASED LIFE. 05:44.666 --> 05:50.933 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% THAT IS, YOU WILL BE IN NURSING 05:47.466 --> 05:53.333 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% HOMES OR BE ABLE TO FUNCTION, 05:49.700 --> 05:53.666 align:start position:10% line:74% size:47.5% THAT IS DEPRESSING. 05:50.933 --> 05:55.533 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% IF IT'S LONGER IT WON'T BE GOOD 05:53.333 --> 05:58.200 align:start position:10% line:74% size:17.5% LONGER. 05:53.666 --> 06:00.466 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% AND YOU ACKNOWLEDGE THAT MANY OF 05:55.533 --> 06:02.766 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% THE PREDICTIONS MADE IN THIS 05:58.200 --> 06:04.066 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% ADDITION ARE NOT AS OPTIMISTIC 06:00.466 --> 06:05.866 align:start position:10% line:74% size:50% AS THE ONES IN 1955. 06:02.766 --> 06:07.033 align:start position:10% line:74% size:20% WHY NOT? 06:04.066 --> 06:08.833 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% >> THEY CALL IT THE FABULOUS 06:05.866 --> 06:11.033 align:start position:10% line:74% size:17.5% FUTURE. 06:07.033 --> 06:13.933 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% THEY DIDN'T HAVE A QUESTION 06:08.833 --> 06:14.966 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% MARK, WE ADDED A QUESTION MARK. 06:11.033 --> 06:16.700 align:start position:10% line:74% size:65% THESE WERE VERY OPTIMISTIC 06:13.933 --> 06:17.633 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% PEOPLE, THEY TALKED ABOUT THE 06:14.966 --> 06:19.933 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% FUTURE OF HEALTH CARE AND THE 06:16.700 --> 06:21.766 align:start position:10% line:74% size:42.5% POLITICAL FUTURE. 06:17.633 --> 06:23.500 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% YOU KNOW, FUTURE OF HUMAN RIGHT 06:19.933 --> 06:25.566 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% AND ECONOMIC GROWTH, AND SCIENCE 06:21.766 --> 06:26.466 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% AND TECHNOLOGY AND EVERYONE SAID 06:23.500 --> 06:30.100 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% BOY THIS IS REALLY A FABULOUS 06:25.566 --> 06:33.766 align:start position:10% line:74% size:17.5% FUTURE. 06:26.466 --> 06:35.233 align:start position:10% line:74% size:65% AND ONE OF THE CHAPTERS BY 06:30.100 --> 06:36.900 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% EILEEN CRIMMONS IS PROBABLY THE 06:33.766 --> 06:38.866 align:start position:10% line:74% size:40% MOST DEPRESSING. 06:35.233 --> 06:41.100 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% THIS IDEA THAT WE MIGHT LIVE A 06:36.900 --> 06:43.200 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% LITTLE LONGER BUT OUR NUMBER OF 06:38.866 --> 06:43.866 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% HEALTHY YEARS IS GOING TO STAY 06:41.100 --> 06:45.000 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% ABOUT PROBABLY NOT GOING TO 06:43.200 --> 06:48.400 align:start position:10% line:74% size:40% INCREASE AT ALL. 06:43.866 --> 06:49.966 align:start position:10% line:74% size:42.5% THAT IS VERY SAD. 06:45.000 --> 06:51.333 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% A TERM IN THE BOOK THE PROFESSOR 06:48.400 --> 06:52.533 align:start position:10% line:74% size:47.5% CALLED BLACK SWANS. 06:49.966 --> 06:54.633 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% WHAT IS A BLACK SWAN IN THE 06:51.333 --> 06:56.400 align:start position:10% line:74% size:52.5% CONTEXT OF THIS BOOK? 06:52.533 --> 07:01.733 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% >> THAT MEANS AN EVENT THAT 06:54.633 --> 07:05.066 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% ISN'T LIKELY TO HAPPEN BUT IF IT 06:56.400 --> 07:06.866 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% DOES WILL CHANGE EVERYTHING. 07:01.733 --> 07:09.166 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% THESE ARE THE ONES THAT YOU WANT 07:05.066 --> 07:12.933 align:start position:10% line:74% size:62.5% TO PREDICT AND YOU CAN'T. 07:06.866 --> 07:15.033 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% >> ONE THAT IS PARTICULARLY 07:09.166 --> 07:16.133 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% TERRIFYING, IT SAYS THAT IT 07:12.933 --> 07:17.900 align:start position:10% line:74% size:65% POSES THE POSSIBILITY OF A 07:15.033 --> 07:20.066 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% SIMULTANEOUS DEATH NATION OF 07:16.133 --> 07:21.700 align:start position:10% line:74% size:65% NUCLEAR EXPLOSIONS IN FOUR 07:17.900 --> 07:23.266 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% AMERICAN CITIES, AND NEW YORK, 07:20.066 --> 07:24.366 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% WASHINGTON, CHICAGO AND HOUSTON. 07:21.700 --> 07:30.500 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% ELABORATE ON THAT AND WHAT THE 07:23.266 --> 07:32.066 align:start position:10% line:74% size:45% BASIS OF THAT WAS? 07:24.366 --> 07:33.633 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% >> THE IDEA WAS THAT THAT WOULD 07:30.500 --> 07:34.533 align:start position:10% line:74% size:57.5% BE THE WAY A UP FROM OF 07:32.066 --> 07:36.533 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% TERRORISTS COULD MOST DEMORALIZE 07:33.633 --> 07:38.600 align:start position:10% line:74% size:37.5% THE POPULATION. 07:34.533 --> 07:41.166 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% NOT WITH JUST ONE ATTACK THAT 07:36.533 --> 07:44.033 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% PEOPLE COULD RESPOND TO BUT THE 07:38.600 --> 07:45.033 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% SENSE THERE WOULD BE SEVERAL ALL 07:41.166 --> 07:48.033 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% AT ONCE AND MAKE PEOPLE FEEL 07:44.033 --> 07:49.833 align:start position:10% line:74% size:22.5% HELPLESS. 07:45.033 --> 07:51.866 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% AND SO, SINCE NUCLEAR WEAPONS, 07:48.033 --> 07:53.866 align:start position:10% line:74% size:60% IT MIGHT BE POSSIBLE FOR 07:49.833 --> 07:54.900 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% TERRORIST TO GET AHOLD OF THEM 07:51.866 --> 07:56.433 align:start position:10% line:74% size:65% AND DELIVER THEM WITHOUT A 07:53.866 --> 07:57.033 align:start position:10% line:74% size:37.5% MISSILE ATTACK. 07:54.900 --> 07:59.700 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% WHAT WOULD YOU DO IF COULD YOU 07:56.433 --> 08:03.166 align:start position:10% line:74% size:20% DO THAT? 07:57.033 --> 08:04.233 align:start position:10% line:74% size:65% YOU MIGHT DO THIS, PUTTING 07:59.700 --> 08:05.400 align:start position:10% line:74% size:60% HIMSELF IN THE MIND OF A 08:03.166 --> 08:07.366 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% TERRORIST AND WHAT THEY WOULD 08:04.233 --> 08:09.533 align:start position:10% line:74% size:27.5% WANT TO DO. 08:05.400 --> 08:13.066 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% >> MOVING TO SOMETHING THAT 08:07.366 --> 08:16.133 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% RELATE MORE TO INDIVIDUALS, 08:09.533 --> 08:19.300 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% MORTON SCHAPIRO, ONE CONTRIBUTOR 08:13.066 --> 08:20.933 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% SAYS HE PREDICTS, I BELIEVE A 08:16.133 --> 08:22.266 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% HE, BRAIN SCANS THAT WILL IN 08:19.300 --> 08:22.633 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% ESSENCE BE ABLE TO READ YOUR 08:20.933 --> 08:27.800 align:start position:10% line:74% size:65% MIND AND KNOW WHAT YOU ARE 08:22.266 --> 08:29.200 align:start position:10% line:74% size:22.5% THINKING? 08:22.633 --> 08:32.300 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% >> THAT IS MARK RATNER, AND A 08:27.800 --> 08:33.666 align:start position:10% line:74% size:45% BRILLIANT CHEMIST. 08:29.200 --> 08:35.033 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% HIS ESSAY WAS REALLY PRETTY MUCH 08:32.300 --> 08:38.233 align:start position:10% line:74% size:25% OUT THERE. 08:33.666 --> 08:39.333 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% THE ON THE ONE, HE WAS CONFIDENT 08:35.033 --> 08:43.833 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% WE WILL DISCOVER WITHIN LIFE ON 08:38.233 --> 08:46.133 align:start position:10% line:74% size:35% OTHER PLANETS. 08:39.333 --> 08:47.166 align:start position:10% line:74% size:65% SO I'M AN ECONOMIST, SO AS 08:43.833 --> 08:49.066 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% RUSSIAN LITERATURE PROFESSOR, WE 08:46.133 --> 08:51.433 align:start position:10% line:74% size:42.5% ARE READING THIS. 08:47.166 --> 08:53.633 align:start position:10% line:74% size:60% A WORLD CLASS SCIENCIST. 08:49.066 --> 08:54.833 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% THAT WOULD BE A GAME CHANGER. 08:51.433 --> 08:55.466 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% WHAT DO YOUR CONTRIBUTORS SAY 08:53.633 --> 08:57.400 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% ABOUT AMERICA'S PLACE IN THE 08:54.833 --> 08:59.766 align:start position:10% line:74% size:15% WORLD. 08:55.466 --> 09:00.266 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% THIS IS ONE OF THE REASONS I 08:57.400 --> 09:03.666 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% THINK THE BOOK IS MUCH LESS 08:59.766 --> 09:06.066 align:start position:10% line:74% size:27.5% OPTIMISTIC. 09:00.266 --> 09:10.600 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% YOU THINK OF 1955 THE DOMINANT 09:03.666 --> 09:12.166 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% ROLE THE U.S. HAD AND IT LOOKS 09:06.066 --> 09:20.766 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% LIKE WHAT WE WANTED TO HAVE 09:10.600 --> 09:22.000 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% HAPPEN WE COULD MAKE HAPPEN. 09:12.166 --> 09:23.600 align:start position:10% line:74% size:65% AND SINCE THAT IS NOT, OUR 09:20.766 --> 09:25.766 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% VALUES, WE ARE LESS AND LESS 09:22.000 --> 09:28.266 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% ABLE TO PROJECT OUR VALUES. 09:23.600 --> 09:29.733 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% ABOUT THE WORK IN THE AREA OF 09:25.766 --> 09:32.133 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% EDUCATION AND YOU WROTE THE 09:28.266 --> 09:33.933 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% CONTRIBUTION ON PREDICTING WHAT 09:29.733 --> 09:34.600 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% WILL HAPPEN IN THE WORLD OF 09:32.133 --> 09:35.933 align:start position:10% line:74% size:25% EDUCATION. 09:33.933 --> 09:37.366 align:start position:10% line:74% size:20% SUCH AS? 09:34.600 --> 09:39.600 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% I THINK THE KEY THING IS WHAT 09:35.933 --> 09:41.666 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% WILL HAPPEN TO THE RIGHT OF 09:37.366 --> 09:43.500 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% RETURN TO A COLLEGE DEGREE. 09:39.600 --> 09:47.033 align:start position:10% line:74% size:65% A BAP ALREADIES AND WHEN I 09:41.666 --> 09:49.366 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% GRADUATED IN THE MID70s IT TOOK 09:43.500 --> 09:52.700 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% 22 TO EARN ENOUGH MONEY TO PAY 09:47.033 --> 09:53.066 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% TUITION AND FEES, ROOM AND BOARD 09:49.366 --> 09:55.466 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% AND MONEY THAT YOU GAVE AWAY IN 09:52.700 --> 09:57.166 align:start position:10% line:74% size:20% COLLEGE. 09:53.066 --> 09:59.100 align:start position:10% line:74% size:60% NOW IT TAKES NINE YEARS. 09:55.466 --> 10:01.333 align:start position:10% line:74% size:57.5% WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO THE 09:57.166 --> 10:04.500 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% OFFSHORING OF JOBS THAT DON'T 09:59.100 --> 10:05.466 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% REQUIRE COLLEGE DEGREES AND I 10:01.333 --> 10:07.333 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% THINK I ALONG WITH MANY ARE 10:04.500 --> 10:08.133 align:start position:10% line:74% size:55% OPTIMISTIC ABOUT THAT. 10:05.466 --> 10:09.966 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% WE DO WORRY ABOUT WHAT WILL BE 10:07.333 --> 10:11.866 align:start position:10% line:74% size:17.5% TAUGHT. 10:08.133 --> 10:12.766 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% MAYBE SAUL WILL SAY SOMETHING 10:09.966 --> 10:15.233 align:start position:10% line:74% size:57.5% ABOUT THE FUTURE OF THE 10:11.866 --> 10:18.633 align:start position:10% line:74% size:27.5% HUMANITIES. 10:12.766 --> 10:20.666 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% SUCH AN EMPHASIS ON STEM, ANYONE 10:15.233 --> 10:23.500 align:start position:10% line:74% size:65% WHO IS AN ENGLISH MAJOR OR 10:18.633 --> 10:25.966 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% HISTORY, THAT PERSON IS DOING 10:20.666 --> 10:27.333 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% SOMETHING BY FOOLING THAT MAJOR. 10:23.500 --> 10:29.233 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% >> YOU HAVE TO ASK WHAT THE 10:25.966 --> 10:31.666 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% HUMANITIES ARE GOOD FOR AND ONE 10:27.333 --> 10:33.266 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% OF THE THINGS THEY ARE GOOD FOR 10:29.233 --> 10:34.900 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% IF PROPERLY TAUGHT IS TO PUT, 10:31.666 --> 10:36.133 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% THEY TEACH YOU TO PUT YOURSELF 10:33.266 --> 10:38.533 align:start position:10% line:74% size:65% IN THE POSITION OF SOMEONE 10:34.900 --> 10:41.600 align:start position:10% line:74% size:40% UNLIKE YOURSELF. 10:36.133 --> 10:45.566 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% YOU READ A GREAT NOVEL THAT 10:38.533 --> 10:45.966 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% HAYES YOU DO, YOU WITH A PERSON 10:41.600 --> 10:49.166 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% OF THE OPPOSITE SEX, A DIFFERENT 10:45.566 --> 10:51.200 align:start position:10% line:74% size:30% NATIONALITY. 10:45.966 --> 10:52.566 align:start position:10% line:74% size:57.5% YOU DO IT PAGE BY PAGE. 10:49.166 --> 10:55.266 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% THAT ABILITY TO EMFA THIGHS WITH 10:51.200 --> 10:58.566 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% DIFFERENT POINTS OF VIEW, THAT 10:52.566 --> 11:01.766 align:start position:10% line:74% size:60% IS SORELY LACKING IN OUR 10:55.266 --> 11:03.533 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% CULTURE, AND YOU WILL NOT BE 10:58.566 --> 11:06.100 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% ABLE TO OVERCOME THAT, TO REALLY 11:01.766 --> 11:08.666 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% UNDERSTAND THAT PEOPLE SEE THE 11:03.533 --> 11:10.066 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% WORD DIFFERENTLY, BY STOP AND GO 11:06.100 --> 11:11.266 align:start position:10% line:74% size:35% STEM SUBJECTS. 11:08.666 --> 11:12.833 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% PRESIDENT MORTON SCHAPIRO WHO DO 11:10.066 --> 11:14.666 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% YOU WANT PEOPLE TO TAKE AWAY 11:11.266 --> 11:16.433 align:start position:10% line:74% size:35% FROM THE BOOK? 11:12.833 --> 11:19.233 align:start position:10% line:74% size:67.5% >> THAT IT'S REALLY HARD TO 11:14.666 --> 11:20.566 align:start position:10% line:74% size:47.5% PREDICT THE FUTURE. 11:16.433 --> 11:21.833 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% THE PRESIDENT OF HARVARD IN 1955 11:19.233 --> 11:24.533 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% SAID HIS BIGGEST WORRY ABOUT 11:20.566 --> 11:28.366 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% EDUCATION WAS ALL THAT WE WOULD 11:21.833 --> 11:28.933 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% DO IS TEACH SCIENCE AND NOT THE 11:24.533 --> 11:33.400 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% INTELLECTUAL CORE OF THE THAT 11:28.366 --> 11:36.100 align:start position:10% line:74% size:22.5% MANITIES. 11:28.933 --> 11:38.433 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% EARL WARREN SAID HIS BIG WORRY 11:33.400 --> 11:41.066 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% WAS TO KEEP US SAFE FROM THE 11:36.100 --> 11:43.233 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% RUSSIANS, THE THREAT OF NUCLEAR 11:38.433 --> 11:46.500 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% POWER, AND SPUTNIK AND CUBAN 11:41.066 --> 11:48.500 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% MISSILE CRISIS, THAT WE WOULD BE 11:43.233 --> 11:49.900 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% WILLING TO GUT THE BILL OF RIGHT 11:46.500 --> 11:51.500 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% AND THAT IS WHAT WE ARE DOING 11:48.500 --> 11:54.100 align:start position:10% line:74% size:35% NOW, SOME SAY. 11:49.900 --> 11:55.933 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% WHEN YOU PREDICT THE FUTURE, IT 11:51.500 --> 11:58.000 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% IS REALLY HUMBLING AND ONE THING 11:54.100 --> 12:00.700 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% WE SAID AT THE END THIS BECOME 11:55.933 --> 12:02.233 align:start position:10% line:74% size:80% TONE TEACH YOU ABOUT HOW YOU GOT 11:58.000 --> 12:03.633 align:start position:10% line:74% size:72.5% TO THE PRESENT IT TEACHES YOU 12:00.700 --> 12:05.266 align:start position:10% line:74% size:77.5% ABOUT WHAT PEOPLE WERE THINKING 12:02.233 --> 12:06.200 align:start position:10% line:74% size:42.5% ABOUT IN THE 50s. 12:03.633 --> 12:08.000 align:start position:10% line:74% size:75% WHAT WERE THEIR GREATEST HOPES 12:05.266 --> 12:12.033 align:start position:10% line:74% size:25% AND FEARS. 12:06.200 --> 12:15.933 align:start position:10% line:74% size:70% AND IF YOU READ THIS BOOK, I