1 00:00:02,402 --> 00:00:04,202 . 2 00:00:04,205 --> 00:00:04,769 >>> THE 2018 ELECTION CYCLE 3 00:00:04,772 --> 00:00:06,037 HEATING UP. 4 00:00:06,040 --> 00:00:07,238 >> THIS GOING TO BE A HUGE 5 00:00:07,241 --> 00:00:08,573 POLITICAL RACE, MILLIONS AND 6 00:00:08,576 --> 00:00:09,173 MILLIONS OF OUTSIDE DOLLARS 7 00:00:09,176 --> 00:00:11,542 BEING SPENT. 8 00:00:11,545 --> 00:00:14,112 >> AN OPEN SENATE SEAT CREATES A 9 00:00:14,115 --> 00:00:15,780 DOMINO EFFECT ON OTHER RACES. 10 00:00:15,783 --> 00:00:17,215 >> YOU'LL HAVE SO MANY OF THEM 11 00:00:17,218 --> 00:00:17,648 VACANTING THEIR SEATS 12 00:00:17,651 --> 00:00:19,183 POTENTIALLY. 13 00:00:19,186 --> 00:00:21,953 >> A STATE REPRESENTATIVE FACING 14 00:00:21,956 --> 00:00:23,321 SERIOUS ALLEGATIONS. 15 00:00:34,267 --> 00:00:37,335 >> HELLO, THANK YOU FOR JOINING 16 00:00:37,338 --> 00:00:39,637 US. 17 00:00:39,640 --> 00:00:40,738 ARIZONA'S OPEN SENATE SEAT 18 00:00:40,741 --> 00:00:42,874 GENERATING EXCITEMENT AND 19 00:00:42,877 --> 00:00:44,208 OPENING CONVERSATIONS ABOUT THE 20 00:00:44,211 --> 00:00:45,610 FUTURE OF ARIZONA'S POLITICAL 21 00:00:45,613 --> 00:00:46,444 LANDSCAPE, A COMPREHENSIVE 22 00:00:46,447 --> 00:00:49,147 ANALYSIS FROM POLITICAL 23 00:00:49,150 --> 00:00:51,883 STRATEGIST IN PHOENIX, DREW SEX 24 00:00:51,886 --> 00:00:53,051 TON SERVED AS A PUBLIC AFFAIRS 25 00:00:53,054 --> 00:00:54,819 AND COMMUNICATIONS SPECIALIST 26 00:00:54,822 --> 00:01:01,025 AND NOW REPRESENTS HIGH GROUND 27 00:01:01,028 --> 00:01:04,996 PUBLIC AFFAIRS AND JASON BARASA 28 00:01:04,999 --> 00:01:08,199 FOR THE PARTY, BOTH STRATEGISTS 29 00:01:08,202 --> 00:01:09,600 DEGREE ARIZONA IS IN A UNIQUE 30 00:01:09,603 --> 00:01:10,501 SPOT, 12 MEN, MAJORITY 31 00:01:10,504 --> 00:01:19,544 REPUBLICAN REPRESENTED ARIZONA 32 00:01:19,547 --> 00:01:21,813 IN THE U.S. SENATE AND MARTHA 33 00:01:21,816 --> 00:01:22,113 McSALLY SAID SHE'LL BE IN THE 34 00:01:22,116 --> 00:01:23,781 RACE. 35 00:01:23,784 --> 00:01:27,151 WE BEGIN WITH DREW SEXTON. 36 00:01:27,154 --> 00:01:28,352 >> ANY CANDIDATE THAT WINS THE 37 00:01:28,355 --> 00:01:30,221 NOMINATION FOR THE SENATE SEAT 38 00:01:30,224 --> 00:01:32,090 AS A REPUBLICAN THEY'LL HAVE A 39 00:01:32,093 --> 00:01:33,057 BIG ADVANTAGE BUT OBVIOUSLY 40 00:01:33,060 --> 00:01:34,692 DEPENDING ON HOW THINGS ARE 41 00:01:34,695 --> 00:01:36,094 GOING ON A NATIONAL LEVEL. 42 00:01:36,097 --> 00:01:38,896 PRESIDENT TRUMP ALREADY HAD AN 43 00:01:38,899 --> 00:01:40,765 EFFECT IN TURNOUTS IN PLACES 44 00:01:40,768 --> 00:01:41,732 LIKE VIRGINIA AND NEW JERSEY. 45 00:01:41,735 --> 00:01:44,368 REPUBLICANS WILL NEED TO MAKE 46 00:01:44,371 --> 00:01:45,536 SURE THEY NOMINATE A SOLID 47 00:01:45,539 --> 00:01:47,138 CANDIDATE NOT NECESSARILY ON THE 48 00:01:47,141 --> 00:01:48,072 FRINGE OF WHAT WE WOULD SAY THE 49 00:01:48,075 --> 00:01:49,607 REPUBLICAN PARTY IS. 50 00:01:49,610 --> 00:01:50,875 THEY NEED TO HAVE A CREDIBLE 51 00:01:50,878 --> 00:01:52,777 CANDIDATE THAT CAN BUILD A 52 00:01:52,780 --> 00:01:53,177 WINNING GENERAL ELECTION 53 00:01:53,180 --> 00:01:55,246 COALITION. 54 00:01:55,249 --> 00:01:55,947 >> JASON, DO DEMOCRATS SEE THIS 55 00:01:55,950 --> 00:01:58,149 AS THE PERFECT OPPORTUNITY? 56 00:01:58,152 --> 00:02:00,985 >> I THINK THEY DO. 57 00:02:00,988 --> 00:02:02,987 YOU'RE DEALING WITH A FRACTURED 58 00:02:02,990 --> 00:02:05,156 REPUBLICAN PARTY AND STARTING TO 59 00:02:05,159 --> 00:02:06,524 TRICKLE ITS WAY DOWN, IT'S GOING 60 00:02:06,527 --> 00:02:07,992 TO PRODUCE VERY INTERESTING 61 00:02:07,995 --> 00:02:09,460 RESULTS AND COULD BE THE 62 00:02:09,463 --> 00:02:10,094 OPPORTUNITY THE DEMOCRATS NEED 63 00:02:10,097 --> 00:02:12,563 IN THIS PARTICULAR RACE. 64 00:02:12,566 --> 00:02:14,565 >> FRACTURE, THAT SOUNDS LIKE A 65 00:02:14,568 --> 00:02:15,233 TOUGH WORD TO USE BUT MIGHT BE 66 00:02:15,236 --> 00:02:18,369 PRETTY ACCURATE. 67 00:02:18,372 --> 00:02:20,838 >> THERE'S DEFINITELY BEEN A 68 00:02:20,841 --> 00:02:22,373 SHIFT IDEOLOGUALLY IN WHAT THE 69 00:02:22,376 --> 00:02:24,175 PRIORITIES ARE. 70 00:02:24,178 --> 00:02:25,576 WE'VE GONE FROM A PARTY THAT'S 71 00:02:25,579 --> 00:02:27,311 TYPICALLY BEEN ASSOCIATED WITH 72 00:02:27,314 --> 00:02:29,280 THINGS LIKE FREE TRADE TO WHERE 73 00:02:29,283 --> 00:02:30,781 WE'RE MORE CONCERNED ABOUT JUST 74 00:02:30,784 --> 00:02:33,151 SOMEBODY A CANDIDATE THAT WILL 75 00:02:33,154 --> 00:02:35,019 FIGHT FOR OUR BELIEFS, NOT 76 00:02:35,022 --> 00:02:36,020 NECESSARILY BE OR HAVE 77 00:02:36,023 --> 00:02:37,755 IDEALOGICAL PURITY. 78 00:02:37,758 --> 00:02:39,524 I THINK THERE'S GOING TO 79 00:02:39,527 --> 00:02:41,192 OBVIOUSLY BE A TOUGH REPUBLICAN 80 00:02:41,195 --> 00:02:43,161 FIGHT IN THE SENATE, WHETHER 81 00:02:43,164 --> 00:02:45,997 IT'S WITH FORMER STATE SENATOR 82 00:02:46,000 --> 00:02:47,965 KELLY WARD IN SPECULATIVELY 83 00:02:47,968 --> 00:02:50,234 CONGRESSMAN MARTHA McSALLY AND 84 00:02:50,237 --> 00:02:52,236 JAY HOOILER WHO HAS THE BACKING 85 00:02:52,239 --> 00:02:54,105 OF GOVERNOR BREWER, IT WILL BE A 86 00:02:54,108 --> 00:02:56,407 TOUGH, NASTY PRIMARY BUT WE'VE 87 00:02:56,410 --> 00:02:58,242 SEEN TRADITIONALLY THAT 88 00:02:58,245 --> 00:02:59,443 REPUBLICANS HAVE HAD TOUGH 89 00:02:59,446 --> 00:03:00,878 PRIMARIES BUT IT'S HELPED 90 00:03:00,881 --> 00:03:02,880 CANDIDATES IN THE LONG RUN AND 91 00:03:02,883 --> 00:03:05,016 MADE THEM BATTLE TESTED AND FINE 92 00:03:05,019 --> 00:03:06,651 TUNE MESSAGING AND STILL HAVE A 93 00:03:06,654 --> 00:03:07,051 LOT OF SUCCESS IN GENERAL 94 00:03:07,054 --> 00:03:10,555 ELECTIONS. 95 00:03:10,558 --> 00:03:11,522 >> JASON, WE HEAR CONGRESSWOMAN 96 00:03:11,525 --> 00:03:14,225 DOING VERY WELL. 97 00:03:14,228 --> 00:03:14,525 HOW LIKELY IS SHE TO LEAD THE 98 00:03:14,528 --> 00:03:16,160 RACE? 99 00:03:16,163 --> 00:03:18,863 >> HER CHALLENGE IS KEEPING HER 100 00:03:18,866 --> 00:03:19,230 NAME OUT THERE AND STAYING 101 00:03:19,233 --> 00:03:20,831 RELEVANT. 102 00:03:20,834 --> 00:03:22,333 WITHOUT THE PRIMARY THAT BECOMES 103 00:03:22,336 --> 00:03:23,868 A DIFFICULT THING TO DO WHICH 104 00:03:23,871 --> 00:03:25,069 ALWAYS TENDS TO BENEFIT THOSE 105 00:03:25,072 --> 00:03:25,403 CANDIDATES THAT HAVE THE 106 00:03:25,406 --> 00:03:26,571 PRIMARY. 107 00:03:26,574 --> 00:03:28,172 THEY ARE THE ONES BEING COVERED 108 00:03:28,175 --> 00:03:29,173 IN THE MEDIA AND HAVING THEIR 109 00:03:29,176 --> 00:03:31,008 TALKING POINTS COVERED. 110 00:03:31,011 --> 00:03:32,510 IN THIS RACE IT ALL COMES DOWN 111 00:03:32,513 --> 00:03:35,146 TO TRUMP AND HOW MUCH YOU'RE 112 00:03:35,149 --> 00:03:36,380 GOING TO BE ASSOCIATED OR 113 00:03:36,383 --> 00:03:39,050 UNASSOCIATED WITH HIM COMING OUT 114 00:03:39,053 --> 00:03:42,119 OF THAT REPUBLICAN PRIMARY. 115 00:03:42,122 --> 00:03:44,655 SO FOR HER AND IN THIS CASE, ALL 116 00:03:44,658 --> 00:03:47,658 GOING TO BE ALL ABOUT TRYING TO 117 00:03:47,661 --> 00:03:50,895 PORTRAY THE EVENTUAL CANDIDATE 118 00:03:50,898 --> 00:03:52,029 THAT COMES OUT AS A TRUMPITE, 119 00:03:52,032 --> 00:03:54,131 SOMEBODY ON THAT FRINGE AND 120 00:03:54,134 --> 00:03:58,302 ISN'T THE MAINSTREAM CANDIDATE. 121 00:03:58,305 --> 00:03:59,136 >> ARIZONA HAS LONG BEEN A 122 00:03:59,139 --> 00:04:02,173 CONSERVATIVE STATE. 123 00:04:02,176 --> 00:04:03,241 IS DONALD TRUMP REPUBLICAN, 124 00:04:03,244 --> 00:04:04,308 KELLY WARD REPUBLICAN, A 125 00:04:04,311 --> 00:04:05,910 REPUBLICAN STATE OR IS THIS A 126 00:04:05,913 --> 00:04:07,912 NEW BREED OF CONSERVATIVES? 127 00:04:07,915 --> 00:04:09,880 >> IN OUR SURVEY RESEARCH AT 128 00:04:09,883 --> 00:04:11,682 HIGH GROUND WE PUT OUT A POLL IN 129 00:04:11,685 --> 00:04:13,584 MID AUGUST AND FOUND THREE OF 130 00:04:13,587 --> 00:04:15,119 FOUR LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY 131 00:04:15,122 --> 00:04:15,686 VOTERS STILL SUPPORT PRESIDENT 132 00:04:15,689 --> 00:04:17,021 TRUMP. 133 00:04:17,024 --> 00:04:18,923 HE DOES HAVE IMPORTANCE. 134 00:04:18,926 --> 00:04:20,591 HIS ENDORSEMENT WILL BE A BIG 135 00:04:20,594 --> 00:04:20,925 DEAL WITHIN THE REPUBLICAN 136 00:04:20,928 --> 00:04:22,660 PRIMARY. 137 00:04:22,663 --> 00:04:25,196 WHETHER THAT IMPACTS THE GENERAL 138 00:04:25,199 --> 00:04:26,897 ELECTION IN A POSITIVE LIGHT, I 139 00:04:26,900 --> 00:04:27,265 THINK THAT'S STILL UP FOR 140 00:04:27,268 --> 00:04:29,033 QUESTION. 141 00:04:29,036 --> 00:04:33,037 I THINK ONE OF THE INTERESTING 142 00:04:33,040 --> 00:04:34,605 DYNAMICS OF A POTENTIAL McSALLY 143 00:04:34,608 --> 00:04:35,840 CINEMA RACE, WE'VE SEEN 144 00:04:35,843 --> 00:04:37,208 REPUBLICANS THAT WIN THE 145 00:04:37,211 --> 00:04:39,644 NOMINATION WHETHER IT'S FOR 146 00:04:39,647 --> 00:04:42,580 GOVERNOR OR SENATE, TYPICALLY 147 00:04:42,583 --> 00:04:48,953 THEY COME FROM MARICOPA COUNTY 148 00:04:48,956 --> 00:04:52,523 AND PIMA IS BEEN A STRONG HOLD. 149 00:04:52,526 --> 00:04:54,458 McSALLY REPRESENTS A BIG PART OF 150 00:04:54,461 --> 00:04:55,192 TUCSON. 151 00:04:55,195 --> 00:04:58,262 SHE'S GOING TO BE ABLE TO HANG 152 00:04:58,265 --> 00:04:59,997 TOUGH IN PIMA AND THAT MAKES FOR 153 00:05:00,000 --> 00:05:02,166 AN INTERESTING DYNAMIC WITH 154 00:05:02,169 --> 00:05:05,036 CONGRESSWOMAN CINEMA, HER BASE 155 00:05:05,039 --> 00:05:06,070 IS TEMPE AND CHANDLEER. 156 00:05:06,073 --> 00:05:09,340 THAT WILL BE AN INTERESTING 157 00:05:09,343 --> 00:05:10,675 THING TO KEEP AN EYE ON IF 158 00:05:10,678 --> 00:05:14,378 SHE'LL BE ABLE TO TAKE HER 159 00:05:14,381 --> 00:05:15,479 MESSAGE TO RURAL COUNTIES LIKE 160 00:05:15,482 --> 00:05:18,282 MOJAVE AND YUMA. 161 00:05:18,285 --> 00:05:18,582 >> WHO DO WE SEE JUMP IN THAT 162 00:05:18,585 --> 00:05:19,884 RACE? 163 00:05:19,887 --> 00:05:21,218 >> WE HAVE A COUPLE OF 164 00:05:21,221 --> 00:05:26,524 CANDIDATES CIRCLING THEIR NAMES 165 00:05:26,527 --> 00:05:29,060 OUT THERE. 166 00:05:29,063 --> 00:05:31,162 MATT HINES, HE HAS NAME I.D. 167 00:05:31,165 --> 00:05:33,464 LOCALLY AND ANN KIRK PATRICK, IT 168 00:05:33,467 --> 00:05:35,433 COULD BE A VERY POTENT ADVERSARY 169 00:05:35,436 --> 00:05:37,568 FOR ANY REPUBLICANS TO STEP 170 00:05:37,571 --> 00:05:40,805 FORWARD IN THAT RACE. 171 00:05:40,808 --> 00:05:43,641 >> CD 2 HAS BEEN WATCHED FROM A 172 00:05:43,644 --> 00:05:45,643 NATIONAL PERSPECTIVE, WHAT IS IT 173 00:05:45,646 --> 00:05:46,744 THAT'S SO FASCINATING? 174 00:05:46,747 --> 00:05:48,679 JASON, WE'LL START WITH YOU. 175 00:05:48,682 --> 00:05:50,081 >> WHEN YOU GO TO THE VERY BASE 176 00:05:50,084 --> 00:05:51,482 SICKS, LOOKING AT REGISTRATION, 177 00:05:51,485 --> 00:05:53,551 IT'S ONE OF THOSE DISTRICTS THAT 178 00:05:53,554 --> 00:05:54,952 IS CLOSE IN REGISTRATION FOR 179 00:05:54,955 --> 00:05:56,987 EITHER SIDE TO MAKE A PLAY FOR 180 00:05:56,990 --> 00:05:57,555 IT JUST BASED ON SOLID 181 00:05:57,558 --> 00:05:59,457 REGISTRATION NUMBERS. 182 00:05:59,460 --> 00:06:01,592 BUT THEN YOU BRING IN OUTSIDE 183 00:06:01,595 --> 00:06:02,960 FACTORS WHERE YOU HAVE A 184 00:06:02,963 --> 00:06:03,894 MILITARY BASE TENDS TO PLAY 185 00:06:03,897 --> 00:06:06,430 TOWARDS MORE REPUBLICAN 186 00:06:06,433 --> 00:06:07,932 CANDIDATES AND VERY STRONG 187 00:06:07,935 --> 00:06:10,668 ENVIRONMENTAL PRESENCE DOWN IN 188 00:06:10,671 --> 00:06:12,203 SOUTHERN ARIZONA, WHICH TENDS TO 189 00:06:12,206 --> 00:06:12,570 GO TOWARDS MORE A DEMOCRATIC 190 00:06:12,573 --> 00:06:14,004 CANDIDATE. 191 00:06:14,007 --> 00:06:15,539 IF YOU'RE DEALING WITH A 192 00:06:15,542 --> 00:06:16,807 DISTRICT THAT HAS ISSUES THAT 193 00:06:16,810 --> 00:06:18,008 ARE IMPORTANT OR PRESENCE THERE 194 00:06:18,011 --> 00:06:20,544 FOR ITS CONSTITUENTS THAT CAN 195 00:06:20,547 --> 00:06:21,946 PLAY TO EITHER SIDE OF THE AISLE 196 00:06:21,949 --> 00:06:22,246 AND VERY CLOSE REGISTRATION 197 00:06:22,249 --> 00:06:24,815 BASE. 198 00:06:24,818 --> 00:06:25,116 IT MAKES IT APPEALING TO EITHER 199 00:06:25,119 --> 00:06:26,784 SIDE. 200 00:06:26,787 --> 00:06:27,351 >> I THINK IT'S KIND OF A 201 00:06:27,354 --> 00:06:28,986 FASCINATING DISTRICT. 202 00:06:28,989 --> 00:06:31,255 IT WAS ONE OF ONLY 23 DISTRICTS 203 00:06:31,258 --> 00:06:33,023 IN THE COUNTRY THAT VOTED FOR 204 00:06:33,026 --> 00:06:34,925 SECRETARY CLINTON, BUT ALSO 205 00:06:34,928 --> 00:06:35,292 REPUBLICAN CONGRESSIONAL 206 00:06:35,295 --> 00:06:36,861 CANDIDATE. 207 00:06:36,864 --> 00:06:39,530 IN THIS INSTANCE, McSALLY. 208 00:06:39,533 --> 00:06:42,199 I THINK THE DYNAMIC OF HAVING A 209 00:06:42,202 --> 00:06:43,234 LARGE CHUNK OF THAT URBAN TUCSON 210 00:06:43,237 --> 00:06:45,035 COMMUNITY BUT ALSO THAT 211 00:06:45,038 --> 00:06:47,638 STRETCHES ALL THE WAY TO THE 212 00:06:47,641 --> 00:06:50,274 BORDER, YOU'RE GOING TO SEE ERA 213 00:06:50,277 --> 00:06:52,076 VISTA, IT IS A VERY UNIQUE 214 00:06:52,079 --> 00:06:53,010 DYNAMIC IN TERMS OF THAT MIX OF 215 00:06:53,013 --> 00:06:55,346 URBAN AND RURAL. 216 00:06:55,349 --> 00:06:57,548 ANY CANDIDATES THAT RUNS IN CD 2 217 00:06:57,551 --> 00:06:58,616 WILL HAVE TO FIND THE RIGHT MIX 218 00:06:58,619 --> 00:07:00,418 BETWEEN REPRESENTING THOSE IN 219 00:07:00,421 --> 00:07:02,820 URBAN COMMUNITIES AND THOSE IN 220 00:07:02,823 --> 00:07:04,021 RURAL BECAUSE AS WE SEE 221 00:07:04,024 --> 00:07:07,091 ELECTORAL RESULTS, THAT'S 222 00:07:07,094 --> 00:07:08,359 BECOMING THE BIGGEST DIVIDE AND 223 00:07:08,362 --> 00:07:10,294 INDICATOR OF PARTISAN VOTER, 224 00:07:10,297 --> 00:07:11,495 WHETHER YOU LIVE IN AN URBAN 225 00:07:11,498 --> 00:07:14,165 COMMUNITY OR RURAL COMMUNITY. 226 00:07:14,168 --> 00:07:15,366 I THINK THAT'S WHAT MAKE CD2 227 00:07:15,369 --> 00:07:17,034 UNIQUE, ONE OF THE FEW DISTRICTS 228 00:07:17,037 --> 00:07:17,635 THAT BRINGS BOTH OF THOSE 229 00:07:17,638 --> 00:07:18,969 FACTORS TOGETHER. 230 00:07:18,972 --> 00:07:20,337 >> ARE THESE DEMOCRATS THAT 231 00:07:20,340 --> 00:07:21,639 CONNECTED THEMSELVES TO THE 232 00:07:21,642 --> 00:07:23,941 HILLARY CLINTON CAMP THAT WE SAW 233 00:07:23,944 --> 00:07:26,277 MORE THAN A YEAR AGO? 234 00:07:26,280 --> 00:07:28,245 ARE DEMOCRATS LIKELY TO SEE 235 00:07:28,248 --> 00:07:28,546 FRACTURING WHAT THEIR PARTY ONCE 236 00:07:28,549 --> 00:07:30,014 WAS? 237 00:07:30,017 --> 00:07:31,715 >> TALK ABOUT FRACTURING IN THE 238 00:07:31,718 --> 00:07:33,017 REPUBLICAN PARTY, I DON'T THINK 239 00:07:33,020 --> 00:07:34,752 DEMOCRATS HAVE COME ACROSS WHO 240 00:07:34,755 --> 00:07:35,085 THEY ARE AND DEFINED THEMSELVES 241 00:07:35,088 --> 00:07:36,487 EITHER. 242 00:07:36,490 --> 00:07:37,988 THAT'S SOMETHING WE NEED TO SEE 243 00:07:37,991 --> 00:07:40,524 IN THE NEXT YEAR OR SO DEVELOP 244 00:07:40,527 --> 00:07:41,559 OUT OF DEMOCRATS DEFINING WHO 245 00:07:41,562 --> 00:07:42,359 THEY ARE AND COMING FORWARD WITH 246 00:07:42,362 --> 00:07:43,761 THEIR MESSAGE. 247 00:07:43,764 --> 00:07:49,333 IF THEY DON'T DO THAT, THEY 248 00:07:49,336 --> 00:07:50,234 WON'T BE ABLE TO TAKE A BENEFIT 249 00:07:50,237 --> 00:07:50,634 OFF OF THE OPPORTUNITIES 250 00:07:50,637 --> 00:07:51,769 PRESENTED. 251 00:07:51,772 --> 00:07:52,970 >> TWO PARTIES IDENTIFYING 252 00:07:52,973 --> 00:07:55,940 THEMSELVES IN A STATE THAT HAS 253 00:07:55,943 --> 00:07:58,108 LONG BEEN A CONSERVATIVE PLACE, 254 00:07:58,111 --> 00:08:00,377 DOES THAT MEAN WE ARE THE PURPLE 255 00:08:00,380 --> 00:08:00,644 THAT JASON THINKS HE WANTS US TO 256 00:08:00,647 --> 00:08:01,846 BE. 257 00:08:01,849 --> 00:08:03,280 >> BOTH ARE LOOKING IN THE 258 00:08:03,283 --> 00:08:04,582 MIRROR AND SAYING WHO ARE WE? 259 00:08:04,585 --> 00:08:06,550 WHAT DO WE WANT TO BE? 260 00:08:06,553 --> 00:08:09,954 WHAT VALUE DO WE REPRESENT. 261 00:08:09,957 --> 00:08:11,322 ARE WE COMMITTED TO IDEALOGICAL 262 00:08:11,325 --> 00:08:12,857 PURSUITS, COMMITTED TO GETTING 263 00:08:12,860 --> 00:08:14,625 THINGS DONE OR MOSTLY JUST 264 00:08:14,628 --> 00:08:14,925 COMMITTED TO ANGERING THE OTHER 265 00:08:14,928 --> 00:08:16,560 SIDE? 266 00:08:16,563 --> 00:08:17,795 I THINK WE'VE SEEN A LOT OF THAT 267 00:08:17,798 --> 00:08:18,863 ON THE REPUBLICAN PARTY. 268 00:08:18,866 --> 00:08:21,165 IT'S NOT NECESSARILY GETTING 269 00:08:21,168 --> 00:08:21,899 THINGS DONE, IT'S MOSTLY BEING 270 00:08:21,902 --> 00:08:23,634 AGAINST THINGS. 271 00:08:23,637 --> 00:08:26,070 ANY CANDIDATE THAT MANAGES TO 272 00:08:26,073 --> 00:08:27,104 GET YOU A GENERAL ELECTION, THEY 273 00:08:27,107 --> 00:08:28,672 HAVE THEIR -- THEY HAVE AN 274 00:08:28,675 --> 00:08:30,307 ADVANTAGE BUT I THINK THEY NEED 275 00:08:30,310 --> 00:08:31,542 TO BE ABLE TO PAINT A PICTURE OF 276 00:08:31,545 --> 00:08:33,611 GETTING THINGS DONE AND BEING 277 00:08:33,614 --> 00:08:35,145 ABLE TO STAND UP AND FIGHT FOR 278 00:08:35,148 --> 00:08:38,315 ARIZONA, NOT NECESSARILY ONE 279 00:08:38,318 --> 00:08:42,253 PARTY OR THE OTHER BUT BEING 280 00:08:42,256 --> 00:08:43,854 ABLE TO PUSH FOR POLICIES LIKE 281 00:08:43,857 --> 00:08:45,556 DEFENDING AIR FORCE BASE, MAKING 282 00:08:45,559 --> 00:08:46,957 SURE WE'RE STAYING SAFE AND 283 00:08:46,960 --> 00:08:47,358 FINDING A SOLUTION TO 284 00:08:47,361 --> 00:08:48,058 IMMIGRATION. 285 00:08:48,061 --> 00:08:50,160 THIS IS SOMETHING THAT WE'VE 286 00:08:50,163 --> 00:08:50,928 BEEN TALKING ABOUT AS A STATE 287 00:08:50,931 --> 00:08:52,663 SINCE 2006. 288 00:08:52,666 --> 00:08:54,798 THERE STILL HAS NOT BEEN A 289 00:08:54,801 --> 00:08:55,099 SOLUTION TO IMMIGRATION REFORM 290 00:08:55,102 --> 00:08:57,201 HERE. 291 00:08:57,204 --> 00:08:58,002 SO THAT'S REALLY I THINK 292 00:08:58,005 --> 00:08:59,637 ULTIMATELY WHAT REPUBLICANS IF 293 00:08:59,640 --> 00:09:01,238 THEY WANT TO BE SUCCESSFUL IN 294 00:09:01,241 --> 00:09:02,873 THIS CYCLE IN MOVING FORWARD FOR 295 00:09:02,876 --> 00:09:05,676 THE NEXT DECADE, THEY NEED TO BE 296 00:09:05,679 --> 00:09:07,711 ABLE TO SHOW SOME RESULTS. 297 00:09:07,714 --> 00:09:08,012 >> WHAT OUGHT THE DEMOCRATS BE 298 00:09:08,015 --> 00:09:11,682 DOING? 299 00:09:11,685 --> 00:09:13,551 >> A LOT OF THE SAME THING. 300 00:09:13,554 --> 00:09:15,686 I'VE SAID THAT STOP ATTACKING 301 00:09:15,689 --> 00:09:17,121 YOUR OPPONENTS BECAUSE NOBODY 302 00:09:17,124 --> 00:09:18,656 WANTS A NEGATIVE MESSAGE. 303 00:09:18,659 --> 00:09:19,990 CANDIDATES THAT SEEM TO BE 304 00:09:19,993 --> 00:09:21,859 SUCCESSFUL, TIME AND TIME AGAIN, 305 00:09:21,862 --> 00:09:23,027 ARE THOSE THAT CAN PORTRAY A 306 00:09:23,030 --> 00:09:23,727 POSITIVE VISION FOR WHAT THE 307 00:09:23,730 --> 00:09:25,362 FUTURE HOLDS. 308 00:09:25,365 --> 00:09:25,996 PEOPLE WANT TO BE ABLE TO FOLLOW 309 00:09:25,999 --> 00:09:27,565 SOMEBODY FORWARD. 310 00:09:27,568 --> 00:09:28,933 IF YOU DON'T DO THAT, YOU'RE NOT 311 00:09:28,936 --> 00:09:31,001 GOING TO BE ABLE TO GAIN THE 312 00:09:31,004 --> 00:09:33,370 SUPPORT THAT YOU NEED AND PEOPLE 313 00:09:33,373 --> 00:09:35,339 WILL OFTEN FOLLOW STATUS QUO AND 314 00:09:35,342 --> 00:09:37,841 GO BACK TO WHAT THEY KNOW AND 315 00:09:37,844 --> 00:09:38,809 MANY TIMES IN ARIZONA THAT MEANS 316 00:09:38,812 --> 00:09:39,944 THAT THE REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE IS 317 00:09:39,947 --> 00:09:41,779 GOING TO BE SUCCESSFUL. 318 00:09:41,782 --> 00:09:44,548 >> AS WE LOOK INTO THE NEXT 319 00:09:44,551 --> 00:09:46,016 ELECTION CYCLE, WHERE DOES 320 00:09:46,019 --> 00:09:46,850 ARIZONA FIT ON A NATIONAL MAP 321 00:09:46,853 --> 00:09:49,019 WHEN IT COMES TO POLITICS. 322 00:09:49,022 --> 00:09:50,588 >> SPECIFICALLY ON SENATE SIDE 323 00:09:50,591 --> 00:09:52,623 YOU HAVE REPUBLICANS HOLDING 324 00:09:52,626 --> 00:09:54,592 ONLY A TWO SEAT ADVANTAGE. 325 00:09:54,595 --> 00:09:56,193 THE MAP AS A WHOLE NATIONALLY 326 00:09:56,196 --> 00:09:57,628 BUT MOSTLY DEMOCRATS ARE GOING 327 00:09:57,631 --> 00:09:58,862 TO BE DEFENDING. 328 00:09:58,865 --> 00:10:00,664 THEY ARE ABOUT 23 DEMOCRATS UP 329 00:10:00,667 --> 00:10:03,167 FOR RE-ELECTION, ONLY EIGHT 330 00:10:03,170 --> 00:10:03,567 REPUBLICANS LOOKING FOR TO BE 331 00:10:03,570 --> 00:10:04,868 RE-ELECTED. 332 00:10:04,871 --> 00:10:06,036 BUT WE'VE ALREADY SEEN SENATOR 333 00:10:06,039 --> 00:10:07,004 FLAKE STEPPED AWAY. 334 00:10:07,007 --> 00:10:09,707 THIS IS AN OPEN SEAT. 335 00:10:09,710 --> 00:10:11,208 THE DEMOCRATS ARE TRYING TO 336 00:10:11,211 --> 00:10:12,409 CLOSE THAT MARGIN IN THE SENATE. 337 00:10:12,412 --> 00:10:12,977 THIS IS GOING TO BE A HUGE 338 00:10:12,980 --> 00:10:14,645 POLITICAL RACE. 339 00:10:14,648 --> 00:10:16,146 YOU'RE GOING TO SEE MILLIONS AND 340 00:10:16,149 --> 00:10:18,616 MILLIONS OF OUTSIDE DOLLARS 341 00:10:18,619 --> 00:10:23,988 BEING SPENT BY DARK MONEY 342 00:10:23,991 --> 00:10:25,122 GROUPS, BY CANDIDATE PACS, 343 00:10:25,125 --> 00:10:26,757 THERE'S GOING TO BE A LOT OF 344 00:10:26,760 --> 00:10:27,091 MONEY AND ATTENTION ON THIS 345 00:10:27,094 --> 00:10:29,893 RACE. 346 00:10:29,896 --> 00:10:32,763 DO THEY WANT TO MAKE THIS A 347 00:10:32,766 --> 00:10:34,565 DIVISIVE NASTY RACE WHERE WE SO 348 00:10:34,568 --> 00:10:35,799 THAT DEVOLVE WHEN YOU GET A RACE 349 00:10:35,802 --> 00:10:37,401 AT THE BOTTOM OR PRESENT A 350 00:10:37,404 --> 00:10:38,602 VISION FOR NOT ONLY THEIR PARTY 351 00:10:38,605 --> 00:10:40,170 BUT THE STATE WHERE THEY CAN 352 00:10:40,173 --> 00:10:41,772 LEAD AND SAY I'M GOING TO GO TO 353 00:10:41,775 --> 00:10:43,007 THE SENATE AND I'M GOING TO 354 00:10:43,010 --> 00:10:44,675 REPRESENT ARIZONA, I'M GOING TO 355 00:10:44,678 --> 00:10:46,110 FIGHT FOR US ON IMMIGRATION 356 00:10:46,113 --> 00:10:48,712 REFORM AND FIGHT ON DEFENDING 357 00:10:48,715 --> 00:10:50,080 OUR MILITARY BASES AND FIGHT TO 358 00:10:50,083 --> 00:10:52,049 MAKE SURE THE MIDDLE CLASS 359 00:10:52,052 --> 00:10:53,484 AMERICANS GET TAX REFORM DONE 360 00:10:53,487 --> 00:10:54,818 AND PAY LESS IN TAXES. 361 00:10:54,821 --> 00:10:56,153 I THINK REALLY THAT'S GOING TO 362 00:10:56,156 --> 00:10:57,187 BE THE KEY FOR REPUBLICANS. 363 00:10:57,190 --> 00:11:01,492 >> JASON? 364 00:11:01,495 --> 00:11:02,826 >> IT'S GOING TO BE A THIGH 365 00:11:02,829 --> 00:11:03,460 HIGH 366 00:11:03,463 --> 00:11:04,461 DOLLAR SPENDING AND MORE 367 00:11:04,464 --> 00:11:07,631 COMMERCIALS AND MAILERS THAN ANY 368 00:11:07,634 --> 00:11:09,700 TIME IN RECENT HISTORY. 369 00:11:09,703 --> 00:11:10,634 I THINK IT'S GOING TO GET 370 00:11:10,637 --> 00:11:12,836 NEGATIVE QUICKLY. 371 00:11:12,839 --> 00:11:14,238 WITHOUT CANDIDATES BEING ABLE TO 372 00:11:14,241 --> 00:11:18,008 CONTROL WHAT MESSAGES ARE BEING 373 00:11:18,011 --> 00:11:19,376 PUT OUT THERE, THEY'LL COME 374 00:11:19,379 --> 00:11:19,643 SWINGING AS MUCH MUD AS THEY 375 00:11:19,646 --> 00:11:22,379 CAN. 376 00:11:22,382 --> 00:11:24,481 WE'LL SEE HOW THE ELECTORATE 377 00:11:24,484 --> 00:11:24,815 DEALS WITH THAT AND HOW THEY 378 00:11:24,818 --> 00:11:30,621 REACT. 379 00:11:30,624 --> 00:11:31,855 >> WE'VE HAD 11 OR 12 MEN TAKE 380 00:11:31,858 --> 00:11:32,790 STATE SENATE RACES AND FOUR 381 00:11:32,793 --> 00:11:35,993 WOMEN AS GOVERNOR. 382 00:11:35,996 --> 00:11:38,062 >> ABSOLUTELY. 383 00:11:38,065 --> 00:11:39,296 ARIZONANS SPECIFICALLY HAVE 384 00:11:39,299 --> 00:11:40,864 ALWAYS TAKEN GREAT PRIDE IN THE 385 00:11:40,867 --> 00:11:43,767 INDEPENDENT SPIRIT, THAT DATES 386 00:11:43,770 --> 00:11:45,169 BACK TO BARRY GOLDWATER AND JOHN 387 00:11:45,172 --> 00:11:48,372 McCAIN AND JAN BREWER, SOMEBODY 388 00:11:48,375 --> 00:11:49,907 THAT WILL STICK UP AND FIGHT FOR 389 00:11:49,910 --> 00:11:51,875 THOSE OR THEY HAVEN'T BEEN 390 00:11:51,878 --> 00:11:53,310 FOUGHT FOR AND ESPECIALLY THOSE 391 00:11:53,313 --> 00:11:54,845 WILLING TO BUCK THE 392 00:11:54,848 --> 00:11:56,513 ESTABLISHMENT, BUCK TRADITIONAL 393 00:11:56,516 --> 00:11:58,649 PARTY BELIEFS. 394 00:11:58,652 --> 00:12:00,150 I THINK THAT ARIZONA AGAIN HAS 395 00:12:00,153 --> 00:12:03,153 AN OPPORTUNITY TO BE IN THE 396 00:12:03,156 --> 00:12:04,154 CENTER OF THE NATIONAL 397 00:12:04,157 --> 00:12:05,689 SPOTLIGHT. 398 00:12:05,692 --> 00:12:06,957 RIGHT NOW IT'S LIKELY WE'LL HAVE 399 00:12:06,960 --> 00:12:08,492 TWO FEMALE CANDIDATES. 400 00:12:08,495 --> 00:12:11,361 I THINK THERE'S GOING TO BE A 401 00:12:11,364 --> 00:12:14,264 LOT -- THAT WILL BE A HUGE 402 00:12:14,267 --> 00:12:15,032 IMPACT FOR LETTING FUTURE 403 00:12:15,035 --> 00:12:15,866 ARIZONANS KNOW ANYTHING IS 404 00:12:15,869 --> 00:12:17,468 POSSIBLE IN THE STATE. 405 00:12:17,471 --> 00:12:18,769 >> ARIZONA HAS ALWAYS BEEN AHEAD 406 00:12:18,772 --> 00:12:20,170 OF ITS TIMES WHEN YOU LOOK BACK 407 00:12:20,173 --> 00:12:22,539 TO STARTING WITH THE INITIATIVE 408 00:12:22,542 --> 00:12:23,607 AND REFERENDUM PROCESS WE 409 00:12:23,610 --> 00:12:25,209 ADOPTED AND WE'VE ALWAYS BEEN 410 00:12:25,212 --> 00:12:26,944 LOOKING FOR NEW WAYS OR NEW 411 00:12:26,947 --> 00:12:28,178 THINGS TO BE ABLE TO CONDUCT 412 00:12:28,181 --> 00:12:32,149 GOVERNMENT HERE IN ARIZONA. 413 00:12:32,152 --> 00:12:32,483 WE'VE BEEN OPEN TO DIFFERENT 414 00:12:32,486 --> 00:12:34,251 IDEALS. 415 00:12:34,254 --> 00:12:36,854 HAVING A TIME WHERE YOU'VE HAD 416 00:12:36,857 --> 00:12:38,555 FOUR EXECUTIVES BE WOMEN, 417 00:12:38,558 --> 00:12:40,758 RECENTLY AND THERE HAS BEEN IN 418 00:12:40,761 --> 00:12:42,493 RECENT HISTORY FIVE OF THE TOP 419 00:12:42,496 --> 00:12:44,194 STATEWIDE OFFICES HAVE BEEN HELD 420 00:12:44,197 --> 00:12:45,796 BY WOMEN AT THE SAME TIME. 421 00:12:45,799 --> 00:12:46,930 THAT'S A RARITY AND SOMETHING 422 00:12:46,933 --> 00:12:48,132 THAT PEOPLE DON'T NECESSARILY 423 00:12:48,135 --> 00:12:49,099 CONNECT WITH ARIZONA BUT ARIZONA 424 00:12:49,102 --> 00:12:51,034 IS UNIQUE. 425 00:12:51,037 --> 00:12:52,870 WE ARE SPECIAL AND I THINK -- I 426 00:12:52,873 --> 00:12:54,371 AGREE THAT I THINK WE'LL LOOK AT 427 00:12:54,374 --> 00:12:57,808 TWO FEMALE CANDIDATES RUNNING 428 00:12:57,811 --> 00:13:00,310 FOR SENATE HERE AND IT WILL BE A 429 00:13:00,313 --> 00:13:00,611 HISTORICAL ELECTION FOR THAT 430 00:13:00,614 --> 00:13:02,346 FACT. 431 00:13:02,349 --> 00:13:04,448 >> THAT PROGRESSIVENESS IS WHAT 432 00:13:04,451 --> 00:13:04,748 DEMOCRATS SAY WILL SHINE IN 433 00:13:04,751 --> 00:13:05,682 2018. 434 00:13:05,685 --> 00:13:08,786 THE EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR OF THE 435 00:13:08,789 --> 00:13:09,486 ARIZONA DEMOCRATIC PARTY 436 00:13:09,489 --> 00:13:10,921 PREDICTS ARIZONA'S POLITICAL 437 00:13:10,924 --> 00:13:12,790 LANDSCAPE IS ABOUT TO CHANGE. 438 00:13:12,793 --> 00:13:14,324 >> IT IS DEFINITELY AN EXCITING 439 00:13:14,327 --> 00:13:14,658 TIME TO BE A DEMOCRAT IN 440 00:13:14,661 --> 00:13:17,127 ARIZONA. 441 00:13:17,130 --> 00:13:17,861 WE'VE HAD SINCE THE ELECTION OUR 442 00:13:17,864 --> 00:13:20,764 PARTICIPATION HAS BEEN THROUGH 443 00:13:20,767 --> 00:13:24,067 THE ROOF. 444 00:13:24,070 --> 00:13:26,837 I MEAN, WE'VE COUNTY MEETINGS, 445 00:13:26,840 --> 00:13:30,174 STANDING ROOM ONLY, USED TO HAVE 446 00:13:30,177 --> 00:13:31,542 10 OR 15, NOW HAVE 40 AND 40 OR 447 00:13:31,545 --> 00:13:32,910 50 NOW HAVE 300. 448 00:13:32,913 --> 00:13:34,578 IT'S BEEN IMPRESSIVE AND 449 00:13:34,581 --> 00:13:35,879 EXCITING TO SEE THE 450 00:13:35,882 --> 00:13:37,714 PARTICIPATION ON OUR SIDE AND 451 00:13:37,717 --> 00:13:39,016 PEOPLE THAT WANT TO BE ENGAGED 452 00:13:39,019 --> 00:13:40,717 AND PEOPLE THAT HAVE BEEN 453 00:13:40,720 --> 00:13:43,453 ENGAGED AND ALSO THE PEOPLE THAT 454 00:13:43,456 --> 00:13:44,621 WERE NOT NECESSARILY ENGAGED 455 00:13:44,624 --> 00:13:47,858 PREVIOUSLY WHO REALIZE THAT THEY 456 00:13:47,861 --> 00:13:48,792 HAVE TO BE AND THERE'S NO LONGER 457 00:13:48,795 --> 00:13:50,127 AN OPTION FOR THEM TO SIT ON THE 458 00:13:50,130 --> 00:13:52,563 SIDELINES AND HOPE THINGS WORK 459 00:13:52,566 --> 00:13:54,331 OUT LIKE THEY EXPECT THEM TOO. 460 00:13:54,334 --> 00:13:55,566 HAVING DONALD TRUMP ELECTED 461 00:13:55,569 --> 00:13:57,734 SHOOK PEOPLE TO THE CORE. 462 00:13:57,737 --> 00:13:59,536 >> HISTORICALLY ARIZONA HAS BEEN 463 00:13:59,539 --> 00:14:01,605 A REPUBLICAN STRONGHOLD. 464 00:14:01,608 --> 00:14:02,739 IS THAT A TRUE STATEMENT TO YOU 465 00:14:02,742 --> 00:14:03,040 REPRESENTING THE DEMOCRATIC 466 00:14:03,043 --> 00:14:06,243 PARTY? 467 00:14:06,246 --> 00:14:12,749 >> YES, IN A LOT OF WAYS, WE 468 00:14:12,752 --> 00:14:14,885 OBVIOUSLY HAVE WON HERE. 469 00:14:14,888 --> 00:14:15,652 REPUBLICANS ARE IN CONTROL 470 00:14:15,655 --> 00:14:17,955 CURRENTLY, HAVE BEEN RECENTLY 471 00:14:17,958 --> 00:14:22,993 AND I THINK IN A LOT OF WAYS 472 00:14:22,996 --> 00:14:24,962 THEY'VE DONE A BAD JOB WHEN IT 473 00:14:24,965 --> 00:14:25,929 COMES TO EDUCATION, WE'RE AT THE 474 00:14:25,932 --> 00:14:26,730 COMES TO EDUCATION, WE'RE AT THE 475 00:14:26,733 --> 00:14:27,598 BOTTOM OF THE COUNTRY AND 476 00:14:27,601 --> 00:14:29,299 QUALITY OF LIFE. 477 00:14:29,302 --> 00:14:30,100 THESE ARE THINGS THAT THE 478 00:14:30,103 --> 00:14:31,635 REPUBLICAN ADMINISTRATION 479 00:14:31,638 --> 00:14:33,237 WHETHER IT'S JUST FOCUSING ON 480 00:14:33,240 --> 00:14:37,140 TAX CUTS OR WHATEVER IT IS, 481 00:14:37,143 --> 00:14:38,675 THEY'VE -- IT'S BECOME A CULTURE 482 00:14:38,678 --> 00:14:40,444 OF CORRUPTION AND THE REST OF 483 00:14:40,447 --> 00:14:42,579 THE REPUBLICANS IN OFFICE HERE 484 00:14:42,582 --> 00:14:43,614 AND WE NEED TO MAKE CHANGES. 485 00:14:43,617 --> 00:14:44,481 DEMOCRATS CAN DO BETTER. 486 00:14:44,484 --> 00:14:46,884 WE KNOW IT. 487 00:14:46,887 --> 00:14:47,217 WE JUST NEED TO PROVE IT TO THE 488 00:14:47,220 --> 00:14:49,853 VOTERS. 489 00:14:49,856 --> 00:14:50,187 WE CAN BE DO BETTER ONCE WE GET 490 00:14:50,190 --> 00:14:51,655 ELECTED. 491 00:14:51,658 --> 00:14:52,122 WE JUST NEED TO GET ELECTED TO 492 00:14:52,125 --> 00:14:54,258 SHOW IT. 493 00:14:54,261 --> 00:14:55,959 >> AN OPEN SEAT COMING UP, WE 494 00:14:55,962 --> 00:14:57,361 ALREADY KNOW OF ONE VERY WELL 495 00:14:57,364 --> 00:14:59,296 KNOWN CONGRESSWOMAN WHO WILL 496 00:14:59,299 --> 00:15:01,298 THROW HER NAME IN THE HAT. 497 00:15:01,301 --> 00:15:03,100 ARIZONA THOUGH HAS ALWAYS HAD 498 00:15:03,103 --> 00:15:03,433 REPUBLICAN MEN LEAD ARIZONA 499 00:15:03,436 --> 00:15:04,601 SENATE. 500 00:15:04,604 --> 00:15:05,035 WHAT'S LIKELY TO HAPPEN THIS 501 00:15:05,038 --> 00:15:08,071 TIME AROUND? 502 00:15:08,074 --> 00:15:08,538 >> I THINK WE'RE GOING TO WIN 503 00:15:08,541 --> 00:15:10,040 THE SENATE SEAT. 504 00:15:10,043 --> 00:15:11,742 I MEAN, BECAUSE OF THAT HGT CARE 505 00:15:11,745 --> 00:15:13,143 VOTE AND WHAT'S GOING ON IN 506 00:15:13,146 --> 00:15:14,845 WASHINGTON, REPUBLICANS ARE 507 00:15:14,848 --> 00:15:15,946 FOCUSED ON THE WRONG THINGS, 508 00:15:15,949 --> 00:15:16,513 THINGS NOT IMPORTANT TO PEOPLE 509 00:15:16,516 --> 00:15:19,182 IN ARIZONA. 510 00:15:19,185 --> 00:15:21,051 THEY WANT TO TAKE AWAY HEALTH 511 00:15:21,054 --> 00:15:22,920 CARE FROM 400,000 PEOPLE AND 512 00:15:22,923 --> 00:15:24,454 PASS THE TAX CUT PROBABLY THIS 513 00:15:24,457 --> 00:15:26,056 WEEK OR TAX REFORM THIS WEEK 514 00:15:26,059 --> 00:15:27,758 THAT WILL HARM MIDDLE CLASS 515 00:15:27,761 --> 00:15:30,627 FAMILIES AND THAT'S NOT WHY 516 00:15:30,630 --> 00:15:31,028 PEOPLE SEND REPRESENTATIVES TO 517 00:15:31,031 --> 00:15:32,896 WASHINGTON. 518 00:15:32,899 --> 00:15:33,997 THERE'S A REPUBLICAN CIVIL WAR 519 00:15:34,000 --> 00:15:35,499 GOING ON AT THE NATIONAL LEVEL 520 00:15:35,502 --> 00:15:37,034 AND IT'S HAPPENING HERE. 521 00:15:37,037 --> 00:15:38,535 STEVE BANNON VERSUS MITCH 522 00:15:38,538 --> 00:15:39,202 McCONNELL WINGS OF THE 523 00:15:39,205 --> 00:15:40,637 REPUBLICAN PARTY. 524 00:15:40,640 --> 00:15:41,939 THAT'S THE REASON JEFF FLAKE HAD 525 00:15:41,942 --> 00:15:43,707 TO GET OUT OF THE RACE. 526 00:15:43,710 --> 00:15:47,244 HE JUST SAW THERE WAS NOT A PATH 527 00:15:47,247 --> 00:15:48,011 FOR HIM TO BE VICTORIOUS IN THIS 528 00:15:48,014 --> 00:15:49,613 REPUBLICAN CULTURE. 529 00:15:49,616 --> 00:15:50,380 >> BEEN A FEW YEARS SINCE A 530 00:15:50,383 --> 00:15:50,981 DEMOCRAT HAD SECOND 531 00:15:50,984 --> 00:15:54,017 CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT. 532 00:15:54,020 --> 00:15:54,651 YOU LIKELY SEE IT PERHAPS 533 00:15:54,654 --> 00:15:55,118 RETURNING TO A DEMOCRAT. 534 00:15:55,121 --> 00:15:56,520 >> ABSOLUTELY. 535 00:15:56,523 --> 00:15:58,588 >> WE HAVE REALLY STRONG 536 00:15:58,591 --> 00:15:59,589 CANDIDATES, WE HAVE A VERY 537 00:15:59,592 --> 00:16:00,757 VIBRANT PRIMARY. 538 00:16:00,760 --> 00:16:02,159 THAT'S A GOOD THING. 539 00:16:02,162 --> 00:16:03,627 WE'RE GOING TO HAVE A LOT OF 540 00:16:03,630 --> 00:16:05,228 PEOPLE PAYING ATTENTION TO 541 00:16:05,231 --> 00:16:07,564 WHAT'S GOING ON THERE AND 542 00:16:07,567 --> 00:16:08,966 WHOEVER REPLACES MARTHA McSALLY 543 00:16:08,969 --> 00:16:10,534 ON THE REPUBLICAN SIDE, ASSUMING 544 00:16:10,537 --> 00:16:12,703 SHE IS GOING TO DO WHAT SHE TOLD 545 00:16:12,706 --> 00:16:15,439 HER FRIENDS IN WASHINGTON, RUN 546 00:16:15,442 --> 00:16:16,540 FOR SENATE, IT'S A CLOWN CAR OF 547 00:16:16,543 --> 00:16:18,342 CANDIDATES THERE. 548 00:16:18,345 --> 00:16:21,545 THERE'S NOBODY THERE THAT IS 549 00:16:21,548 --> 00:16:22,779 REALLY GOING TO SPEAK FOR THE 550 00:16:22,782 --> 00:16:23,947 VOTERS OF SOUTHERN ARIZONA. 551 00:16:23,950 --> 00:16:24,247 >> DEMOCRATS LOST THE WHITE 552 00:16:24,250 --> 00:16:26,283 HOUSE. 553 00:16:26,286 --> 00:16:27,584 DOES THAT MEAN THE PARTY IS ALSO 554 00:16:27,587 --> 00:16:28,185 LOOKING TO REIDENTIFY ITSELF OR 555 00:16:28,188 --> 00:16:30,153 COME TOGETHER? 556 00:16:30,156 --> 00:16:32,556 >> IN A LOT OF WAYS YES. 557 00:16:32,559 --> 00:16:35,125 WE ON THE NATIONAL LEVEL FOR 558 00:16:35,128 --> 00:16:37,260 SURE, WE'RE -- WHAT WE IN 559 00:16:37,263 --> 00:16:39,496 ARIZONA WERE ABLE TO DO, WE DID 560 00:16:39,499 --> 00:16:41,631 NOT WIN OBVIOUSLY BUT GOT WITHIN 561 00:16:41,634 --> 00:16:43,533 THREE POINTS OF WINNING ARIZONA 562 00:16:43,536 --> 00:16:45,168 FOR HILLARY CLINTON OVER DONALD 563 00:16:45,171 --> 00:16:46,737 TRUMP AND WE'VE WORKED PRETTY 564 00:16:46,740 --> 00:16:48,205 WELL WITH OUR DIFFERENT WINGS OF 565 00:16:48,208 --> 00:16:51,108 THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY. 566 00:16:51,111 --> 00:16:52,175 I KNOW THAT'S BEEN A STORY 567 00:16:52,178 --> 00:16:52,509 NATIONALLY IN SOME OF THOSE 568 00:16:52,512 --> 00:16:54,544 FIGHTS. 569 00:16:54,547 --> 00:16:55,979 DEMOCRATS FROM THE DNC ON DOWN 570 00:16:55,982 --> 00:16:57,180 ARE WORKING TO COME TOGETHER 571 00:16:57,183 --> 00:17:00,350 BECAUSE THERE'S SO MUCH AT RISK 572 00:17:00,353 --> 00:17:01,385 HERE THAT WE CAN'T HAVE 573 00:17:01,388 --> 00:17:03,020 INTERPARTY SQUABBLES. 574 00:17:03,023 --> 00:17:04,788 >> TELL ME ABOUT THE VALUES THAT 575 00:17:04,791 --> 00:17:05,989 THE DEMOCRATS HOLD SO DEARLY. 576 00:17:05,992 --> 00:17:06,790 HOW DO YOU DESCRIBE A DEMOCRAT 577 00:17:06,793 --> 00:17:08,592 IN ARIZONA TODAY? 578 00:17:08,595 --> 00:17:08,892 >> BASICALLY WE CARE ABOUT 579 00:17:08,895 --> 00:17:09,960 TODAY. 580 00:17:09,963 --> 00:17:12,162 WE WANT TO HELP PEOPLE. 581 00:17:12,165 --> 00:17:15,132 WE WANT TO HAVE A GOVERNMENT 582 00:17:15,135 --> 00:17:15,966 THAT WILL TAKE CARE OF OUR MOST 583 00:17:15,969 --> 00:17:17,367 VULNERABLE. 584 00:17:17,370 --> 00:17:18,735 OBVIOUSLY WE CARE ABOUT OUR 585 00:17:18,738 --> 00:17:20,303 NATIONAL SECURITY AND THINGS 586 00:17:20,306 --> 00:17:22,973 THAT EVERYBODY CARES ABOUT BUT 587 00:17:22,976 --> 00:17:25,308 WE REALLY FEEL LIKE IT'S THE 588 00:17:25,311 --> 00:17:27,377 GOVERNMENT'S JOB TO MAKE SURE 589 00:17:27,380 --> 00:17:28,645 THAT OUR MOST VULNERABLE IN 590 00:17:28,648 --> 00:17:30,347 SOCIETY ARE NOT LEVEL BEHIND. 591 00:17:30,350 --> 00:17:31,648 >> ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THE 592 00:17:31,651 --> 00:17:33,417 AISLE, REPUBLICANS SAY ARIZONA 593 00:17:33,420 --> 00:17:37,587 IS A CONSERVATIVE STRONGHOLD AND 594 00:17:37,590 --> 00:17:37,954 IT WILL STAY THAT WAY COME NEXT 595 00:17:37,957 --> 00:17:41,258 NOVEMBER. 596 00:17:41,261 --> 00:17:42,259 HERE'S TORE RENS SINCLAIR OF THE 597 00:17:42,262 --> 00:17:43,760 ARIZONA REPUBLICAN PARTY. 598 00:17:43,763 --> 00:17:45,862 >> TELL ME WHERE THE PARTY IS 599 00:17:45,865 --> 00:17:46,196 WHEN WE'RE LOOKING TO THE NEXT 600 00:17:46,199 --> 00:17:47,497 CYCLE. 601 00:17:47,500 --> 00:17:48,665 >> THE PARTY IS IN A GREAT 602 00:17:48,668 --> 00:17:50,067 PLACE, LOOK AT VOTER 603 00:17:50,070 --> 00:17:50,467 REGISTRATION NUMBERS, 604 00:17:50,470 --> 00:17:51,468 INCREASING. 605 00:17:51,471 --> 00:17:55,939 RIGHT NOW WE'RE BEATING 606 00:17:55,942 --> 00:17:56,373 DEMOCRATS 55-1 MARGIN IN VOTER 607 00:17:56,376 --> 00:17:57,674 REGISTRATION. 608 00:17:57,677 --> 00:18:00,477 SINCE JANUARY YOU'VE SEEN US 609 00:18:00,480 --> 00:18:03,847 REGISTER A LITTLE OVER ALMOST 610 00:18:03,850 --> 00:18:06,716 9,000 VOTERS, WE'VE REGISTERED 611 00:18:06,719 --> 00:18:06,983 8,792 COMPARED TO THE DEMOCRATS 612 00:18:06,986 --> 00:18:11,321 161. 613 00:18:11,324 --> 00:18:11,988 THEY'VE NETTED 161 NEW VOTER 614 00:18:11,991 --> 00:18:13,223 REGISTRATIONS SINCE JANUARY. 615 00:18:13,226 --> 00:18:14,024 >> WHAT DO YOU ATTRIBUTE THAT, 616 00:18:14,027 --> 00:18:15,225 PRESIDENT TRUMP? 617 00:18:15,228 --> 00:18:17,861 >> IT'S THE MOMENTUM. 618 00:18:17,864 --> 00:18:19,196 YOU EE THE MOMENTUM FROM THE 619 00:18:19,199 --> 00:18:21,765 REPUBLICAN PARTY, DONE ADD TRUMP 620 00:18:21,768 --> 00:18:22,966 IS WELL LIKED ARIZONA AND SEE 621 00:18:22,969 --> 00:18:24,668 PEOPLE WANTING A CHANGE. 622 00:18:24,671 --> 00:18:26,136 THEY SEE THE REPUBLICAN PARTY AS 623 00:18:26,139 --> 00:18:26,470 BEING THE CATALYST FOR THAT 624 00:18:26,473 --> 00:18:27,704 CHANGE. 625 00:18:27,707 --> 00:18:29,439 >> JEFF FLAKE HAS ANNOUNCED THAT 626 00:18:29,442 --> 00:18:31,541 HE'S FINISHED WITH THE SENATE. 627 00:18:31,544 --> 00:18:33,243 NOW WE HEAR THAT CONGRESSWOMAN 628 00:18:33,246 --> 00:18:33,844 MARTHA McSALLY MAY BE INTERESTED 629 00:18:33,847 --> 00:18:36,246 IN THAT SPOT. 630 00:18:36,249 --> 00:18:36,613 I THINK IT CREATES A DOMINO 631 00:18:36,616 --> 00:18:38,014 SITUATION. 632 00:18:38,017 --> 00:18:38,582 WAS IN LINE FOR REPUBLICANS HERE 633 00:18:38,585 --> 00:18:41,751 IN ARIZONA? 634 00:18:41,754 --> 00:18:43,487 >> SO, I MEAN, REPRESENTATIVE 635 00:18:43,490 --> 00:18:45,122 McSALLY HASN'T ANNOUNCED YET SO 636 00:18:45,125 --> 00:18:45,422 WE'RE NOT GOING TO SPECULATE ON 637 00:18:45,425 --> 00:18:47,591 THAT. 638 00:18:47,594 --> 00:18:50,293 YOU LOOK AT CD 2 AND MARTHA 639 00:18:50,296 --> 00:18:52,462 McSALLY AND CD2, LOOK AT THE 640 00:18:52,465 --> 00:18:54,731 LAST ELECTION IN 2016 AND SHE 641 00:18:54,734 --> 00:18:58,034 WON THAT ELECTION BY 14 POINTS. 642 00:18:58,037 --> 00:18:59,903 YOU ALSO SAW THAT JOHN McCAIN 643 00:18:59,906 --> 00:19:01,872 BEAT ANN KIRKPATRICK AS WELL 644 00:19:01,875 --> 00:19:03,974 WHEN YOU LOOK AT THOSE NUMBERS 645 00:19:03,977 --> 00:19:05,208 AND ANN KIRKPATRICK IS CURRENTLY 646 00:19:05,211 --> 00:19:05,575 RUNNING FOR CONGRESS IN THAT 647 00:19:05,578 --> 00:19:07,043 DISTRICT. 648 00:19:07,046 --> 00:19:11,381 I THINK NO MATTER WHAT 649 00:19:11,384 --> 00:19:12,182 REPUBLICAN RUNS IN A CD2 RACE, 650 00:19:12,185 --> 00:19:12,482 YOU'RE GOING TO SEE THAT PERSON 651 00:19:12,485 --> 00:19:13,416 WIN. 652 00:19:13,419 --> 00:19:15,051 >> ALWAYS HAD REPUBLICAN MEN 653 00:19:15,054 --> 00:19:15,385 SERVE IN THE SENATE TO REPRESENT 654 00:19:15,388 --> 00:19:17,020 ARIZONA. 655 00:19:17,023 --> 00:19:19,122 IS THAT LIKELY TO CONTINUE? 656 00:19:19,125 --> 00:19:20,924 >> YOU KNOW, I THINK RIGHT NOW 657 00:19:20,927 --> 00:19:21,224 THERE'S A LOT OF FEMALES IN THE 658 00:19:21,227 --> 00:19:23,827 RACE. 659 00:19:23,830 --> 00:19:24,694 NO MATTER -- DOESN'T MATTER IF 660 00:19:24,697 --> 00:19:26,029 YOU'RE REPUBLICAN OR DEMOCRAT, 661 00:19:26,032 --> 00:19:29,132 THAT'S REALLY EXCITING. 662 00:19:29,135 --> 00:19:30,333 I WOULD BET YOU SEE A FEMALE IN 663 00:19:30,336 --> 00:19:32,369 THE SENATE IN 2018. 664 00:19:32,372 --> 00:19:32,736 >> YOU SAID THE REPUBLICANS HAVE 665 00:19:32,739 --> 00:19:34,371 MOMENTUM. 666 00:19:34,374 --> 00:19:36,439 WHAT DOES THE PARTY NEED TO DO 667 00:19:36,442 --> 00:19:39,075 TO KEEP THAT MOMENTUM AS -- THIS 668 00:19:39,078 --> 00:19:39,409 STARTS THE ELECTION CYCLE PRETTY 669 00:19:39,412 --> 00:19:40,510 EARLY. 670 00:19:40,513 --> 00:19:40,777 >> WE'RE DOING WHAT WE ALWAYS 671 00:19:40,780 --> 00:19:42,412 DO. 672 00:19:42,415 --> 00:19:44,514 WE'RE GOING TO REGISTER VOTERS 673 00:19:44,517 --> 00:19:45,682 AND TURN PEOPLE OUT AND KEEP 674 00:19:45,685 --> 00:19:47,517 TALKING TO NEW REPUBLICANS. 675 00:19:47,520 --> 00:19:49,219 THAT'S WHAT YOU SEE US DO AND 676 00:19:49,222 --> 00:19:51,388 WHAT YOU SEE US DO UNTIL THERE 677 00:19:51,391 --> 00:19:53,223 IS A GOP NOMINEE IN 2018. 678 00:19:53,226 --> 00:19:55,225 >> YOU'LL SEE US REALLY START TO 679 00:19:55,228 --> 00:19:57,060 ENGAGE WITH THOSE CANDIDATES IN 680 00:19:57,063 --> 00:19:59,763 AUGUST OF 2018. 681 00:19:59,766 --> 00:20:00,564 >> HEARD A LOT OF POLITICAL 682 00:20:00,567 --> 00:20:01,298 PUNDITS SAY THERE'S FRACTURING 683 00:20:01,301 --> 00:20:03,333 IN THE REPUBLICAN PARTY. 684 00:20:03,336 --> 00:20:05,068 DO YOU SEE THAT HERE IN ARIZONA? 685 00:20:05,071 --> 00:20:06,803 >> I THINK YOU LOOK AT OUR 686 00:20:06,806 --> 00:20:09,739 STATEWIDE ELECTIONS AND YOU GO 687 00:20:09,742 --> 00:20:13,410 BACK TO AT LEAST 2010, DEMOCRATS 688 00:20:13,413 --> 00:20:15,045 IN ARIZONA HAVEN'T HELD A 689 00:20:15,048 --> 00:20:16,112 STATEWIDE OFFICE SINCE 20 -- I 690 00:20:16,115 --> 00:20:18,114 BELIEVE 2010. 691 00:20:18,117 --> 00:20:21,284 AND YOU LOOK AT THAT AND YOU 692 00:20:21,287 --> 00:20:22,919 LOOK AT THE REALLY TOUGH GOP 693 00:20:22,922 --> 00:20:26,056 PRIMARIES THAT WE HAVE AND I 694 00:20:26,059 --> 00:20:27,791 THINK YOU KNOW, YOU CAN 695 00:20:27,794 --> 00:20:30,193 ATTRIBUTE OUR TOUGH GOP 696 00:20:30,196 --> 00:20:30,560 PRIMARIES TO US WINNING IN THE 697 00:20:30,563 --> 00:20:34,531 GENERALS. 698 00:20:34,534 --> 00:20:36,333 YOU LOOK AT 2010 AND JAN BREWER 699 00:20:36,336 --> 00:20:38,668 HAD A PRIMARY CHALLENGE AND LOOK 700 00:20:38,671 --> 00:20:41,171 AT 2012 AND OPEN SENATE SEAT AND 701 00:20:41,174 --> 00:20:43,540 JEFF FLAKE WON IN A GENERAL. 702 00:20:43,543 --> 00:20:46,409 AND 2014 AND 2014 HAD A PRETTY 703 00:20:46,412 --> 00:20:50,146 TOUGH GOVERNOR'S RACE. 704 00:20:50,149 --> 00:20:51,081 INCUMBENT GOVERNOR JAN BREWER 705 00:20:51,084 --> 00:20:53,683 ENDORSED IN THE PRIMARY AND DID 706 00:20:53,686 --> 00:20:55,919 NOT SEE A TOUGH DEMOCRAT PRIMARY 707 00:20:55,922 --> 00:20:56,253 ON THAT SIDE AND WE WON IN THE 708 00:20:56,256 --> 00:20:57,687 GENERAL. 709 00:20:57,690 --> 00:20:59,089 YOU LOOK AT THAT FOR SECRETARY 710 00:20:59,092 --> 00:21:02,425 OF STATE AND FOR ATTORNEY 711 00:21:02,428 --> 00:21:04,094 GENERAL, YOU LOOK AT THAT FOR 712 00:21:04,097 --> 00:21:05,061 THE TREASURER'S RACE AS WELL. 713 00:21:05,064 --> 00:21:07,631 WE ALWAYS WIN. 714 00:21:07,634 --> 00:21:10,533 YOU SEE THAT IN 2016 AS WELL. 715 00:21:10,536 --> 00:21:11,234 I THINK THAT WE'RE GOING TO TURN 716 00:21:11,237 --> 00:21:13,136 OUT AND GOING TO TURN OUT OUR 717 00:21:13,139 --> 00:21:15,372 PEOPLE AND TURN OUT REPUBLICANS 718 00:21:15,375 --> 00:21:17,040 AND IT DOESN'T MATTER IF IT'S A 719 00:21:17,043 --> 00:21:18,074 TOUGH PRIMARY RACE IN 2018, 720 00:21:18,077 --> 00:21:20,143 YOU'LL SEE US WIN. 721 00:21:20,146 --> 00:21:20,443 >> TELL ME ABOUT THE REPUBLICAN 722 00:21:20,446 --> 00:21:22,279 PARTY. 723 00:21:22,282 --> 00:21:24,547 SENATOR FLAKE HIMSELF SAID THAT 724 00:21:24,550 --> 00:21:25,815 I CAN'T CONTINUE THIS WAY WITH 725 00:21:25,818 --> 00:21:27,517 THIS PRESIDENT. 726 00:21:27,520 --> 00:21:27,784 SO WHAT DO REPUBLICANS STAND 727 00:21:27,787 --> 00:21:30,053 FOR? 728 00:21:30,056 --> 00:21:31,388 >> YOU KNOW, I CAN'T REALLY 729 00:21:31,391 --> 00:21:34,324 SPEAK TO SENATOR FLAKE AND 730 00:21:34,327 --> 00:21:36,393 HIS -- THE WAY HE VIEWS HIS 731 00:21:36,396 --> 00:21:37,761 CAMPAIGN MOVING FORWARD BUT I 732 00:21:37,764 --> 00:21:39,129 THINK OF COURSE THERE'S ROOM FOR 733 00:21:39,132 --> 00:21:40,263 EVERY SINGLE PERSON THAT 734 00:21:40,266 --> 00:21:42,032 CONSIDERS THEMSELVES A 735 00:21:42,035 --> 00:21:43,300 REPUBLICAN IN THE REPUBLICAN 736 00:21:43,303 --> 00:21:45,035 PARTY. 737 00:21:45,038 --> 00:21:46,269 WE ARE VERY BIG -- OFTEN TIMES 738 00:21:46,272 --> 00:21:48,004 YOU SEE REPUBLICANS THAT DON'T 739 00:21:48,007 --> 00:21:50,040 AGREE WITH EACH OTHER BUT AT 740 00:21:50,043 --> 00:21:51,675 LEAST IN ARIZONA, WE WIN. 741 00:21:51,678 --> 00:21:53,443 >> OTHER NEWS NOW, A NATIONAL 742 00:21:53,446 --> 00:21:55,679 STORY HITTING CLOSE TO HOME. 743 00:21:55,682 --> 00:21:57,347 AN ARIZONA LAWMAKER SUSPENDED 744 00:21:57,350 --> 00:21:58,748 FROM HIS LEADERSHIP POSITION 745 00:21:58,751 --> 00:22:04,654 AFTER MULTIPLE ALLEGATIONS OF 746 00:22:04,657 --> 00:22:06,022 SEXUAL HARASSMENT, 747 00:22:06,025 --> 00:22:07,857 REPRESENTATIVE DON SHUTER, IS 748 00:22:07,860 --> 00:22:09,759 TEMPORARILY SUSPENDED FROM 749 00:22:09,762 --> 00:22:10,760 POSITION OF CHAIRMAN OF THE 750 00:22:10,763 --> 00:22:12,395 HOUSE APPROPRIATIONS COMMITTEE, 751 00:22:12,398 --> 00:22:12,729 THE COMMITTEE THAT DRAFTS THE 752 00:22:12,732 --> 00:22:14,464 BUDGET. 753 00:22:14,467 --> 00:22:16,933 THE EDITOR AND PUBLISHER OF THE 754 00:22:16,936 --> 00:22:18,535 ARIZONA CAPITAL TIMES NOW WITH 755 00:22:18,538 --> 00:22:18,902 MORE ON THE POSSIBLE POLITICAL 756 00:22:18,905 --> 00:22:21,037 FALLOUT. 757 00:22:21,040 --> 00:22:22,405 >> THAT MEANS THAT THE HOUSE 758 00:22:22,408 --> 00:22:24,040 LEADERSHIP RECOGNIZED THE 759 00:22:24,043 --> 00:22:27,243 GRAVITY OF THE ALLEGATIONS 760 00:22:27,246 --> 00:22:28,378 AGAINST HIM, ACKNOWLEDGED WITH 761 00:22:28,381 --> 00:22:29,846 THOSE TYPE ALLEGATIONS IT WOULD 762 00:22:29,849 --> 00:22:33,350 BE HARD FOR THIS VERY IMPORTANT 763 00:22:33,353 --> 00:22:38,455 COMMITTEE TO DO ITS WORK AND 764 00:22:38,458 --> 00:22:42,025 THAT IT IS BETTER IF DON SHUTER 765 00:22:42,028 --> 00:22:43,593 IS SOMEWHAT -- I WOULDN'T SAY 766 00:22:43,596 --> 00:22:44,894 SEVERED BUT THERE'S DISTANCE 767 00:22:44,897 --> 00:22:49,199 BETWEEN HIM AND THE COMMITTEE. 768 00:22:49,202 --> 00:22:51,868 >> HERE WE ARE IN NOVEMBER. 769 00:22:51,871 --> 00:22:52,202 WHERE DOES THIS TAKE IT COME 770 00:22:52,205 --> 00:22:53,303 JANUARY? 771 00:22:53,306 --> 00:22:53,903 >> YOU'LL HAVE THIS CONVERSATION 772 00:22:53,906 --> 00:22:54,871 MOVING FORWARD. 773 00:22:54,874 --> 00:22:56,606 THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY YOU'LL 774 00:22:56,609 --> 00:22:58,408 HAVE MORE WOMEN COME OUT AND SAY 775 00:22:58,411 --> 00:22:59,476 THIS HAPPENED TO ME TOO AT THE 776 00:22:59,479 --> 00:23:01,845 STATE CAPITOL. 777 00:23:01,848 --> 00:23:03,513 ALREADY WE HAVE THE HOUSE 778 00:23:03,516 --> 00:23:06,950 REPRESENTATIVES COMING OUT WITH 779 00:23:06,953 --> 00:23:08,318 ITS POLICY HOW TO DEAL WITH 780 00:23:08,321 --> 00:23:11,955 SEXUAL HARASSMENT. 781 00:23:11,958 --> 00:23:13,757 IN THE SENATE HE HAD TO DIG UP A 782 00:23:13,760 --> 00:23:15,325 POLICY COME UP WITH MANY, MANY 783 00:23:15,328 --> 00:23:17,394 YEARS AGO AND NOW THERE ARE 784 00:23:17,397 --> 00:23:19,629 ATTORNEYS THERE IN THE STATE 785 00:23:19,632 --> 00:23:22,298 SENATE LOOKING AT THIS DOCUMENT 786 00:23:22,301 --> 00:23:22,665 AND ASKING DOES IT NEED TO BE 787 00:23:22,668 --> 00:23:24,534 UPDATED. 788 00:23:24,537 --> 00:23:25,769 >> WILL THIS DISTRACT FROM WHAT 789 00:23:25,772 --> 00:23:26,970 NEEDS TO TAKE PLACE COME THE 790 00:23:26,973 --> 00:23:28,571 FIRST PART OF THE YEAR? 791 00:23:28,574 --> 00:23:28,972 >> I WOULDN'T CALL IT A 792 00:23:28,975 --> 00:23:30,540 DISTRACTION. 793 00:23:30,543 --> 00:23:31,808 HE THINK IT'S A VERY IMPORTANT 794 00:23:31,811 --> 00:23:35,044 DISCUSSION TO HAVE. 795 00:23:35,047 --> 00:23:35,712 AND NOW IS A BETTER TIME TO HAVE 796 00:23:35,715 --> 00:23:37,213 THIS DISCUSSION. 797 00:23:37,216 --> 00:23:39,582 BUT IT WILL BE SOMETHING THEY 798 00:23:39,585 --> 00:23:41,418 WILL HAVE TO DEAL WITH AND THEY 799 00:23:41,421 --> 00:23:44,621 HAVE HAVE TO FIND A WAY TO DEAL 800 00:23:44,624 --> 00:23:46,122 WITH THIS AND ADDRESS THIS AND 801 00:23:46,125 --> 00:23:48,291 AT THE SAME TIME DO THEIR 802 00:23:48,294 --> 00:23:50,026 REGULAR RESPONSIBILITIES. 803 00:23:50,029 --> 00:23:52,562 YOU KNOW, REALLY THEY ONLY HAVE 804 00:23:52,565 --> 00:23:56,099 ONE BIG ASSIGNMENT AND THAT IS 805 00:23:56,102 --> 00:23:56,399 TO PRODUCE A BUDGET FOR NEXT 806 00:23:56,402 --> 00:23:57,600 YEAR. 807 00:23:57,603 --> 00:23:59,135 AND AS LONG AS THEY ARE ABLE TO 808 00:23:59,138 --> 00:24:00,236 DO THAT AND I HAVE NO REASON TO 809 00:24:00,239 --> 00:24:03,206 BELIEVE THEY ARE NOT GOING TO BE 810 00:24:03,209 --> 00:24:05,942 ABLE TO DO THAT -- 811 00:24:05,945 --> 00:24:07,377 >> REPRESENT SHUTER, LONG 812 00:24:07,380 --> 00:24:10,713 RUNNING IN THE ARIZONA HOUSE, 813 00:24:10,716 --> 00:24:12,916 DOES THIS RUN OF RISK OF 814 00:24:12,919 --> 00:24:13,583 DAMAGING HIS CREDIBILITY AND 815 00:24:13,586 --> 00:24:13,917 DAMAGING CREDIBILITY OF THE 816 00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:15,819 HOUSE. 817 00:24:15,822 --> 00:24:16,486 >> IT DAMAGES HIS CREDIBILITY, 818 00:24:16,489 --> 00:24:19,222 NO DOUBT. 819 00:24:19,225 --> 00:24:22,025 AND NOW HE'S NOT ABLE TO DO HIS 820 00:24:22,028 --> 00:24:22,759 JOB AS A CHAIRMAN OF THE HOUSE 821 00:24:22,762 --> 00:24:24,627 APPROPRIATIONS COMMITTEE. 822 00:24:24,630 --> 00:24:27,263 BUT I WANT TO SHIFT IT RATHER 823 00:24:27,266 --> 00:24:32,001 THAN FOCUS ON HOW MUCH DAMAGE IT 824 00:24:32,004 --> 00:24:36,372 HAS TO HIM OR HIS CREDIBILITY OR 825 00:24:36,375 --> 00:24:38,208 HIS POLITICAL CAREER, REALLY THE 826 00:24:38,211 --> 00:24:41,144 CONVERSATION IN MY MIND IS THAT 827 00:24:41,147 --> 00:24:43,279 WE HAVE A CULTURE IN THE STATE 828 00:24:43,282 --> 00:24:45,548 LEGISLATURE THAT WANT TO CALL IT 829 00:24:45,551 --> 00:24:48,952 A GOOD BOYS CLUB CULTURE. 830 00:24:48,955 --> 00:24:52,455 AND NOW WE'RE HAVING TO NOT 831 00:24:52,458 --> 00:24:56,426 NECESSARILY RECONSIDER THAT, BUT 832 00:24:56,429 --> 00:24:58,127 TAKE SERIOUSLY WHERE THAT HAS 833 00:24:58,130 --> 00:25:00,830 BROUGHT US AND WHAT KIND OF 834 00:25:00,833 --> 00:25:02,899 CULTURE OUR CLIMATE CREATED FOR 835 00:25:02,902 --> 00:25:03,233 WOMEN WORKING IN THE STATE 836 00:25:03,236 --> 00:25:07,637 CAPITOL. 837 00:25:07,640 --> 00:25:10,173 WHETHER YOU'RE A LOBBYIST OR 838 00:25:10,176 --> 00:25:11,808 INTERN OR JUST SOMEBODY WHO IS 839 00:25:11,811 --> 00:25:13,977 ADVOCATING FOR YOUR INTEREST. 840 00:25:13,980 --> 00:25:14,944 >> MOVING BEYOND THAT 841 00:25:14,947 --> 00:25:16,546 DISCUSSION, ARIZONA HAS BECOME 842 00:25:16,549 --> 00:25:20,617 IN THE NATIONAL POLITICAL 843 00:25:20,620 --> 00:25:22,952 SPOTLIGHT WITH NEWS OF A SENATOR 844 00:25:22,955 --> 00:25:23,786 VACATING HIS SEAT, QUITE 845 00:25:23,789 --> 00:25:24,153 POSSIBLY A CONGRESSIONAL 846 00:25:24,156 --> 00:25:25,655 DISTRICT. 847 00:25:25,658 --> 00:25:25,955 WHAT DOES THAT SAY FOR THE NEXT 848 00:25:25,958 --> 00:25:28,992 CYCLE? 849 00:25:28,995 --> 00:25:30,860 >> CANDIDLY WE COULD HAVE TWO 850 00:25:30,863 --> 00:25:31,728 U.S. SENATE SEATS OPEN UP FOR 851 00:25:31,731 --> 00:25:33,196 VACANCIES NEXT YEAR. 852 00:25:33,199 --> 00:25:34,597 IF THAT HAPPENS AND THERE ARE 853 00:25:34,600 --> 00:25:36,566 SOME WHO BELIEVE THAT MIGHT 854 00:25:36,569 --> 00:25:38,201 HAPPEN, IF THAT HAPPENS, WE 855 00:25:38,204 --> 00:25:40,303 ALREADY HAVE ONE SEAT THAT'S 856 00:25:40,306 --> 00:25:40,637 GOING TO BE VACANT, JEFF 857 00:25:40,640 --> 00:25:42,939 FLAKE'S. 858 00:25:42,942 --> 00:25:43,973 WE KNOW SENATOR McCAIN IS 859 00:25:43,976 --> 00:25:47,176 BATTLING CANCER. 860 00:25:47,179 --> 00:25:49,913 IF HE DOES FOR EXAMPLE STEP 861 00:25:49,916 --> 00:25:52,382 DOWN, MANY ARE SAYING THAT YOU 862 00:25:52,385 --> 00:25:56,286 COULD HAVE A STRUCTURAL CHANGE 863 00:25:56,289 --> 00:25:56,619 IN THE POLITICAL SCENE IN 864 00:25:56,622 --> 00:25:58,955 ARIZONA. 865 00:25:58,958 --> 00:26:00,657 YOU COULD HAVE A WHOLE BUNCH OF 866 00:26:00,660 --> 00:26:04,027 CONGRESSIONAL INCUMBENTS LOOK AT 867 00:26:04,030 --> 00:26:05,795 EITHER ONE OF THOSE SENATE SEATS 868 00:26:05,798 --> 00:26:08,231 AND IF THEY VACATE THE SEATS, 869 00:26:08,234 --> 00:26:11,100 THE ONE FOR THE U.S. SENATE, 870 00:26:11,103 --> 00:26:14,671 YOU'LL HAVE LAWMAKERS AND 871 00:26:14,674 --> 00:26:16,139 MAYORS, COUNSELORS AND COUNTY 872 00:26:16,142 --> 00:26:18,241 SUPERVISORS LOOKING AT 873 00:26:18,244 --> 00:26:20,343 CONGRESSIONAL RACES AND IF THEY 874 00:26:20,346 --> 00:26:21,344 VACATED THEIR SEATS, THEN 875 00:26:21,347 --> 00:26:22,178 SOMEBODY WOULD HAVE TO FILL 876 00:26:22,181 --> 00:26:25,448 THOSE POSITIONS. 877 00:26:25,451 --> 00:26:27,383 SO YOU COULD BE LOOKING AT 878 00:26:27,386 --> 00:26:29,118 SCHOOL BOARDS. 879 00:26:29,121 --> 00:26:30,553 MAYBE EVEN THE IRRIGATION 880 00:26:30,556 --> 00:26:32,422 DISTRICTS, WHOLE LOT OF PEOPLE 881 00:26:32,425 --> 00:26:35,892 COMING IN AND SO SHOULD THAT 882 00:26:35,895 --> 00:26:37,694 HAPPEN, A LOT OF PEOPLE ARE 883 00:26:37,697 --> 00:26:39,596 SEEING THIS STRUCTURAL CHANGE IN 884 00:26:39,599 --> 00:26:41,064 THE PEOPLE THAT ARE COMING IN, 885 00:26:41,067 --> 00:26:43,299 YOU KNOW, YOU'LL HAVE SO MANY OF 886 00:26:43,302 --> 00:26:45,101 THEM VACATING THEIR SEATS 887 00:26:45,104 --> 00:26:46,002 POTENTIALLY, THAT YOU'LL HAVE A 888 00:26:46,005 --> 00:26:47,236 COMPLETELY DIFFERENT STRUCTURE. 889 00:26:47,239 --> 00:26:50,807 YOU'RE SEEING THAT IN THE CITY 890 00:26:50,810 --> 00:26:53,943 OF PHOENIX, FOR EXAMPLE, WITH 891 00:26:53,946 --> 00:26:57,580 KIRSTEN CINEMA VACATING HER 892 00:26:57,583 --> 00:27:00,750 SEATS, NOW THERE ARE A COUPLE OF 893 00:27:00,753 --> 00:27:01,951 THREE COUNCIL MEMBERS RUNNING 894 00:27:01,954 --> 00:27:04,020 FOR HIS SEAT. 895 00:27:04,023 --> 00:27:04,387 THOSE SEATS HAVE TO COME FROM 896 00:27:04,390 --> 00:27:07,457 SOMEWHERE. 897 00:27:07,460 --> 00:27:09,425 YOU COULD HAVE VACANCIES IN THE 898 00:27:09,428 --> 00:27:12,695 STATE LEGISLATURE OR OPEN SEATS 899 00:27:12,698 --> 00:27:14,931 IN THE STATE LEGISLATURE. 900 00:27:14,934 --> 00:27:16,599 AS ONE LOBBYIST AND CONSULTANT 901 00:27:16,602 --> 00:27:18,334 PUT THE OTHER DAY, YOU'RE NOT 902 00:27:18,337 --> 00:27:19,435 LOOKING AT ONE TSUNAMI, YOU'VE 903 00:27:19,438 --> 00:27:20,603 LOOKING AT FIVE OF THEM. 904 00:27:20,606 --> 00:27:22,205 >> THAT'S OUR SHOW THIS WEEK. 905 00:27:22,208 --> 00:27:23,306 BEFORE WE GO, A QUICK 906 00:27:23,309 --> 00:27:25,041 ANNOUNCEMENT, I'LL BE LEAVING 907 00:27:25,044 --> 00:27:27,610 THE HOST SEAT FOR THE NEXT TWO 908 00:27:27,613 --> 00:27:29,312 WEEKS AS WE RETOOL FOR A NEW 909 00:27:29,315 --> 00:27:30,046 PUBLIC AFFAIRS SHOW THAT WILL 910 00:27:30,049 --> 00:27:32,482 LAUNCH IN JANUARY. 911 00:27:32,485 --> 00:27:34,817 IN THE MEANTIME STAY TUNED FOR 912 00:27:34,820 --> 00:27:35,351 MORE EPISODES IN DECEMBER.